Rockies vs Royals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, April 24th

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Rockies vs Royals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, April 24th

COL @ KC

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Colorado Rockies at Kansas City Royals
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, April 24th
24/04/25 18:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rockies vs Royals Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When estimating his home run talent, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brenton Doyle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

Brenton Doyle has big-time power (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.

Brenton Doyle’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92-mph now compared to just 89.1-mph then.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average.

When estimating his home run talent, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Hunter Goodman has big-time power (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen is a pitch-to-contact type (17th percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.

Jordan Beck is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Jordan Beck has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .231 figure is a fair amount lower than his .252 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jordan Beck has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.5 mph (an advanced standard to measure power), ranking in the 77th percentile.

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest RF fences among all parks.

With 6 hitters who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Chase Dollander ought to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Chase Dollander is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors in this game.

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over flyball bats, Chase Dollander and his 36.3% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot today facing 3 opposing FB bats.

Chase Dollander’s 96.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 98th percentile among all starting pitchers.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Chase Dollander in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

It may be smart to expect better results for the Colorado Rockies offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Michael Lorenzen has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.49 figure is significantly deflated relative to his 4.77 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

With a 4.77 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things most within a pitcher’s control), Michael Lorenzen falls in the 17th percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has averaged 94.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brenton Doyle, Ryan McMahon, Hunter Goodman, Michael Toglia, Jacob Stallings, Jordan Beck).

Michael Lorenzen was firing on all cylinders in his last game started and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

When estimating his home run talent, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen today.

Ryan McMahon has a ton of pop (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.

Ryan McMahon has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 92.2-mph EV.

When it comes to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage today.

Salvador Perez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (17.9°) is significantly higher than his 14.7° figure last year.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Mark Canha will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to plate discipline, Mark Canha’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.88 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 82nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mark Canha ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the past 7 days, Jacob Stallings’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph of late.

In the past 7 days, Jacob Stallings’s 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 68.4%.

Nick Martini has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Nick Martini will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Jonathan India will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jonathan India’s launch angle this season (22.4°) is considerably better than his 13.3° mark last season.

Hitting from the opposite that Chase Dollander throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today’s game.

Kyle Isbel may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today’s game.

There has been a significant improvement in Kyle Isbel’s launch angle from last season’s 8.8° to 14.8° this season.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Freddy Fermin’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent.

Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Bobby Witt Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 43.7% to 50.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in the league.

When it comes to his home runs, Bobby Witt Jr. has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 25.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 31.0.

The switch-hitting Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Chase Dollander.

Drew Waters will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Drew Waters has been hot in recent games, compiling a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Drew Waters has been lifting the ball well lately, putting up a 29° launch angle over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Maikel Garcia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Maikel Garcia tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chase Dollander.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage today.

Maikel Garcia has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last season’s 90.4-mph average.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage against Chase Dollander today.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Vinnie Pasquantino stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

When assessing his home run skill, Michael Toglia ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Toglia has big-time power (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (33.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen has a pitch-to-contact profile (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Toglia.

Despite posting a .209 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Toglia has had bad variance on his side given the .082 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

Michael Toglia has paced 26.8 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile for power.

Hitting from the opposite that Chase Dollander throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge today.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Michael Massey will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Michael Massey’s launch angle this year (20.4°) is significantly higher than his 16.7° mark last season.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rockies vs Royals Series Game 3

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Brenton Doyle faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Brenton Doyle is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (83rd percentile).

Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.65 K/BB rate.

Brenton Doyle’s footspeed has declined this season. His 29.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.6 ft/sec now.

Dingers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all major league stadiums.

Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Goodman in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Hunter Goodman in today’s matchup.

Hunter Goodman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jordan Beck’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jordan Beck has been pinch hit for 10% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season.

Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jordan Beck will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Jordan Beck will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jordan Beck ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adael Amador’s BABIP talent is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adael Amador is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #30 field in the majors for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Today, Adael Amador is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.8% rate (91st percentile).

Typically, bats like Adael Amador who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Michael Lorenzen.

Adael Amador will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

The Kansas City Royals have been the unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward,Hunter Goodman, the Rockies’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chase Dollander today.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.5% underlying K%.

The #2 venue in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

The Colorado Rockies projected offense ranks as the worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Michael Lorenzen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Michael Lorenzen has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 7.3% more often this year (59%) than he did last year (51.7%).

Out of all starting pitchers, Michael Lorenzen’s fastball spin rate of 2382.3 rpm ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael Lorenzen in the 16th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Checking in at the 25th percentile, Michael Lorenzen put up a 9.2% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.

Michael Lorenzen has notched a 17.7% strikeout rate since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Ryan McMahon has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Ryan McMahon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

Over the past 7 days, Ryan McMahon’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 21st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Chase Dollander will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez today.

In today’s matchup, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (94th percentile).

Typically, hitters like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chase Dollander.

Salvador Perez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 94.6-mph EV last season has fallen to 92.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 21st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Mark Canha has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Chase Dollander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mark Canha today.

Mark Canha has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .248 mark is considerably higher than his .222 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mark Canha’s 3.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 9th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Stallings in the 13th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Jacob Stallings is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jacob Stallings will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

In today’s game, Jacob Stallings is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.5% rate (87th percentile).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jacob Stallings ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jacob Stallings will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Nick Martini has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 31% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Nick Martini will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Nick Martini’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.4-mph EV last year has dropped off to 83.1-mph.

From last year to this one, Nick Martini’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.9% to 7.1%.

Chase Dollander will have the handedness advantage against Jonathan India today.

Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 90.1 mph to 83.4 mph.

Checking in at the 19th percentile for power, Jonathan India has averaged 10.8 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 22.4°, Jonathan India has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

Kyle Isbel’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.1-mph mark last season has fallen off to 83-mph.

Kyle Isbel’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 40.7% to 25.6%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Isbel ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 24th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Freddy Fermin will be at a disadvantage today.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

From last season to this one, Freddy Fermin’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 12.3% to 4%.

Chase Dollander will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. today.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Chase Dollander.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal average has fallen to 90.1-mph over the last 7 days.

Over the past 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 5.3%.

In the past 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.’s 36.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 50.7%.

Drew Waters is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Today, Drew Waters is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (85th percentile).

Over the past 14 days, Drew Waters has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 101.3-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls.

Drew Waters’s quickness has decreased this year. His 28.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.36 ft/sec now.

Chase Dollander will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.6% rate (95th percentile).

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Maikel Garcia grades out in the 10th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 7.800.

Grading out in the 12th percentile, Maikel Garcia has put up a .275 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

As it relates to his home run ability, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Despite posting a .347 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Maikel Garcia has been very fortunate given the .039 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

Ranking in the 21st percentile, Maikel Garcia sports a .270 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (7.1° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.5° seasonal figure.

Grading out in the 8th percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino sits with a .251 BABIP since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Aaron Schunk ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Aaron Schunk is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, Aaron Schunk has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time.

Michael Lorenzen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Schunk in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Aaron Schunk is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (82nd percentile).

Michael Toglia is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Toglia in today’s game.

Over the last week, Michael Toglia’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 14.3%.

Michael Toglia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Today, Michael Massey is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.5% rate (95th percentile).

Extreme groundball batters like Michael Massey generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Chase Dollander.

Michael Massey has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 7.2% rate last season has dropped to 1.6% this year.

Latest Kansas City Royals Match Player Stats

Latest Colorado Rockies Match Player Stats