Royals vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Friday, July 4th

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Royals vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Friday, July 4th

KC @ ARI

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Matchup Details

Kansas City Royals at Arizona Diamondbacks

Todays Game is on Friday, July 4th
04/07/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs D-Backs Matchup Today

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Tim Tawa will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Tim Tawa will hold that advantage today.

Tim Tawa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .203 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .237 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Tim Tawa and his 21% rank in the 88th percentile this year.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tim Tawa has had bad variance on his side this year. His .275 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the league.

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kris Bubic.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ketel Marte has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 16.4% seasonal rate to 26.3% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the game’s 16th-best home run batter.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kris Bubic.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Salvador Perez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25° mark in the last two weeks.

In terms of his home runs, Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year. His 15.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.7.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kris Bubic in the 90th percentile among all starters in the majors.

Throwing 91.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Kris Bubic ranks in the 78th percentile.

In his previous game started, Kris Bubic was rolling and notched 8 strikeouts.

Among all starters, Kris Bubic’s fastball spin rate of 2422 rpm ranks in the 82nd percentile this year.

The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Kris Bubic has been lucky this year, notching a 2.25 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.87 — a 1.62 gap.

Collectively, Arizona Diamondbacks hitters have done well as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), placing 5th-best in the game.

Mark Canha will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.

Mark Canha’s launch angle this season (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 9.5° angle last year.

Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Canha has suffered from bad luck given the .070 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Mark Canha has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 2.01 K/BB rate.

When assessing his home run talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage over Kris Bubic today.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.1% to 18.4%.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Geraldo Perdomo will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 17.6%.

In the last week, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph in recent games.

Compared to last season, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 20.2% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Eduardo Rodriguez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Recording 91.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Eduardo Rodriguez falls in the 77th percentile.

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Eduardo Rodriguez figures to be at an advantage going up against 7 bats in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side in today’s matchup.

Because groundball batters struggle against groundball pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez (36.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.

The Kansas City Royals have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Jonathan India will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez today.

Jonathan India’s launch angle this season (17.1°) is significantly higher than his 13.3° angle last year.

Jonathan India’s launch angle in recent games (24.7° in the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 17.1° seasonal angle.

Freddy Fermin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Freddy Fermin has compiled a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the game.

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage today.

Bobby Witt Jr. has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 17.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 24.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Maikel Garcia will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.

Maikel Garcia has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 90-mph.

Maikel Garcia has posted a .365 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Blaze Alexander will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for left-handed batting average.

In the last 7 days, Vinnie Pasquantino’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph lately.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 42% on the season to 56.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 16°, Vinnie Pasquantino has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.6° figure over the last 14 days.

Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs D-Backs

Tim Tawa is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Chase Field.

Chase Field has the 10th-highest average fence height in MLB.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 32%.

Tim Tawa has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last two weeks.

Chase Field ranks as the #26 stadium in the game for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Over the past 14 days, Tim Tawa’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21%.

Ketel Marte’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 94-mph average last season has fallen to 91.2-mph.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has been very fortunate this year. His .420 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .380.

Eugenio Suarez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph dropping to 85.2-mph over the past 7 days.

When it comes to his home runs, Eugenio Suarez has experienced some positive variance this year. His 45.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.1.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Eugenio Suarez has been very fortunate this year. His .368 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318.

Placing in the 13th percentile, Eugenio Suarez has put up a .254 BABIP this year.

Extreme groundball bats like Salvador Perez usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Salvador Perez today.

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Kris Bubic will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Out of all SPs, Kris Bubic’s fastball velocity of 91.7 mph is in the 22nd percentile this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Kris Bubic’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 90th percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball right now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .315, which is a fair amount lower than their actual wOBA of .336 this year.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year.

When assessing his home run talent, Mark Canha ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Canha is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mark Canha in today’s matchup.

Mark Canha’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 90.9-mph figure last season has lowered to 85.9-mph.

When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Randal Grichuk has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 37% of the time.

Randal Grichuk hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Randal Grichuk’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.2%.

By putting up a .229 batting average this year, Randal Grichuk is positioned in the 24th percentile.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 86.2-mph in the past two weeks.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has compiled a .246 BABIP this year, checking in at the 6th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Geraldo Perdomo’s true offensive ability to be a .306, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .344 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

The Kansas City Royals (19 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of all teams today.

Eduardo Rodriguez’s 91.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 15th percentile among all SPs.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Eduardo Rodriguez has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 55.7% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Eduardo Rodriguez in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Freddy Fermin is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Freddy Fermin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Freddy Fermin will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Freddy Fermin’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 89.6 mph to 83 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 23rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

In today’s game, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.6% rate (83rd percentile).

Extreme flyball batters like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. today.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 89.5-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Maikel Garcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Maikel Garcia’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 5.4°.

Maikel Garcia has been lucky this year, notching a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .044 deviation.

Blaze Alexander is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Blaze Alexander has been pulled from the game early 30% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season.

In today’s game, Blaze Alexander is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.9% rate (89th percentile).

Blaze Alexander has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .298 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .240 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the game for LHB home runs.

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