Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles match player stats | Series Game 2 Wednesday, October 2nd MLB Postseason

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Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles match player stats | Series Game 2 Wednesday, October 2nd MLB Postseason

KC @ BAL

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, October 2nd
02/10/24 16:38:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Orioles Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent.

Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.8-mph now compared to just 90.7-mph then.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP.

Salvador Perez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 97.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Ryan Mountcastle will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan Mountcastle has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Kansas City (#2-worst of the day).

Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, MJ Melendez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences today.

MJ Melendez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .029 difference.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league.

Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adley Rutschman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Adley Rutschman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan O’Hearn will hold that advantage today.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Eflin in today’s game.

Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences today.

Michael Massey is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, posting a .296 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .019 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today.

Tommy Pham has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 11.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 15.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 80th percentile for power, Michael Massey has paced 24.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Ryan O’Hearn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.9% to 17.1%.

Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ramon Urias has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.1-mph.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12.5°, Ramon Urias has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.3° figure over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

There has been a significant improvement in Salvador Perez’s launch angle from last year’s 15.3° to 18.6° this season.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Baltimore Orioles (22.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters of all teams today.

Seth Lugo’s 2368-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a significant 101-rpm increase from last year’s 2267-rpm figure.

Seth Lugo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.88 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.43 — a 0.55 K/9 discrepancy.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the league.

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage today.

When it comes to his home run ability, Colton Cowser ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Colton Cowser is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Colton Cowser hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Yuli Gurriel is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Yuli Gurriel has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 92.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Yuli Gurriel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 15% on the season to 27.3% over the last week.

Yuli Gurriel’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 37.6% to 57.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Zach Eflin in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Colton Cowser’s BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adley Rutschman will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Zach Eflin will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Jordan Westburg has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .264 BA is a good deal lower than his .305 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zach Eflin in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.

The 3rd-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Kansas City Royals.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #29 park in baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jordan Westburg has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 24.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 30.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cedric Mullins’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (19.4° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 12.7° seasonal figure.

Yuli Gurriel has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 89th percentile with a 1.73 K/BB rate.

The 2nd-best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Out of all starters, Zach Eflin’s fastball velocity of 91.1 mph ranks in the 15th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Orioles Series Game 2

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 9th-highest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

Zach Eflin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today.

Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Batting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Salvador Perez has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.9% rate (92nd percentile).

Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Salvador Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 17.6% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

Anthony Santander’s BABIP ability is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #1 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Anthony Santander’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 90-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

MJ Melendez is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

This year, MJ Melendez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

MJ Melendez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Kyle Isbel is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Kyle Isbel has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.

Adley Rutschman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week.

Adley Rutschman has compiled a .273 BABIP this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Ryan O’Hearn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph dropping to 84.4-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

14% of the time that Michael Massey has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Zach Eflin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tommy Pham today.

Tommy Pham will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Tommy Pham’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

Seth Lugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Westburg in today’s game.

Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Jordan Westburg’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%.

Jordan Westburg has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 81.4-mph over the past week.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Massey in today’s game.

Over the past week, Michael Massey’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Seth Lugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ramon Urias today.

Ramon Urias has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 21.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 18.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Isbel today.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.4°, Ryan Mountcastle has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Lugo to throw 81 pitches in this outing (4th-most of all pitchers today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ben May) behind the plate in today’s game.

The Baltimore Orioles have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Seth Lugo in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Gunnar Henderson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 3.6%.

Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 94.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 88.9-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson’s true offensive skill to be a .364, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .379 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yuli Gurriel in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

This year, Yuli Gurriel has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards’s LF dimensions are the deepest.

Posting a 4.18 K/BB rate this year, Ryan Mountcastle has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 14th percentile.

Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Anthony Santander’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 17.2% on the season to 2.9% in the last two weeks.

Anthony Santander has posted a .227 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Cedric Mullins has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

Cedric Mullins has compiled a .223 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 43.5% to 38.4%.

Ramon Urias has been lucky this year, putting up a .324 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .014 discrepancy.

Batting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Yuli Gurriel will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 14.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 43.7% on the season to 27.6% over the past two weeks.

In the past 14 days, Gunnar Henderson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.4°.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zach Eflin is projected to throw 75 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate today.

The Kansas City Royals (20.5 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone set of hitters of the day.

Zach Eflin wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his previous GS and notched 1 Ks.

Zach Eflin’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2038 rpm) has been significantly worse than than his seasonal rate (2094 rpm).

Zach Eflin has gone to his curveball 8.5% less often this year (18%) than he did last season (26.5%).

As it relates to his home run talent, Yuli Gurriel ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Seth Lugo’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 81st percentile out of all SPs in the majors right now.

Anthony Santander has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 39.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 33.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of his home runs, Cedric Mullins has experienced some positive variance this year. His 21.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.8.

Latest Baltimore Orioles Match Player Stats

Latest Kansas City Royals Match Player Stats