Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Marlins Matchup Today

Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8%,— 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

In terms of his home runs, Eric Wagaman has had bad variance on his side this year. His 8.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.1.

When estimating his home run talent, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage today.

Agustin Ramirez has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage today.

Liam Hicks has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph to 91.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In the last two weeks, Liam Hicks’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 23.4%.

Liam Hicks is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (23.4% rate this year).

Jac Caglianone will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara today.

Jac Caglianone hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 6.3°, Jac Caglianone has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 10.7° figure in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jac Caglianone has had bad variance on his side this year. His .205 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

Jac Caglianone’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to study power) has been 114.1 mph this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

When it comes to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Salvador Perez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.

Salvador Perez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph mark.

Salvador Perez’s launch angle of late (25.3° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a significant increase over his 19.3° seasonal mark.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tallying 95.9 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Seth Lugo falls in the 95th percentile.

The Miami Marlins projected lineup ranks as the 5th-worst on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

The Miami Marlins have been the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Seth Lugo has relied on his secondary pitches 5.4% more often this year (62.9%) than he did last year (57.5%).

The Kansas City Royals have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Sandy Alcantara (48.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Kansas City’s projected lineup.

Sandy Alcantara has compiled a 4.71 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things most within a pitcher’s control) this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.

Placing in the 14th percentile, Sandy Alcantara has compiled a 1.91 K/BB rate this year.

Recording 92.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Sandy Alcantara checks in at the 85th percentile.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Sandy Alcantara will hold that advantage today.

In his last game started, Sandy Alcantara was firing on all cylinders and notched 7 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez’s launch angle this season (10.9°) is considerably better than his 7.7° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Seth Lugo.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Otto Lopez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

When it comes to his home runs, Jonathan India has experienced some negative variance this year. His 6.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.6.

With a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, Jonathan India has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 77th percentile.

Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonathan India has been unlucky given the .028 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today’s game.

Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitters such as Bobby Witt Jr. with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sandy Alcantara who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Bobby Witt Jr. has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.

Bobby Witt Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 97.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Nick Loftin has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last year’s 83.6-mph figure.

Nick Loftin’s launch angle this year (20.2°) is a significant increase over his 9.8° angle last season.

Nick Loftin’s launch angle lately (37.5° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably higher than his 20.2° seasonal figure.

Nick Loftin has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .269 rate is considerably lower than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Loftin’s skill is quite strong, posting a 1.72 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 88th percentile.

Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Seth Lugo.

Extreme flyball hitters like Xavier Edwards tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Seth Lugo.

Xavier Edwards will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Sporting a 1.64 K/BB rate this year, Xavier Edwards has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Xavier Edwards has compiled a .336 BABIP this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

When assessing his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last year to 20.1% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

In the past two weeks, Maikel Garcia’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .338.

Maikel Garcia has compiled a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 81st percentile.

Maikel Garcia has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.65 K/BB rate.

Maikel Garcia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Posting a .285 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Maikel Garcia is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today.

Over the last 14 days, Vinnie Pasquantino has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.5% to 17.2%.

Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a .273 batting average this year, placing in the 77th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Dane Myers usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11.8°, Dane Myers has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.9° mark over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, John Rave will have an advantage in today’s game.

John Rave hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.281) implies that John Rave has experienced some negative variance this year with his .234 actual wOBA.

Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.27 ft/sec this year, John Rave is remarkably quick.

Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Marlins

Eric Wagaman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #26 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Eric Wagaman in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst field in the game for righty batting average.

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage against Agustin Ramirez today.

Over the last week, Agustin Ramirez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

When assessing his home run skill, Liam Hicks ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Liam Hicks is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

This year, Liam Hicks has been pulled from the game early in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for LHB home runs.

The 4th-deepest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in LoanDepot Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in the league for lefty batting average.

Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jac Caglianone today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Salvador Perez will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #6 stadium in the league for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering that groundball hitters hold a notable advantage over flyball pitchers, Seth Lugo and his 33% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position in this matchup squaring off against 3 opposing GB hitters.

Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Seth Lugo’s fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (91.2 mph) below where it was last season (92.2 mph).

With a 1.72 gap between Seth Lugo’s 2.67 ERA and his 4.40 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and ought to negatively regress in the future.

Grading out in the 13th percentile, Seth Lugo recorded an 8.2% Swinging Strike% this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Sandy Alcantara’s overall pitching ability is in the 81st percentile among all starters in the game currently.

The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.3% underlying K%.

Sandy Alcantara has recorded an 8.6% Swinging Strike rate this year, grading out in the 17th percentile.

Ranking in the 17th percentile, Sandy Alcantara has posted a 17.1% Strikeout% this year.

10% of the time that Jesus Sanchez has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Jesus Sanchez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Seth Lugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez in today’s matchup.

In notching a .259 BABIP this year, Otto Lopez is positioned in the 15th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Jonathan India faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kyle Isbel ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sandy Alcantara will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.1% rate (86th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Nick Loftin is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Nick Loftin has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

When assessing his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In today’s game, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.3% rate (98th percentile).

Xavier Edwards has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph dropping to 83.7-mph in the last week.

Despite posting a .387 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Stowers has been lucky given the .058 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

As it relates to his home run ability, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Maikel Garcia faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino today.

Dane Myers is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage against Dane Myers in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, John Rave ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

John Rave is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

31% of the time that John Rave has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

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