Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Orioles Matchup Today

Heston Kjerstad’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for bats.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Heston Kjerstad will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael Wacha.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Ramon Urias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand today.

When estimating his home run ability, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Dean Kremer has averaged 95.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #28 field in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over groundball hitters, Dean Kremer and his 35.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable position in this game being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Dean Kremer will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Dean Kremer has used his curveball 5.9% more often this season (17.3%) than he did last season (11.4%).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Michael Wacha’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 76th percentile among all SPs in baseball right now.

As a result of his large reverse platoon split, Michael Wacha will benefit from facing 6 batters in the projected offense who hit from the other side in this matchup.

In his last outing, Michael Wacha was on point and allowed 1 ER.

Michael Wacha’s sinker utilization has dropped by 5.8% from last year to this one (15.3% to 9.5%) .

Given the 1.04 gap between Michael Wacha’s 7.31 K/9 and his 8.35 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform better going forward.

Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Freddy Fermin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Freddy Fermin has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 91.6-mph in the last 14 days.

Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The switch-hitting Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Dean Kremer.

Drew Waters pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Adley Rutschman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge in today’s game.

Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Orioles

Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Heston Kjerstad has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 28% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Heston Kjerstad has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Heston Kjerstad has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 11.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Heston Kjerstad’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 4.39 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 24th percentile.

Jackson Holliday is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

In today’s game, Jackson Holliday is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (93rd percentile).

In the last 14 days, Jackson Holliday’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

Jackson Holliday’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (4.6°) is significantly lower than his 9.5° figure last year.

Based on Statcast metrics, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 14th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .215.

Jackson Holliday’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (0° in the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 4.6° seasonal angle.

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Michael Wacha will hold the platoon advantage over Ramon Urias in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Ramon Urias’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 15.6% to 7.1%.

Over the last week, Ramon Urias’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 7.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Extreme groundball batters like Cedric Mullins tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Wacha.

Cedric Mullins has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

As it relates to his home runs, Cedric Mullins has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 23.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.8.

Cedric Mullins has recorded a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

Cedric Mullins has been lucky this year, putting up a .403 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .083 difference.

Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Michael Wacha will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Ryan Mountcastle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.4% down to 0%.

Ryan Mountcastle has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 85.3-mph over the past week.

Ryan Mountcastle’s launch angle recently (-4.8° in the last 7 days) is significantly lower than his 9.7° seasonal figure.

It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Kansas City Royals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Dean Kremer is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.7% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #6 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this game.

Dean Kremer’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2300 rpm) has been significantly higher than than his seasonal rate (2244 rpm).

The Kansas City Royals (20.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today.

Placing in the 5th percentile, Dean Kremer posted a 6.6% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Ryan O’Hearn has been pulled from the game early 25% of the time.

Ryan O’Hearn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Despite posting a .395 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O’Hearn has had some very good luck given the .055 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Michael Wacha is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #6 HR venue among all parks today.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Wacha in today’s game.

In his last GS, Michael Wacha wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

Michael Wacha’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.1 mph this year (92.5 mph) below where it was last season (93.6 mph).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 3rd-deepest LF fences in Major League Baseball.

Michael Wacha will have the handedness advantage over Ramon Laureano in today’s game.

Ramon Laureano has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .249 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Ramon Laureano’s talent is quite weak, putting up a 6.89 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 2nd percentile.

Dean Kremer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today’s game.

Jonathan India pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90.1-mph seasonal average has fallen to 86.1-mph in the past 14 days.

In terms of power, Jonathan India finds himself in the 17th percentile, having averaged 10.4 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Freddy Fermin ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Dean Kremer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin in today’s game.

Freddy Fermin will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 7°, Freddy Fermin has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-8.7°) over the past 14 days.

Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Dean Kremer.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. today.

Bobby Witt Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 91-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86.1-mph over the past 7 days.

Drew Waters is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Drew Waters in today’s matchup.

Drew Waters has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the last 7 days.

In the past week’s worth of games, Drew Waters has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 78.5-mph on his flyballs.

Posting a 5° launch angle in the past 7 days suggests that Drew Waters has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Michael Wacha in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 0%.

Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 17.9% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Ranking in the 19th percentile, Adley Rutschman has notched a .266 BABIP since the start of last season.

Dean Kremer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Maikel Garcia today.

In the past 7 days, Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 89 mph to 79.6 mph.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 10°, Maikel Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.5°) in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s game.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s launch angle recently (15.5° in the past week) is quite a bit worse than his 21.2° seasonal figure.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s BABIP talent is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the past 7 days, Vinnie Pasquantino’s 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 36.1%.

Checking in at the 5th percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino sits with a .245 BABIP since the start of last season.

Gunnar Henderson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 95.8-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 93.3-mph over the last week.

Gunnar Henderson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 29.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 22.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Michael Massey is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Extreme flyball bats like Michael Massey tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dean Kremer.

Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Michael Massey has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 7.2% rate last season has fallen off to 1.3% this season.

Michael Massey’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.2-mph average last season has dropped to 86.6-mph.

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