
KC @ SEA



Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 2nd
02/07/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Mariners Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (34.5%,— 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Cole Young has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.1-mph.
A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Cole Young has been very consistent with his of late, notching a 33.2° launch angle standard deviation over the last two weeks.
Benjamin Williamson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Benjamin Williamson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Benjamin Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Extreme groundball batters like Benjamin Williamson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Noah Cameron.
Benjamin Williamson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.
Jac Caglianone will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s game.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jac Caglianone stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Jac Caglianone tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jac Caglianone has been unlucky this year. His .205 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.
T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences in the league.
Noah Cameron will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Noah Cameron has been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .197 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
Seattle Mariners batters collectively grade out 10th- in baseball for power this year when assessing with their 9.1% Barrel%.
The #2 field in the league for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
Given that flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Noah Cameron (33.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 19.3°, Salvador Perez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.8° mark in the past 14 days.
Salvador Perez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (17.7°) is considerably better than his 14.7° figure last year.
Salvador Perez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .281 figure is quite a bit lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
J.P. Crawford has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In the past week, J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.4-mph of late.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Dylan Moore will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Dylan Moore will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Dylan Moore’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 18% to 23.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Donovan Solano will hold the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron today.
Donovan Solano will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Donovan Solano has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 90.4-mph over the last 14 days.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Randy Arozarena will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Cameron in today’s game.
Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In the past 7 days, Mitch Garver’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 50%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Jonathan India’s launch angle this year (17.1°) is quite a bit better than his 13.3° mark last season.
Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Jonathan India has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.4° mark in the last 14 days.
Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s game.
Kyle Isbel has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
Kyle Isbel pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Kyle Isbel has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 90.6-mph over the last 14 days.
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the past 14 days, Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph lately.
Compared to last season, Bobby Witt Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.7% to 49.8% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball’s 4th-best home run batter.
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Noah Cameron today.
Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Kansas City Royals offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
Logan Gilbert has averaged 92.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 85th percentile.
When estimating his strikeout ability, Logan Gilbert projects as the 12th-best pitcher in baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As it relates to his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an advantage today.
Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Maikel Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Maikel Garcia has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Maikel Garcia’s launch angle this season (9.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 6.2° mark last season.
Maikel Garcia’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 46.6% on the season to 60% in the past 7 days.
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Vinnie Pasquantino stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino’s launch angle lately (19.1° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 15.7° seasonal figure.
Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Mariners Series Game 3
When assessing his home run talent, Cole Young ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cole Young is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
T-Mobile Park profiles as the #30 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense.
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst park in baseball for left-handed batting average.
Noah Cameron will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Young in today’s game.
Benjamin Williamson is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Benjamin Williamson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 84.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 80.4-mph in the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jac Caglianone will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
The Seattle Mariners have been the 5th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward,T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 field in Major League Baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Noah Cameron has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 7 opposite-handed batters in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noah Cameron to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (9th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Salvador Perez will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Typically, bats like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Logan Gilbert.
Salvador Perez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the same side that Noah Cameron throws from, J.P. Crawford has a tough challenge today.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.9°, J.P. Crawford’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (2.8° in the past 14 days).
Dylan Moore is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Typically, bats like Dylan Moore who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Noah Cameron.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 18th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Donovan Solano is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Donovan Solano’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (10.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 15.4° figure last season.
Over the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.
Mitch Garver’s BABIP skill is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Typically, bats like Mitch Garver who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Noah Cameron.
Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Jonathan India will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.
Extreme flyball hitters like Cal Raleigh usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Noah Cameron.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh’s true offensive ability to be a .355, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .071 disparity between that mark and his actual .426 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Gilbert as the 17th-best SP in the majors right now.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher today) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.2% underlying K%.
Julio Rodriguez’s launch angle lately (5.2° in the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 9° seasonal mark.
As it relates to plate discipline, Julio Rodriguez’s ability is quite bad, posting a 3.45 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 25th percentile.
Logan Gilbert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Maikel Garcia in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s game.
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