
DET @ CLE



Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, July 5th
05/07/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Guardians Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Casey Mize’s change-up utilization has increased by 8.2% from last year to this one (18.1% to 26.3%) .
Logan Allen has averaged 94.1 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.
Logan Allen’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this season (57.6% compared to 51.7% last season) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Guardians Series Game 2
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.
Casey Mize’s 93.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.5-mph fall off from last year’s 95.4-mph figure.
Out of all starting pitchers, Casey Mize’s fastball spin rate of 2213 rpm is in the 16th percentile this year.
With a 0.55 gap between Casey Mize’s 7.89 K/9 and his 7.34 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to negatively regress the rest of the season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Logan Allen in the 25th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
In his previous GS, Logan Allen struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.
Logan Allen’s 90.3-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 9th percentile out of all starters.
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