KC @ ATH


Royals @ Athletics Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, September 28th
Time : 28/09/25 15:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Kansas City Royals Game Today
Sutter Health Park grades out as the #5 park in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Darell Hernaiz will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.
Darell Hernaiz will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Darell Hernaiz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 15.2% on the season to 23.1% over the past week.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.296) may lead us to conclude that Darell Hernaiz has suffered from bad luck this year with his .273 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Sutter Health Park projects as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Brett Harris will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Brett Harris will hold that advantage today.
Over the past week, Brett Harris’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.1% up to 28.6%.
Brett Harris has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83.2-mph to 96.8-mph over the past 7 days.
Jacob Wilson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.
Jacob Wilson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jacob Wilson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
By putting up a .345 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jacob Wilson finds himself in the 77th percentile.
As it relates to his batting average talent, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 15th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colby Thomas in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Colby Thomas will have an advantage in today’s game.
Colby Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Colby Thomas is quite quick, grading out in the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.66 ft/sec this year.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nick Kurtz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #8 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nick Kurtz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Nick Kurtz projects as the 8th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In the last two weeks, Nick Kurtz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.8-mph over the course of the season to 103.9-mph of late.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 16th-best batter in MLB.
Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Brent Rooker will have an advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.
Tyler Soderstrom will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Over the last week, Tyler Soderstrom’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 18.2%.
When estimating his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Shea Langeliers will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Shea Langeliers will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Cole Ragans projects as the 4th-best starter in Major League Baseball right now when estimating his strikeout ability, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Athletics have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colby Thomas, Nick Kurtz, Lawrence Butler, Tyler Soderstrom).
Cole Ragans has a large reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed bats in today’s game.
Cole Ragans’s 2568-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 97th percentile out of all SPs.
Cole Ragans has put up a 15.2% Swinging Strike percentage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.
Negatives with the Athletics Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Darell Hernaiz is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.
Darell Hernaiz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.8% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Darell Hernaiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 84.5-mph in the last two weeks.
Darell Hernaiz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 38.6% on the season to 23.1% over the past week.
Based on Statcast metrics, Darell Hernaiz grades out in the 17th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 7.500.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Darell Hernaiz ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 5.2° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.
Brett Harris’s BABIP talent is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brett Harris is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The 6th-deepest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Sutter Health Park.
Brett Harris has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .306 figure is considerably higher than his .265 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Brett Harris has recorded a .207 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Jacob Wilson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 86.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 80.8-mph over the past week.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.5°, Jacob Wilson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) over the past 14 days.
Over the last 7 days, Jacob Wilson has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power).
Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jacob Wilson has had positive variance on his side given the .042 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
Colby Thomas is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Colby Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Colby Thomas has experienced some positive variance this year. His .293 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .279.
Hitting from the same side that Cole Ragans throws from, Nick Kurtz has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Nick Kurtz has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Over the past week, Nick Kurtz’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.8%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Kurtz’s true offensive skill to be a .353, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .066 difference between that mark and his actual .419 wOBA.
Brent Rooker pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Brent Rooker has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 13.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.
Over the last week, Brent Rooker’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 94.3 mph to 82.2 mph.
In the past 7 days, Brent Rooker’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.
Cole Ragans will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Soderstrom in today’s game.
Tyler Soderstrom has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.2°, Tyler Soderstrom has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Soderstrom’s true offensive ability to be a .331, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .026 disparity between that figure and his actual .357 wOBA.
Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.2-mph figure last season has dropped off to 94-mph.
Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Shea Langeliers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 95.3-mph figure last season has dropped to 92.3-mph.
From last year to this one, Shea Langeliers’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.2% to 13.9%.
Shea Langeliers has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 35.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 26.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.345) provides evidence that Shea Langeliers has been lucky this year with his .362 actual wOBA.
Cole Ragans will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Cole Ragans has utilized his four-seamer 7.5% more often this season (49.3%) than he did last season (41.8%).
Cole Ragans has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 14.13 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.67 — a 2.46 K/9 discrepancy.
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