
DET @ PIT



Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 22nd
22/07/25 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Pirates Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the worst ballpark in the majors for home runs.
PNC Park has the 6th-highest average fence height among all major league parks.
In his previous GS, Casey Mize was in good form and allowed 0 ER.
Casey Mize’s change-up rate has spiked by 8.3% from last season to this one (18.1% to 26.4%) .
Casey Mize has displayed strong control this year, notching a 78th percentile walk rate of 6.2%.
Mitch Keller has averaged 92.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.
The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Mitch Keller was rolling in his last GS and conceded 1 ER.
Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Pirates Series Game 2
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.
The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.
Casey Mize’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.5 mph this year (93.9 mph) below where it was last season (95.4 mph).
Casey Mize’s 2217-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 17th percentile among all SPs.
Mitch Keller’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this year (93.3 mph) below where it was last year (94.5 mph).
Given the 1.04 disparity between Mitch Keller’s 3.48 ERA and his 4.52 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to perform worse the rest of the season.
Mitch Keller has compiled an 8.3% Swinging Strike% this year, checking in at the 12th percentile.
Mitch Keller’s slider usage has increased by 9.2% from last season to this one (25.1% to 34.3%) .
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