
KC @ ARI


Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, July 5th
05/07/25 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Today
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the league.
Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the game for LHB batting average.
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense.
Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Pavin Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand today.
Pavin Smith will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as Major League Baseball’s 16th-best home run hitter.
Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the majors for right-handed batting average.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Naylor ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today’s game.
Josh Naylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Because of his reverse platoon split, Michael Wacha will benefit from being matched up with 6 bats in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today’s game.
Given the 0.78 difference between Michael Wacha’s 6.96 K/9 and his 7.74 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to perform better in future games.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Michael Wacha’s overall pitching talent is in the 77th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.
Recording 17.1 outs per start this year on average, Michael Wacha falls in the 77th percentile.
The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected lineup today (.320 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .335 wOBA this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge today.
Batters such as Jake McCarthy with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Michael Wacha who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Jake McCarthy will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average talent.
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha today.
Hitters such as Alek Thomas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Michael Wacha who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Ryne Nelson has relied on his four-seamer 9.9% more often this year (65.9%) than he did last season (56%).
Ryne Nelson has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .229 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.
Given that groundball pitchers hold a big advantage over groundball bats, Ryne Nelson and his 35.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good spot in today’s game matching up with 2 opposing GB bats.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Ryne Nelson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Out of all starters, Ryne Nelson’s fastball velocity of 94.7 mph is in the 76th percentile this year.
Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs D-Backs Series Game 2
The league’s 10th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Chase Field.
The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Michael Wacha in today’s game.
Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The #2 ballpark in the game for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
The 3rd-deepest CF fences among all parks are found in Chase Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the majors for right-handed home runs.
Hitting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Eugenio Suarez will be in a tough position today.
Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Wacha.
Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage over Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.
Typically, bats like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ryne Nelson.
Salvador Perez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The #7 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Given that groundball hitters hold a big advantage over flyball pitchers, Michael Wacha and his 36.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in this game squaring off against 2 opposing GB batters.
Michael Wacha will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
In his last start, Michael Wacha struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.
Chase Field grades out as the #3 park in the majors for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Michael Wacha’s 92.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1-mph decrease from last year’s 93.6-mph figure.
Michael Wacha’s change-up utilization has decreased by 6.2% from last season to this one (32.3% to 26.1%) .
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
Hitting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a tough challenge today.
James McCann is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.
Batting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, James McCann faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
James McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 17th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
When it comes to his home run skill, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jonathan India will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Out of all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
In today’s matchup, Kyle Isbel is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.5% rate (77th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 16th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
When assessing his home run skill, Freddy Fermin ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin in today’s game.
In today’s game, Freddy Fermin is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (79th percentile).
Ryne Nelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Extreme flyball batters like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryne Nelson.
When estimating his home run ability, Nick Loftin ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nick Loftin is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Nick Loftin will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today’s game.
Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run ability, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Alek Thomas is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino today.
Ryne Nelson is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #29 HR venue in MLB in this game.
The Kansas City Royals (19.7 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams on the slate today.
Ryne Nelson struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his last game started and notched 2 Ks.
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