Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Minnesota at San Diego Matchup Today

When estimating his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate.

Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today’s game.

Last season, Edouard Julien had an average launch angle of 16.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 20.7°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 4th-best venue in the majors for left-handed home runs.

Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in MLB.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Compared to last year, Royce Lewis has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.3% to 21.3% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

The #4 park in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as baseball’s 17th-best home run batter.

Matt Wallner is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage over Zebby Matthews in today’s game.

David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The #5 park in baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Austin Martin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Austin Martin has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.

Michael King projects as the 17th-best starter in baseball currently when it comes to his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tallying 95.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Michael King checks in at the 90th percentile.

The Minnesota Twins (25.5% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-most strikeout-heavy team of hitters of the day.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka grades out as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Carlos Santana’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Michael King today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Max Kepler has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.1° angle in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today.

Carlos Santana has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.

Carlos Santana’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 15.8% on the season to 33.3% over the past 14 days.

Jurickson Profar will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today’s matchup.

Matt Wallner has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 18.8% rate last season to 29.6% this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for home runs.

Over the last week, Austin Martin’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.2%.

Austin Martin has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .241 figure is a good deal lower than his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 5th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the San Diego Padres.

Over the past week, Willi Castro’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 25%.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 17.1% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Ryan Jeffers has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.4-mph average.

Monday player match stat slumps with Twins vs Padres Matchup

Edouard Julien is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

33% of the time that Edouard Julien has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Petco Park profiles as the #26 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Edouard Julien will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

In terms of power, Willi Castro finds himself in the 23rd percentile, having hit 11.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 5th-worst park in the majors for RHB BABIP.

Michael King will have the handedness advantage over Royce Lewis in today’s matchup.

Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.8 mph to 88.5 mph.

Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Michael King will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Ryan Jeffers’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 90.5-mph EV last year has dropped to 86.4-mph.

Over the last 7 days, Ryan Jeffers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Jackson Merrill has been lucky this year, notching a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .018 gap.

When it comes to his home runs, Edouard Julien has had positive variance on his side this year. His 19.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 12.9.

Matt Wallner has been pinch hit for 31% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Matt Wallner pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Wallner in today’s game.

In the past week, Matt Wallner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 29.6% down to 0%.

David Peralta is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, David Peralta has been pinch hit for 32% of the time.

David Peralta has been lucky this year, posting a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .026 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daniel Matthews to throw 79 pitches in this game (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 18.1% underlying K%.

Daniel Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Zebby Matthews will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts today.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 87.2-mph in the past two weeks.

Xander Bogaerts has put up a .164 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 13th percentile.

Jackson Merrill has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 20th percentile with a 3.93 K/BB rate.

When estimating his home run talent, Austin Martin ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Martin is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

This year, Austin Martin has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Michael King will have the handedness advantage against Austin Martin in today’s game.

With 6 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Michael King will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Michael King’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.4 mph this year (92.1 mph) below where it was last year (93.5 mph).

Michael King’s 2275-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a substantial 120-rpm decline from last year’s 2395-rpm figure.

Considering the 0.46 discrepancy between Michael King’s 10.71 K/9 and his 10.24 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression in the future.

Ryan Jeffers’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.6% to 38.2%.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will bat from his worse side against Zebby Matthews in this game.

Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Jurickson Profar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

In the past 7 days, Jurickson Profar’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Michael King in today’s game.

Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carlos Santana in today’s matchup.

In notching a .197 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Edouard Julien grades out in the 15th percentile.

This year, Trevor Larnach has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 41% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trevor Larnach today.

Trevor Larnach has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week.

Trevor Larnach’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (2.1° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 11° seasonal mark.

From last season to this one, Luis Arraez’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.6 mph to 87.6 mph.

Using Statcast metrics, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 1.200.

Placing in the 3rd percentile for power, Luis Arraez has averaged 2.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Max Kepler’s BABIP ability is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Max Kepler has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Kepler today.

Over the last 14 days, Max Kepler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.6% down to 0%.

Max Kepler’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.4-mph mark last year has decreased to 89.1-mph.

Zebby Matthews will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today.

Manny Machado has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph dropping to 83.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 17.7% to 12%.

In the past two weeks, Manny Machado’s 7.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12%.

Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 43.9% on the season to 20% over the past 7 days.

In the past 7 days, Manny Machado’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Michael King projects as the 19th-best starter in baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Minnesota Twins have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward, Michael King will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.

Michael King performed well in his previous outing and conceded 0 ER.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Daniel Matthews’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 75th percentile out of all SPs in MLB right now.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the San Diego Padres offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

In his last outing, Daniel Matthews performed well and allowed 2 ER.

San Diego Padres hitters as a unit grade out 27th- in the league for power this year when assessing with their 91.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

Jurickson Profar’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 90.7-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

In the past 7 days, Royce Lewis’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Royce Lewis’s true offensive talent to be a .341, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .053 disparity between that figure and his actual .394 wOBA.

Carlos Santana has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .327 figure is inflated compared to his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a 3.63 K/BB rate this year, Max Kepler has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.

Despite posting a .329 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Willi Castro has had positive variance on his side given the .027 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

Royce Lewis’s launch angle recently (11.8° over the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 16.8° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.