Royals vs Marlins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 20th

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Royals vs Marlins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 20th

KC @ MIA

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Kansas City Royals at Miami Marlins
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, July 20th
20/07/25 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Marlins Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an advantage today.

Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Eric Wagaman has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 8.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 14.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park.

Agustin Ramirez will have the handedness advantage against Kris Bubic today.

Agustin Ramirez will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an edge today.

Javier Sanoja hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Javier Sanoja has been unlucky this year, compiling a .267 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .035 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

In terms of his batting average, Javier Sanoja has had some very poor luck this year. His .232 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .281.

Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Derek Hill will have an advantage in today’s game.

Derek Hill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Derek Hill has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season’s 88.3-mph figure.

Derek Hill’s 10.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Derek Hill has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .231 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Salvador Perez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 93.7-mph over the past two weeks.

Salvador Perez’s launch angle lately (25.3° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 19.3° seasonal angle.

Salvador Perez has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 20.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 31.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Salvador Perez has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .303 mark is considerably lower than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Edwin Moscoso profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate today.

The #6 stadium in MLB for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kris Bubic today.

Out of all starting pitchers, Kris Bubic’s fastball velocity of 91.7 mph grades out in the 22nd percentile this year.

Kris Bubic has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.48 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.82 — a 1.34 difference.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kris Bubic in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heriberto Hernandez, Kyle Stowers, Derek Hill).

Because groundball pitchers hold a notable edge over groundball batters, Kris Bubic and his 44.1% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position today squaring off against 4 opposing GB batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Otto Lopez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic today.

Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.6) suggests that Jonathan India has had some very poor luck this year with his 6.2 actual HR/600.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jonathan India’s talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 77th percentile.

Jonathan India has been unlucky this year, notching a .304 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .028 gap.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Placing in the 79th percentile, Freddy Fermin sports a .324 BABIP this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Bobby Witt Jr. has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.3% seasonal rate to 25% over the last two weeks.

Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph mark.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 43.7% to 50%.

When it comes to his home runs, Bobby Witt Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year. His 20.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 26.3.

Nick Loftin’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 89.7-mph now compared to just 83.6-mph then.

Nick Loftin’s launch angle this season (20.2°) is significantly higher than his 9.8° angle last year.

Nick Loftin’s launch angle of late (37.5° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 20.2° seasonal figure.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Loftin has suffered from bad luck this year. His .269 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

Nick Loftin has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In terms of plate discipline, Xavier Edwards’s skill is quite good, sporting a 1.64 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

Xavier Edwards has notched a .336 BABIP this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Xavier Edwards’s BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Janson Junk will hold the platoon advantage against 7 opposing hitters in this game.

Janson Junk is an extreme flyball pitcher (34% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #25 HR venue in the majors in today’s game.

Given that flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Janson Junk (34% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Janson Junk will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Stowers has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last year to 20.1% this year.

In the past 7 days, Kyle Stowers’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20.1% up to 37.5%.

Kyle Stowers has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 91.6-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Maikel Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

In the past 14 days, Maikel Garcia’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

Using Statcast data, Maikel Garcia grades out in the 93rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .285.

Sporting a 1.65 K/BB rate this year, Maikel Garcia has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Based on Statcast data, Maikel Garcia is in the 77th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .338.

In notching a .353 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Maikel Garcia grades out in the 81st percentile.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage over Janson Junk in today’s game.

Vinnie Pasquantino has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the past two weeks.

Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a .273 batting average this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run ability, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an edge in today’s game.

Heriberto Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ranking in the 82nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.47 ft/sec this year, Heriberto Hernandez is very athletic.

Dane Myers’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dane Myers will have the handedness advantage against Kris Bubic today.

Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Dane Myers’s launch angle recently (21.9° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 11.8° seasonal figure.

Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Marlins Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst park in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.

LoanDepot Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Eric Wagaman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 14 days.

Over the last 14 days, Eric Wagaman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 5.9°.

The #7 park in the majors for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Agustin Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 11.1% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Agustin Ramirez has notched a .255 BABIP this year, checking in at the 13th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Javier Sanoja is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Using Statcast data, Javier Sanoja grades out in the 3rd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 1.500.

Javier Sanoja’s 1.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 4th percentile this year.

Derek Hill is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

In today’s game, Derek Hill is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.7% rate (76th percentile).

Janson Junk will hold the platoon advantage over Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.3% rate (95th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kris Bubic in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

The Miami Marlins projected lineup profiles as the 4th-weakest of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability.

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Miami Marlins offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF fences are the 4th-deepest.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kris Bubic is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of all pitchers today.

Typically, bats like Otto Lopez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kris Bubic.

With a .259 BABIP this year, Otto Lopez finds himself in the 15th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Jonathan India will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan India today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 21st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Freddy Fermin is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Freddy Fermin will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Janson Junk will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. today.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Nick Loftin is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

11% of the time that Nick Loftin has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

When it comes to his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will bat from his worse side against Kris Bubic today.

Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Janson Junk is projected to throw 83 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least on the slate.

The Kansas City Royals have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,With a 1.79 deviation between Janson Junk’s 2.68 ERA and his 4.47 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year and should see worse results the rest of the season.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Janson Junk in the 11th percentile among all starters in the game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.5% underlying K%.

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst venue in the game for lefty home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst field in baseball for LHB batting average.

Janson Junk will hold the platoon advantage over Maikel Garcia in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s matchup.

Heriberto Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Heriberto Hernandez’s true offensive skill to be a .299, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .080 difference between that figure and his actual .379 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 24th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Dane Myers is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Dane Myers generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Kris Bubic.

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