
KC @ TB


Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, May 1st
01/05/25 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Rays Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 9th-best field in the majors for righty home runs.
George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all major league parks.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 86°.
Junior Caminero’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.
As it relates to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Seth Lugo in today’s game.
Seth Lugo has put up a .230 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest hurlers in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Seth Lugo is projected to throw 98 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-most on the slate today.
The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christopher Morel, Kameron Misner, Jose Caballero).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 15th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average skill.
Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #9 venue in the majors for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme groundball batters like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run skill, Danny Jansen ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his home run ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage in today’s game.
When it comes to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in baseball.
Shane Baz has averaged 98.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shane Baz in the 87th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Shane Baz will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Shane Baz.
Drew Waters pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo in today’s game.
Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Extreme flyball bats like Maikel Garcia tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today’s matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Kameron Misner will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Kameron Misner will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Rays Series Game 3
Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Junior Caminero in today’s game.
Junior Caminero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Typically, batters like Junior Caminero who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Seth Lugo.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Salvador Perez meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Today, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (94th percentile).
Typically, bats like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Shane Baz.
Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nick Mahrley) calling pitches in today’s game.
The #5 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.
George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums.
Considering that flyball pitchers hold a significant advantage over flyball batters, Seth Lugo and his 42.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in today’s game going up against 3 opposing FB batters.
Ranking in the 10th percentile, Seth Lugo posted a 7.8% Swinging Strike percentage this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Shane Baz will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Renfroe in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Hunter Renfroe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.5% rate (97th percentile).
Hunter Renfroe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Extreme flyball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Danny Jansen is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Danny Jansen will be at a disadvantage today.
Today, Danny Jansen is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.4% rate (100th percentile).
Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Seth Lugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christopher Morel today.
Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Shane Baz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India today.
Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan India in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Isbel today.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kyle Isbel ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge today.
Typically, bats like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Shane Baz.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Shane Baz’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 87th percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball right now.
Because flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Shane Baz (36.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.
Drew Waters is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Drew Waters will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
When estimating his home run skill, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shane Baz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia today.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Maikel Garcia today.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 6th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Kameron Misner is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.
Kameron Misner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kameron Misner ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
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