
KC @ ATL




Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 28th
28/09/24 19:20:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Braves Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Michael Massey is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.
Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average.
Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Truist Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Truist Park profiles as the #10 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
This game is expected to have the 5th-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.
As it relates to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In the last week, Orlando Arcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph of late.
Orlando Arcia’s launch angle this season (8.5°) is considerably higher than his 5.5° mark last year.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Yuli Gurriel’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 37.6% to 61.8%.
Yuli Gurriel has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When estimating his home run ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Last year, Ramon Laureano had an average launch angle of 13.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 19.6°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Reynaldo Lopez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Reynaldo Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Reynaldo Lopez was firing on all cylinders in his last start and compiled 11 strikeouts.
Reynaldo Lopez’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2127 rpm) has been considerably better than than his seasonal rate (2072 rpm).
Ranking in the 85th percentile, Reynaldo Lopez has posted a 26.6% Strikeout% this year.
When estimating his home run talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
MJ Melendez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jorge Soler as the league’s 17th-best home run batter.
Jorge Soler is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
Gio Urshela’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gio Urshela will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Adam Frazier has had bad variance on his side this year. His .265 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.
When it comes to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo in today’s game.
When it comes to his batting average, Maikel Garcia has had bad variance on his side this year. His .234 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276.
Kyle Isbel has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 90-mph.
Sean Murphy has been unlucky this year, posting a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .050 discrepancy.
Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
There has been a significant improvement in Salvador Perez’s launch angle from last year’s 15.3° to 18.6° this season.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in MLB.
Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last year’s 90.7-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Marcell Ozuna will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Seth Lugo has averaged 96.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.
Seth Lugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in today’s game.
Seth Lugo’s fastball spin rate has jumped 101 rpm this season (2368 rpm) over where it was last year (2267 rpm).
Seth Lugo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 7.83 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.40 — a 0.57 K/9 discrepancy.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Atlanta Braves offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for base hits.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.304) implies that Maikel Garcia has experienced some negative variance this year with his .271 actual wOBA.
In the past week, Gio Urshela’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.9% up to 21.4%.
In the last week’s worth of games, Gio Urshela’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph in recent games.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Braves Series Game 2
The #9 field in the majors for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.
Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
In the past 7 days, Michael Massey’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.
Michael Massey’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 82.7-mph over the past week.
Michael Massey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 18.1% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Kyle Isbel will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Kyle Isbel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 15.2% to 9.5%.
Kyle Isbel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 9.5% on the season to 0% over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Hitting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Tommy Pham faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tommy Pham in today’s matchup.
Tommy Pham has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.
Tommy Pham’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 84.8-mph over the last 7 days.
In the last week’s worth of games, Tommy Pham’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.4%.
The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 4th-best among every team playing today.
Sean Murphy is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Sean Murphy will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
This year, Sean Murphy’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 15.9% last year to just 9.3% this year.
Sean Murphy’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 91.4-mph figure last year has decreased to 87.8-mph.
When estimating his home run talent, Adam Frazier ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Adam Frazier is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
Adam Frazier will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Adam Frazier has averaged 8.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
This year, Adam Frazier’s 3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 8th percentile among his peers.
The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Seth Lugo, Ozzie Albies’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 85.3-mph over the last week.
Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.6-mph average last season has decreased to 90.3-mph.
Ozzie Albies’s launch angle recently (-2.8° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 18.9° seasonal angle.
Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest LF fences in Major League Baseball.
Hitting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph dropping to 90.1-mph in the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.’s true offensive ability to be a .380, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .409 wOBA.
Orlando Arcia is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
Truist Park grades out as the #21 stadium in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Orlando Arcia will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.5°, Orlando Arcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.2°) over the last two weeks.
Reynaldo Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.
Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Salvador Perez today.
In the past week’s worth of games, Salvador Perez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.
Salvador Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 18% on the season to 5.9% in the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yuli Gurriel in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Yuli Gurriel is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Reynaldo Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yuli Gurriel today.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yuli Gurriel in today’s game.
Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
10% of the time that Ramon Laureano has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Ramon Laureano in today’s game.
In terms of plate discipline, Michael Harris II’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 4.59 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Reynaldo Lopez to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 85 pitches.
The Kansas City Royals (20.8 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams on the slate.
Reynaldo Lopez’s fastball spin rate has fallen 117 rpm this year (2072 rpm) below where it was last year (2189 rpm).
MJ Melendez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
In the past week’s worth of games, MJ Melendez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.
MJ Melendez’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 93.2-mph mark last season has decreased to 91-mph.
In the last week, MJ Melendez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.
By putting up a .285 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, MJ Melendez is ranked in the 16th percentile.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Jorge Soler encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
Based on Statcast data, Jorge Soler is in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .230.
Gio Urshela is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Gio Urshela faces a tough challenge today.
Utilizing Statcast data, Gio Urshela ranks in the 17th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 10.500.
Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s game.
Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 98.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 95-mph over the past 14 days.
Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, notching a .400 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .052 discrepancy.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yuli Gurriel in the 20th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Maikel Garcia is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Maikel Garcia encounters a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Maikel Garcia in today’s game.
Maikel Garcia’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 90.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.8-mph in the last 7 days.
Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.7-mph figure last season has fallen to 90-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 22nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Adam Frazier’s 86.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 1st percentile this year.
Grading out in the 10th percentile, Gio Urshela sports a .277 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.
Seth Lugo’s 91.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.2-mph fall off from last season’s 92.8-mph mark.
Seth Lugo’s curveball usage has fallen by 12.5% from last year to this one (29.3% to 16.8%) .
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Seth Lugo in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.
Seth Lugo was firing on all cylinders in his last outing and gave up 2 ER.
When assessing his home run skill, Gio Urshela ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
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