
MIN @ CLE






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, September 16th
16/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Guardians Matchup Today
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lane Thomas is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the majors’s 11th-best home run hitter.
Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Byron Buxton will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his home runs, Byron Buxton has been unlucky this year. His 30.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 35.6.
Byron Buxton’s 14.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 93rd percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
Royce Lewis will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Boyd in today’s game.
Royce Lewis pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 12.3% to 21.7%.
With 8 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Matthew Boyd has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
Carlos Santana is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd.
Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
In the past week, Carlos Santana’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph of late.
Carlos Santana’s launch angle this year (15.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.5° figure last year.
Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Festa in today’s game.
Bo Naylor will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today.
Bo Naylor has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 92.3-mph over the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 78th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
As it relates to his home run ability, Jhonkensy Noel ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jhonkensy Noel pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Sporting a .430 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Jhonkensy Noel has performed in the 98th percentile.
Brayan Rocchio will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 20.4% on the season to 31.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Brayan Rocchio has shown strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 76th percentile with a 2.02 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as MLB’s 13th-best home run batter.
Matt Wallner is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Matt Wallner pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
This season, Matt Wallner has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.9 mph compared to last year’s 97.1 mph mark.
Compared to his seasonal average of 20.9°, Matt Wallner has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30° mark in the past 7 days.
Batting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today’s game.
The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Manzardo can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Manzardo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal average of 23.4°, Kyle Manzardo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.3° mark over the last two weeks.
Ranking in the 92nd percentile for power, Jose Ramirez has averaged 31.7 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Jose Miranda is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Jose Miranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today’s game.
Jose Miranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Placing in the 96th percentile, Jose Miranda has posted a .297 batting average this year.
Matt Wallner is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Cleveland (#2-worst of the day).
Lane Thomas has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.9% seasonal rate to 14.8% over the last 14 days.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Byron Buxton’s 92-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the game this year: 92nd percentile.
Andres Gimenez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over David Festa in today’s game.
Andres Gimenez is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Josh Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Festa in today’s matchup.
The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Naylor can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Kyle Farmer will have an edge in today’s game.
Kyle Farmer pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Kyle Farmer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.9% to 21.1%.
When it comes to his batting average, Kyle Farmer has experienced some negative variance this year. His .215 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.
With a .455 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Jose Miranda has performed in the 79th percentile.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his strikeout talent, Pablo Lopez projects as the 17th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Pablo Lopez has averaged 95 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.
The Cleveland Guardians have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jhonkensy Noel, Daniel Schneemann, Bo Naylor).
As it relates to his home runs, Jose Miranda has had bad variance on his side this year. His 13.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.8.
Andres Gimenez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
In the last week’s worth of games, Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.6-mph over the course of the season to 94.4-mph of late.
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Matthew Boyd in the 88th percentile among all starters in MLB.
Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Guardians
This game is predicted to have the 10th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Jose Ramirez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 15.7% on the season to 7.1% in the last two weeks.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 44.3% to 38.5%.
Jose Ramirez has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .270 rate is inflated compared to his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
David Festa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lane Thomas in today’s matchup.
Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 94.8-mph average last year has dropped off to 89-mph.
In the past week, Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 89 mph to 79.2 mph.
Byron Buxton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team playing today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Byron Buxton in today’s game.
Byron Buxton’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (17.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 21.4° angle last season.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Royce Lewis in today’s game.
Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 80.8-mph in the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Matthew Boyd in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a good pitch framer.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Matthew Boyd will hold that advantage today.
Carlos Santana’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Carlos Santana’s 3.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.6%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Bo Naylor is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Posting a 4.37 K/BB rate this year, Bo Naylor has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 13th percentile.
In terms of his home runs, Bo Naylor has had positive variance on his side this year. His 20.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.6.
Bo Naylor has compiled a .355 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.
Jhonkensy Noel is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.
David Festa will have the handedness advantage against Jhonkensy Noel today.
Jhonkensy Noel has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 17.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Jhonkensy Noel’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 96.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 78.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Brayan Rocchio will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against David Festa in this game.
Brayan Rocchio’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 84.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 79.6-mph in the past week.
Matthew Boyd will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Wallner today.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Wallner in today’s matchup.
Over the past 14 days, Matt Wallner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21% down to 8%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Kyle Manzardo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (85th percentile).
In the past week, Kyle Manzardo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.
Over the last 14 days, Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 90.7 mph to 88.6 mph.
Jose Ramirez has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 32.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 29.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Miranda in today’s game.
Jose Miranda has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Over the past 14 days, Jose Miranda’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 90.6 mph to 85.2 mph.
In terms of his batting average, Matt Wallner has had positive variance on his side this year. His .255 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.
Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this season (9.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.9° mark last year.
By putting up a .135 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Andres Gimenez is ranked in the 4th percentile.
When it comes to plate discipline, Andres Gimenez’s talent is quite weak, putting up a 3.65 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 24th percentile.
Josh Naylor has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
In the past week’s worth of games, Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 93.5 mph to 81 mph.
Over the last two weeks, Josh Naylor’s 8.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.2) may lead us to conclude that Josh Naylor has experienced some positive variance this year with his 29.9 actual HR/600.
Kyle Farmer is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Kyle Farmer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
From last season to this one, Kyle Farmer’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.1 mph to 90.1 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Sporting a .242 BABIP this year, Josh Naylor finds himself in the 5th percentile.
The Cleveland Guardians have 7 bats in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in this matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pablo Lopez today.
When it comes to his home runs, Royce Lewis has had positive variance on his side this year. His 36.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 33.9.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jose Miranda’s 5.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.1%.
As it relates to his home run talent, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Manzardo has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 85.2-mph in the past 7 days.
Over the last 7 days, Brayan Rocchio’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.1%.
With a 5.02 K/BB rate this year, Byron Buxton has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 6th percentile.
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