Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Twins Matchup Today

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Target Field grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage today.

Brooks Lee has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 4.1% rate last year to 10.9% this year.

Brooks Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.6% to 21.7%.

Brooks Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 21.7% on the season to 25% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 3rd-best park in MLB for BABIP.

Noah Cameron will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Willi Castro will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his batting average, Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .245 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .271.

Based on Statcast data, Willi Castro is in the 86th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .345.

Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 18.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro has compiled a .311 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 75th percentile.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batters such as Salvador Perez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Pablo Lopez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Salvador Perez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

As it relates to his home runs, Salvador Perez has had bad variance on his side this year. His 9.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.6.

Ty France’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Ty France will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ty France has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 9.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 20.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Harrison Bader will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron today.

Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Ryan Jeffers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today.

Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Pablo Lopez in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

Pablo Lopez has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Pablo Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Pablo Lopez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Grading out in the 76th percentile, Pablo Lopez notched a 12.2% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

The #6 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage over Pablo Lopez in today’s matchup.

Kyle Isbel will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Kyle Isbel has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 85.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.

Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batters such as Bobby Witt Jr. with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Pablo Lopez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Bobby Witt Jr. has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.8% seasonal rate to 26.9% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 101.2-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 93-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Royce Lewis has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage today.

Royce Lewis has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 88.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 86.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Pablo Lopez in today’s game.

Drew Waters’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Drew Waters has put up a .265 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Maikel Garcia is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Maikel Garcia has put up a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Maikel Garcia sits with a .490 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Jonah Bride will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today’s matchup.

Jonah Bride will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jonah Bride has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 3.8% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last week.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jonah Bride’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph lately.

Over the past week, Jonah Bride’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.5%.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Pablo Lopez in today’s matchup.

The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Vinnie Pasquantino has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Over the last week, Vinnie Pasquantino’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.9% up to 28.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today’s matchup.

The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Bats such as Michael Massey with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Pablo Lopez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

There has been a significant improvement in Michael Massey’s launch angle from last season’s 16.7° to 22.9° this season.

Despite posting a .218 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Massey has suffered from bad luck given the .082 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Twins

Brooks Lee’s BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums.

The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Noah Cameron,Brooks Lee has notched a .259 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile.

In notching a .220 batting average since the start of last season, Brooks Lee grades out in the 17th percentile.

The league’s 5th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Target Field.

The #7 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

The Minnesota Twins projected offense ranks as the 5th-worst of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability.

In his last GS, Noah Cameron turned in a great performance and allowed 0 ER.

Placing 6th-lowest in the majors this year, Minnesota Twins hitters collectively have compiled a 11.5° launch angle (an advanced metric to study the ability to lift the ball for power).

Willi Castro is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Noah Cameron in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Willi Castro’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.6-mph average last season has dropped to 86.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage today.

Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Salvador Perez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 13.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.

Over the last 14 days, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.

Ty France’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 85-mph over the last two weeks.

Ty France’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (5.7° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 11.2° seasonal figure.

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Harrison Bader has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

From last season to this one, Harrison Bader’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 15.7% to 8.4%.

Harrison Bader’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 8.4% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Ryan Jeffers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 15.5% to 11.6%.

Ryan Jeffers has recorded a .260 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.1°, Ryan Jeffers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.9°) in the last two weeks.

The Kansas City Royals have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,Projected catcher Ryan Jeffers projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering that groundball hitters hold a notable edge over flyball pitchers, Pablo Lopez and his 45.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult spot in today’s matchup matching up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

Pablo Lopez’s 94-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1-mph drop off from last year’s 95-mph figure.

Pablo Lopez performed well in his last start and gave up 2 ER.

Out of all SPs, Pablo Lopez’s fastball spin rate of 2153 rpm grades out in the 7th percentile this year.

Kyle Isbel’s BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Isbel today.

Kyle Isbel’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (-8.5° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 2.1° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Isbel ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Target Field profiles as the #21 field in the majors for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

Batting from the same side that Noah Cameron throws from, Trevor Larnach will have a tough challenge today.

Trevor Larnach has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Trevor Larnach’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (3.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 12° mark last season.

Over the last week, Trevor Larnach’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.8%.

Royce Lewis has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.3% rate last year has fallen off to 0% this season.

Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 21.2% to 6.9%.

Checking in at the 24th percentile, Royce Lewis has put up a .247 BABIP since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Drew Waters ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Drew Waters is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Drew Waters will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, Drew Waters’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 84.4 mph to 80.3 mph.

Drew Waters’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 13% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Hitting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Maikel Garcia will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Maikel Garcia tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Pablo Lopez.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Maikel Garcia today.

In the last week, Maikel Garcia’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

When assessing his home run ability, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jonah Bride is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Jonah Bride has been pinch hit for 22% of the time.

Jonah Bride has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .257 figure is quite a bit higher than his .222 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jonah Bride ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.9°, Vinnie Pasquantino has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.3°) in the past two weeks.

Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a .247 BABIP this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Michael Massey has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Massey in today’s matchup.

Michael Massey’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

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