
MIN @ MIL


Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, May 16th
16/05/25 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Brewers Matchup Today
Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
American Family Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in the league.
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Because of Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Sal Frelick will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Sal Frelick is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Jackson Chourio’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage today.
In the league, American Family Field’s CF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.
Among all starters, Chad Patrick’s fastball velocity of 86.9 mph is in the 3rd percentile this year.
Considering the 1.49 gap between Chad Patrick’s 3.19 ERA and his 4.68 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball this year and ought to negatively regress in future games.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Rhys Hoskins and his 21.2° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
William Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Extreme flyball batters like William Contreras generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan.
Christian Yelich’s BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.
Because of Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Christian Yelich will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
When it comes to his home run talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split.
Jake Bauers will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today’s matchup.
Brice Turang is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Because of Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Brice Turang will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Brice Turang may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Brice Turang’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward,Ryan Jeffers, the Twins’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Joe Ryan (42.1% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in Milwaukee’s projected lineup.
Recording 17.2 outs per start this year on average, Joe Ryan places him the 83rd percentile.
Ranking in the 89th percentile, Joe Ryan recorded a 13.4% Swinging Strike percentage this year.
Joe Ryan projects as the 15th-best pitcher in the game right now when it comes to his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
American Family Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Placing in the 95th percentile, Joe Ryan has notched a 31.4% K% this year.
Andruw Monasterio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Andruw Monasterio will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Brewers
When estimating his home run skill, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Sal Frelick has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 4.7° angle is among the lowest in the majors this year (8th percentile).
When it comes to power, Sal Frelick finds himself in the 7th percentile, having hit 2 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 4th-worst park in baseball for lefty batting average.
The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Given Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Jackson Chourio will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.
As it relates to plate discipline, Jackson Chourio’s talent is quite weak, putting up a 7.92 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 3rd percentile.
When it comes to his home run ability, Caleb Durbin ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Caleb Durbin is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Joe Ryan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Caleb Durbin in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ryan’s large platoon split.
Caleb Durbin has been cold in recent games, struggling to the tune of a .256 wOBA over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
American Family Field grades out as the #27 ballpark in the game for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Chad Patrick will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Chad Patrick was on point in his last game started and conceded 0 ER.
Placing 6th-least steep in baseball this year, Minnesota Twins hitters collectively have notched a 11.1° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).
The Minnesota Twins as a unit place 29th- overall in the league this year when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Joe Ryan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhys Hoskins today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Ryan’s large platoon split.
Typically, batters like Rhys Hoskins who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Joe Ryan.
Joe Ryan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Ryan’s large platoon split.
William Contreras has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 7.2° angle is among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year (15th percentile).
Ranking in the 16th percentile, William Contreras sits with a .139 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
Christian Yelich has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 7.2° mark is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (20th percentile).
Jake Bauers is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.
In today’s matchup, Jake Bauers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (86th percentile).
Extreme flyball bats like Jake Bauers are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.
Checking in at the 11th percentile, Jake Bauers sits with a .211 batting average since the start of last season.
Jake Bauers’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trevor Larnach in today’s game.
Trevor Larnach’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (3.8°) is significantly worse than his 12° angle last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Placing in the 10th percentile, Brice Turang has notched a .116 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Joe Ryan as the 18th-best starter in Major League Baseball right now.
Joe Ryan was in good form in his previous GS and gave up 1 ER.
Placing in the 99th percentile, Joe Ryan has put up a 10.4 K/BB rate this year.
The 6.1% Barrel% of the Milwaukee Brewers makes them the #30 group of hitters in the league this year by this metric.
Joe Ryan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Joe Ryan’s 92.3-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.7-mph decrease from last season’s 94-mph figure.
Andruw Monasterio is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Considering Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Andruw Monasterio will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.
Andruw Monasterio has notched a .198 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 25th percentile.
Ranking in the 18th percentile, Andruw Monasterio has posted a .257 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.
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