
DET @ BAL





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, September 20th
20/09/24 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Orioles Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.
Last season, Jake Rogers had an average launch angle of 19.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 23.1°.
As it relates to his home runs, Jake Rogers has had some very poor luck this year. His 18.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.3.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an advantage today.
Trey Sweeney hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
In the last 14 days, Trey Sweeney’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph lately.
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Riley Greene hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Parker Meadows has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Parker Meadows will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today’s game.
Parker Meadows hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Parker Meadows is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.2% rate this year).
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.
Kerry Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today’s game.
The Barrel% of Kerry Carpenter has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.3% last year to 18% this season.
In the last week’s worth of games, Parker Meadows has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 18.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.9°.
Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Wenceel Perez has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 4.7% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 7 days.
Wenceel Perez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 87.9-mph figure.
The #8 park in the majors for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Despite posting a .263 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance given the .029 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Compared to his seasonal average of 12°, Riley Greene has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.8° figure in the past week’s worth of games.
Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Orioles
Jake Rogers is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The league’s 9th-highest average fence height can be found at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Corbin Burnes will have the handedness advantage over Jake Rogers in today’s game.
Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Sweeney in the 25th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Trey Sweeney is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.
This year, Trey Sweeney has been pinch hit for in 20% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
Trey Sweeney will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
In the past 7 days, Trey Sweeney’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13% down to 0%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 3rd-worst venue in MLB for left-handed home runs.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Riley Greene today.
Riley Greene has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 85.8-mph in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Riley Greene’s true offensive skill to be a .342, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .017 deviation between that figure and his actual .359 wOBA.
When starting against a northpaw this year, Parker Meadows has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Parker Meadows today.
Parker Meadows’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 87.1-mph seasonal average has fallen to 81.2-mph in the last 7 days.
In the past week’s worth of games, Parker Meadows’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Parker Meadows’s true offensive skill to be a .301, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .020 disparity between that figure and his actual .321 wOBA.
Corbin Burnes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Torkelson today.
Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Torkelson in today’s matchup.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Kerry Carpenter has been pulled from the game early 30% of the time.
Kerry Carpenter will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Kerry Carpenter has been lucky this year, posting a .380 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .046 disparity.
When assessing his home run talent, Wenceel Perez ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wenceel Perez in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.8°, Wenceel Perez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 15th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Jake Rogers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
In the last week, Spencer Torkelson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.
Over the past two weeks, Spencer Torkelson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 90 mph to 81.5 mph.
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