Rockies vs Padres match player stats | 2026 World Series Game 2 Friday, April 10th

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COL @ SD

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Rockies @ Padres Series Game 2 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Teams : Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres
2025 WorldSeries Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, April 10th
Time : 10/04/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Colorado Rockies World Series Game 2 Game Today

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.

This game is expected to have the 3rd-highest humidity on the slate today (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Walker Buehler in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) implies that Willi Castro has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .229 actual batting average.

T.J. Rumfield is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, T.J. Rumfield will have an advantage in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Tomoyuki Sugano’s overall pitching talent is in the 14th percentile out of all starters in the game right now.

The San Diego Padres have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games,It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Hunter Wendelstedt) in charge of the strike zone today.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Freddy Fermin will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Freddy Fermin has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 28.6% of the time in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 17th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage today.

When it comes to his batting average, Jake McCarthy has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .195 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Mickey Moniak has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power).

Mickey Moniak has put up a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill as the 20th-best batter in baseball when estimating his batting average ability.

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s matchup.

The 3rd-weakest projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

Walker Buehler will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his metrics across the board.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Walker Buehler has relied on his non-fastballs 21.7% more often this season (80.5%) than he did last year (58.8%).

The 8% Barrel% of the Colorado Rockies grades them out as the #23 squad in the league since the start of last season by this stat.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Brenton Doyle has big-time power (76th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has a pitch-to-contact profile (17th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.

Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Ezequiel Tovar has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .297 mark is deflated compared to his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hunter Goodman has a ton of pop (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler doesn’t generate many whiffs (17th percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Brenton Doyle has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .276 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Troy Johnston has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Troy Johnston will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.

Troy Johnston hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

T.J. Rumfield has been hot recently, compiling a a 15.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) over the last week.

Troy Johnston has put up a .338 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake McCarthy has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .247 rate is a good deal lower than his .280 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hunter Goodman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The Colorado Rockies have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brenton Doyle, Hunter Goodman, Edouard Julien).

Willi Castro has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .302 rate is considerably lower than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

A consistent launch angle is an indicator of good hitting, and Gavin Sheets has been very consistent with his recently, posting a 31.6° launch angle standard deviation over the last two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the San Diego Padres World Series Game 2 Game Today

Petco Park profiles as the #27 venue in baseball for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. faces a tough challenge today.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (0.7°) is significantly lower than his 9.6° angle last season.

Willi Castro is penciled in 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 4th-worst stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 80.7 mph to 75.8 mph.

Over the last week, Willi Castro has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).

T.J. Rumfield has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for T.J. Rumfield today.

T.J. Rumfield has been cold recently, compiling a 85.8-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days.

The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Manny Machado will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado has been cold in recent games, compiling a 85.1-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks.

Putting up a -2.1° launch angle in the past two weeks’ worth of games suggests that Manny Machado has been finding it challenging to lift the ball of late, which is a key component of hitting for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-worst ballpark in baseball for batting average.

Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing batters in this game.

Tomoyuki Sugano was on point in his previous GS and conceded 1 ER.

Tomoyuki Sugano has relied on his cut-fastball 6.6% more often this year (18.7%) than he did last season (12.1%).

Tomoyuki Sugano’s 2396.2-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 76th percentile out of all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

When starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season, Freddy Fermin has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.

Edouard Julien has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season.

Petco Park grades out as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Edouard Julien will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Edouard Julien has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the last 7 days.

Gavin Sheets’s BABIP skill is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

When assessing his home run ability, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jake McCarthy has been pinch hit for 27% of the time.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets has been cold of late, putting up a .236 wOBA in the last 14 days.

Gavin Sheets has shown some bad exit velocity indicators lately, averaging just 70.3-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Since the start of last season, Mickey Moniak has been pinch hit for in 20% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Mickey Moniak pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Mickey Moniak will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 47.9% to 37.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Walker Buehler in the 6th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

Walker Buehler has recorded 14.6 outs per start since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile.

The Colorado Rockies have been the unluckiest offense in the league since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Walker Buehler will hold the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brenton Doyle today.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Ezequiel Tovar has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.5-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 83.9-mph in the last 7 days.

As it relates to plate discipline, Mickey Moniak’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 5.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 4th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Hunter Goodman meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Hunter Goodman in today’s game.

Over the last week, Hunter Goodman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 91.8 mph to 89.7 mph.

Hunter Goodman has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last 7 days.

Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle this season (-0.1°) is considerably lower than his 14.5° angle last year.

Jake Cronenworth has struggled to lift the ball in recent games, notching a -0.1° launch angle over the last 14 days.

Sporting a 11.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Cronenworth is ranked in the 18th percentile for power.

Posting a .233 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Cronenworth grades out in the 25th percentile.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Troy Johnston has been pulled from the game early 25% of the time.

Troy Johnston will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Troy Johnston has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the last week.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Tomoyuki Sugano in the 13th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tomoyuki Sugano to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (11th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The San Diego Padres (19.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate today.

Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage over Xander Bogaerts today.

Xander Bogaerts has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

Xander Bogaerts has exhibited some bad exit velocity metrics recently, averaging just 88.9-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jake McCarthy’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 5.6% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Ezequiel Tovar has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the past 7 days.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Edouard Julien ranks in just the 11th percentile with a 6° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the league.

Jackson Merrill’s launch angle this year (9.8°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.2° figure last year.

Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Freddy Fermin will have a tough matchup today.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jake Cronenworth has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.1 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), placing in the 17th percentile.

Ranking in the 19th percentile for power, Jake Cronenworth has averaged 11.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Walker Buehler in the 12th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Walker Buehler in today’s game.

Walker Buehler has compiled an 8.2% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile.

In the last two weeks, Willi Castro’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 16th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (13.3% rate since the start of last season).

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