Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Kansas City at Cincinnati Game 3 Matchup Today

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 field in the game for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Paul DeJong has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

Hunter Renfroe has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Hunter Renfroe will have an edge in today’s game.

Hunter Renfroe pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Ty France’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers.

Ty France will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ty France has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 93.9-mph in the past two weeks.

Andrew Abbott has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Considering that flyball pitchers have a sizeable advantage over flyball batters, Andrew Abbott and his 41% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in this outing squaring off against 3 opposing FB batters.

Andrew Abbott will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats across the board.

Andrew Abbott has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 7.44 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.36 — a 0.91 K/9 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

The #2 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Brady Singer… and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.

Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jeimer Candelario has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.1-mph.

In the last week, Jeimer Candelario’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Maikel Garcia is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Maikel Garcia will have an advantage in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte’s true offensive ability to be a .291, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .064 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .227 wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Andrew Abbott performed well in his previous GS and gave up 1 ER.

As a team, Kansas City Royals hitters have done poorly in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 3rd-worst in the league.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.

Bobby Witt Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Freddy Fermin will have an advantage today.

Freddy Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Freddy Fermin has posted a .292 batting average this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an advantage today.

Garrett Hampson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

There has been a significant improvement in Garrett Hampson’s launch angle from last season’s 11.5° to 16.6° this season.

Dairon Blanco will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Dairon Blanco generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage today.

Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today’s game… and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.

Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

T.J. Friedl is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Considering Brady Singer’s large platoon split, T.J. Friedl will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

T.J. Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and T.J. Friedl will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Throwing 94.3 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Brady Singer places him the 87th percentile.

Brady Singer was rolling in his previous start and accumulated 9 strikeouts.

Brady Singer’s sinker usage has decreased by 9.5% from last season to this one (51.1% to 41.6%) .

Brady Singer has posted a 24.7% strikeout rate this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Checking in at the 87th percentile, Jake Fraley has notched a .333 BABIP this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Brady Singer’s overall pitching skill is in the 79th percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.

Cincinnati’s 87.7-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in the league: #30 overall.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 16.3% on the season to 22.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his home runs, Garrett Hampson has experienced some negative variance this year. His 0.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 9.6.

Garrett Hampson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball bats like Maikel Garcia generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 76th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in the majors.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Royals vs Reds Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 7th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Paul DeJong is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Paul DeJong has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.

Extreme groundball hitters like Paul DeJong are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul DeJong in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

When starting against a southpaw this year, Hunter Renfroe has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Hunter Renfroe in today’s game.

Hunter Renfroe has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Hunter Renfroe’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Ty France is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage against Ty France in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.

Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.

In the past week, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%.

With 8 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Andrew Abbott will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Andrew Abbott’s curveball utilization has dropped by 5.9% from last year to this one (17.1% to 11.2%) .

Grading out in the 25th percentile, Andrew Abbott recorded a 9.2% Swinging Strike rate this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz’s true offensive ability to be a .330, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .026 difference between that figure and his actual .356 wOBA.

Jeimer Candelario has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

In terms of his home runs, Jeimer Candelario has experienced some positive variance this year. His 25.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.0.

Jeimer Candelario’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 108.2 mph this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jeimer Candelario’s skill is quite weak, posting a 4.07 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.7-mph average last season has dropped off to 90-mph.

Maikel Garcia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 16.3% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Posting a 8.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Maikel Garcia has performed in the 12th percentile for power.

Checking in at the 9th percentile, Maikel Garcia sports a .267 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage over Noelvi Marte in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.

In the last week, Noelvi Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

Noelvi Marte has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Considering Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Spencer Steer will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Kansas City (#3-best on the slate today).

Spencer Steer has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 83.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Spencer Steer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 18.6% to 15.6%.

The #1 park in baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Andrew Abbott is an extreme flyball pitcher (41% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #1 HR venue among all parks in this game.

Andrew Abbott will have the handedness advantage against Vinnie Pasquantino today.

Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Vinnie Pasquantino has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.6-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 89.7-mph in the past 14 days.

In the past 7 days, Vinnie Pasquantino’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.

When it comes to his home runs, Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate this year. His 25.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.6.

By putting up a .262 BABIP this year, Tyler Stephenson has performed in the 18th percentile.

Extreme flyball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 94-mph seasonal average has lowered to 90.5-mph over the past 14 days.

Despite posting a .425 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Witt Jr. has had some very good luck given the .049 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .376.

Freddy Fermin is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Freddy Fermin will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Freddy Fermin has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last season has fallen to 4.2% this year.

Freddy Fermin’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.2° figure last year.

Over the last two weeks, Freddy Fermin’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-5.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 7.5°.

When it comes to his home run ability, Garrett Hampson ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Garrett Hampson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

48% of the time that Garrett Hampson has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Garrett Hampson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Using Statcast metrics, Garrett Hampson ranks in the 22nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .268.

With a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jeimer Candelario is ranked in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 18th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Dairon Blanco is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

19% of the time that Dairon Blanco has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Dairon Blanco will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Dairon Blanco’s speed has decreased this year. His 30.38 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.6 ft/sec now.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.2°, Noelvi Marte has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-19°) in the past 14 days.

Given Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Jonathan India will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

This year, Jake Fraley has been pulled from the game early in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Jake Fraley’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 84-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 80.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

There has been a significant decline in Jake Fraley’s launch angle from last season’s 16.3° to 10.5° this season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Tyler Stephenson has had positive variance on his side this year with his .335 actual wOBA.

In notching a .252 BABIP this year, Jeimer Candelario is ranked in the 10th percentile.

Typically, bats like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Andrew Abbott.

Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has been lucky given the .022 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

T.J. Friedl’s BABIP talent is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

T.J. Friedl has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 15.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brady Singer in today’s matchup.

Brady Singer’s 91.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 22nd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Jake Fraley’s launch angle in recent games (-0.3° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 10.5° seasonal figure.

In his previous outing, Brady Singer gave up a monstrous 6 earned runs.

When estimating his home run skill, Dairon Blanco ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

T.J. Friedl has been lucky this year, putting up a .320 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .018 gap.

As it relates to his batting average, Garrett Hampson has been lucky this year. His .246 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .223.

Dairon Blanco grades out in the 18th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12% rate since the start of last season).

Maikel Garcia has compiled a .266 BABIP this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

Paul DeJong has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 30.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 23.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his home run skill, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Renfroe’s launch angle recently (-6.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 16.3° seasonal mark.