KC @ LAA





Royals @ Angels Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 24th
Time : 24/09/25 21:38:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Kansas City Royals Game Today
In the majors, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Tyler Tolbert will have an advantage today.
Ranking in the 80th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.47 ft/sec this year, Tyler Tolbert is very quick.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Denzer Guzman will hold that advantage today.
In the past 7 days, Denzer Guzman has displayed impressive power, recording a a 42.9% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power).
Denzer Guzman has displayed some good exit velocity benchmarks in recent games, averaging 102.6-mph on his flyballs in the past week’s worth of games.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Denzer Guzman’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 40% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Nolan Schanuel will have the handedness advantage over Stephen Kolek today.
Nolan Schanuel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Last season, Nolan Schanuel had an average launch angle of 13° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 10th-worst park in the game for batting average.
With 7 bats who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Stephen Kolek figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Stephen Kolek was in good form in his previous game started and allowed 0 ER.
Among all starters, Stephen Kolek’s fastball spin rate of 2180 rpm ranks in the 23rd percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Moore in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Christian Moore will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Christian Moore has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Christian Moore has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.2-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Mike Trout as the game’s 16th-best home run hitter.
Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Mike Trout has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Stephen Kolek struggles to strike batters out (14th percentile K%) — great news for Trout.
Extreme groundball bats like Mike Trout usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Taylor Ward is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Extreme groundball bats like Taylor Ward tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jo Adell projects as the 15th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jo Adell is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Jo Adell has strong power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Stephen Kolek is a pitch-to-contact type (24th percentile K%) — great news for Adell.
Jo Adell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Salvador Perez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Salvador Perez’s launch angle in recent games (21.6° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 18.2° seasonal mark.
Compared to average, Yusei Kikuchi has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an additional 6.5 adjusted pitches each start.
Today’s version of the Royals projected lineup is a bit watered down, as their .320 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .347 overall projected rate.
Yusei Kikuchi will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The Los Angeles Angels have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Mike Yastrzemski has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.5-mph figure.
Mike Yastrzemski’s launch angle recently (26.6° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 20.3° seasonal mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) provides evidence that Randal Grichuk has had bad variance on his side this year with his .226 actual batting average.
Randal Grichuk’s 92.4-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the game this year: 92nd percentile.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Yoan Moncada ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Stephen Kolek.
Yoan Moncada will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the majors.
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 94.3-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Maikel Garcia will have an advantage in today’s game.
There has been a significant improvement in Maikel Garcia’s launch angle from last year’s 6.2° to 9.7° this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Logan O’Hoppe has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Stephen Kolek doesn’t generate many whiffs (19th percentile K%) — great news for O’Hoppe.
Logan O’Hoppe will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
This season, Logan O’Hoppe has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year’s 94.6 mph mark.
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Vinnie Pasquantino may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Angels has just 1 same-handed RP.
Vinnie Pasquantino has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 96.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Vinnie Pasquantino has averaged 29.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 91st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryce Teodosio will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Bryce Teodosio has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 3.4% seasonal rate to 10% in the past 14 days.
Negatives with the Los Angeles Angels Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Tolbert in the 9th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Tyler Tolbert is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.
61% of the time that Tyler Tolbert has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.
Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Tolbert today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzer Guzman in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Denzer Guzman is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Denzer Guzman will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 6th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
In the past week, Nolan Schanuel’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 90.7 mph to 88.2 mph.
Nolan Schanuel’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, falling from 50.8% on the season to 14.3% over the past week.
Nolan Schanuel has paced 11.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Stephen Kolek is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.
It may be smart to expect better results for the Los Angeles Angels offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Stephen Kolek (50.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Los Angeles’s projected batting order.
Stephen Kolek will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Christian Moore is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.
Stephen Kolek will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Moore in today’s game.
As it relates to his home runs, Christian Moore has experienced some positive variance this year. His 26.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 9.0.
Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Mike Trout has a tough challenge today.
Stephen Kolek will hold the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s matchup.
From last season to this one, Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 22.3% to 19.1%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.8) may lead us to conclude that Taylor Ward has had some very good luck this year with his 31.5 actual HR/600.
In notching a .260 BABIP this year, Taylor Ward is ranked in the 13th percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Jo Adell has a tough challenge today.
Jo Adell has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 18.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.
Placing in the 10th percentile, Jo Adell has put up a .257 BABIP this year.
Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
In the past 7 days, Salvador Perez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.8 mph to 91 mph.
In notching a .251 BABIP this year, Salvador Perez is ranked in the 5th percentile.
It may be best to expect better numbers for the Kansas City Royals offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in the majors this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Logan O’Hoppe (the Angels’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
Yusei Kikuchi’s 94.2-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.4-mph decrease from last year’s 95.6-mph figure.
Yusei Kikuchi’s fastball spin rate has decreased 102 rpm this year (2187 rpm) below where it was last season (2289 rpm).
Yusei Kikuchi has relied on his slider 13% more often this season (36.6%) than he did last season (23.6%).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Batting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Mike Yastrzemski meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mike Yastrzemski in today’s game.
Mike Yastrzemski has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.
Randal Grichuk is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
Randal Grichuk has been pulled from the game early 41% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randal Grichuk in today’s game.
From last year to this one, Randal Grichuk’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.1% to 12.7%.
Yoan Moncada’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 89.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.4-mph over the last two weeks.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 15°, Yoan Moncada has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.8°) in the past 14 days.
Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yoan Moncada has had positive variance on his side given the .013 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. today.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Maikel Garcia in today’s matchup.
Maikel Garcia has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.
Maikel Garcia’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (-0.2° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 5.3° seasonal angle.
Maikel Garcia has been lucky this year, notching a .347 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .024 discrepancy.
Logan O’Hoppe is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Logan O’Hoppe will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Over the past week, Logan O’Hoppe’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.
Logan O’Hoppe has put up a .281 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.
Logan O’Hoppe has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile with a 6.12 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Yusei Kikuchi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (5.6° in the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 10.8° seasonal angle.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Bryce Teodosio ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Bryce Teodosio is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Bryce Teodosio meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Bryce Teodosio’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 84.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 79.2-mph over the last two weeks.
Over the past 7 days, Bryce Teodosio’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.
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