
MIN @ KC






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 8th
08/09/24 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Royals Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.
Jose Miranda is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Grading out in the 86th percentile, Jose Miranda has posted a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
In notching a .466 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Jose Miranda has performed in the 84th percentile.
Shane Livensparger projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today’s game.
The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Due to his reverse platoon split, Simeon Woods Richardson will be at a disadvantage going up against 6 hitters in the projected batting order who bat from the same side in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Simeon Woods Richardson in today’s matchup.
Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
DaShawn Keirsey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today’s matchup.
Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as Major League Baseball’s 16th-best home run batter.
Matt Wallner is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.
Bobby Witt Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Royce Lewis is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
As it relates to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the game for RHB batting average.
When estimating his home run skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
MJ Melendez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Matt Wallner will have an advantage today.
Tommy Pham will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage over Simeon Woods Richard in today’s game.
Michael Massey has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.
MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Simeon Woods Richard in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jose Miranda’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Edouard Julien’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 17.2% on the season to 33.3% in the past week’s worth of games.
Carlos Santana has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
There has been a significant improvement in Carlos Santana’s launch angle from last season’s 12.5° to 16° this year.
In terms of power, Carlos Santana grades out in the 75th percentile, having paced 23.1 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Michael Wacha’s 2136-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 21st percentile among all starting pitchers.
Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 12.3% to 22%.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Ranking in the 88th percentile, Freddy Fermin sits with a .328 BABIP this year.
Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today’s game.
The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Trevor Larnach has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year’s 90.1-mph mark.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.
Michael Wacha has tallied 17.3 outs per outing this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Michael Wacha in the 77th percentile among all SPs in MLB.
The Minnesota Twins have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Edouard Julien, Trevor Larnach, Matt Wallner, DaShawn Keirsey).
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Michael Wacha will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Kyle Isbel’s launch angle lately (20.9° over the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 8.9° seasonal mark.
Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Royals Series Game 3
Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field dimensions in MLB.
Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-lowest humidity of all games today at 32%.
Trevor Larnach will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Trevor Larnach’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, going from 44.3% on the season to 22.2% over the past week.
Simeon Woods Richard will hold the platoon advantage against Tommy Pham in today’s game.
Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.
In terms of power, Tommy Pham has performed in the 22nd percentile, having averaged 11.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #25 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Jose Miranda will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Today, Jose Miranda is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.3% rate (93rd percentile).
Jose Miranda will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
The Kansas City Royals have been the 10th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward, Simeon Woods Richardson’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (59.1% this year) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Kansas City ranks as the #27 club in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (41.5% rate this year).
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, DaShawn Keirsey ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
DaShawn Keirsey is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for DaShawn Keirsey today.
Matt Wallner pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Wallner in today’s matchup.
Over the last 7 days, Matt Wallner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21.7% down to 0%.
Despite posting a .398 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Wallner has been lucky given the .076 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.
Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be in a tough position today.
Today, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.8% rate (88th percentile).
Bobby Witt Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 16.5% on the season to 6.7% over the past 14 days.
Michael Wacha will have the handedness advantage against Royce Lewis in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Royce Lewis is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.9% rate (96th percentile).
Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
In the past 7 days, Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 93.6 mph to 89.2 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.’s true offensive skill to be a .379, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .038 difference between that figure and his actual .417 wOBA.
MJ Melendez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s deepest RF fences today.
There has been a decrease in MJ Melendez’s average exit velocity this season, from 93.2 mph last year to 91 mph now, MJ Melendez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 12.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
The #6 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Tommy Pham’s launch angle in recent games (4.4° over the last 7 days) is significantly lower than his 11.2° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Michael Massey is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
This year, Michael Massey has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s deepest RF fences today.
Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Salvador Perez will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Today, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.6% rate (93rd percentile).
Salvador Perez’s launch angle in recent games (-2° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 18.3° seasonal mark.
Jose Miranda has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.
Edouard Julien has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and will be challenged by the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
Edouard Julien will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Edouard Julien has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Carlos Santana is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will bat from his worse side against Michael Wacha in today’s game.
Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s deepest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael Wacha in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.
The underlying talent of the Minnesota Twins projected batting order today (.310 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably worse than their .321 wOBA this year.
Michael Wacha has a large reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed batters in this matchup.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Simeon Woods Richardson is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of all pitchers today.
The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Freddy Fermin will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Freddy Fermin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Freddy Fermin’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.7-mph over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Kyle Isbel has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.
Edouard Julien’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 93.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.9-mph over the last 14 days.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) implies that Salvador Perez has been lucky this year with his .273 actual batting average.
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