Rockies @ Giants Matchup Details

Positives for the Colorado Rockies Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average.

Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.

When it comes to his home runs, Brenton Doyle has had bad variance on his side this year. His 16.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.3.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.308) provides evidence that Brenton Doyle has suffered from bad luck this year with his .281 actual wOBA.

Blaine Crim is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

In the past week, Blaine Crim has displayed impressive power, recording a a 28.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).

Putting up a 95.8-mph average exit velocity over the last week, Blaine Crim has been in great form lately.

Blaine Crim has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 42.9% of the time in the last 7 days.

When assessing his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hunter Goodman has a ton of pop (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Trevor McDonald struggles to strike batters out (21st percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.

Hunter Goodman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.1-mph average to last season’s 92.7-mph EV.

Hunter Goodman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 95.1-mph.

Casey Schmitt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Casey Schmitt has had some very poor luck this year. His .309 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

Jordan Beck’s BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jordan Beck’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 18.2%.

In the last 14 days, Jordan Beck’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph recently.

Jordan Beck’s launch angle in recent games (23.8° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 13° seasonal figure.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Beck, Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Braxton Fulford, Ryan Ritter, Hunter Goodman).

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 8 bats who bat from the same side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Trevor McDonald should benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

The #3 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

In MLB, Oracle Park’s RF fences are the shallowest.

Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Drew Gilbert will have an advantage today.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Drew Gilbert stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Drew Gilbert will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.299) suggests that Drew Gilbert has had some very poor luck this year with his .257 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Ryan Ritter has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jung Hoo Lee has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jung Hoo Lee will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 10.2°, Jung Hoo Lee has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 18.5° mark in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Kyle Karros has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Bryce Eldridge is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Bryce Eldridge will hold the platoon advantage against German Marquez in today’s matchup.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Eldridge can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best home run batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against German Marquez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Rafael Devers will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects German Marquez in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

It may be wise to expect better results for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for German Marquez today.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. German Marquez has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 55.1% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

German Marquez has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.05 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.09 — a 1.04 K/9 gap.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Willy Adames will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willy Adames’s true offensive skill to be a .339, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .021 difference between that mark and his actual .318 wOBA.

When estimating his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames and his 23.8° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 100th percentile, among the highest in baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Mickey Moniak is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor McDonald in today’s game.

Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Mickey Moniak usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor McDonald.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Heliot Ramos has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 15% in the past 7 days.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against German Marquez.

Patrick Bailey will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15.4% to 18.9%.

In the last week, Patrick Bailey’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

Ezequiel Tovar’s BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Extreme flyball bats like Ezequiel Tovar tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Trevor McDonald.

Ezequiel Tovar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 92-mph in the last two weeks.

Ezequiel Tovar has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 12.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 17.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negatives with the San Francisco Giants Game Today

Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Oracle Park has the tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

Oracle Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.

The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Batting from the same side that Trevor McDonald throws from, Brenton Doyle has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Oracle Park grades out as the #27 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that Trevor McDonald throws from, Blaine Crim will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Blaine Crim in today’s matchup.

Trevor McDonald will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Goodman in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Hunter Goodman in today’s game.

Hunter Goodman’s BABIP skill is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Casey Schmitt will be at a disadvantage today.

In the last 7 days, Casey Schmitt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

Casey Schmitt’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 80.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Trevor McDonald will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Beck today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jordan Beck today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) implies that Jordan Beck has experienced some positive variance this year with his .264 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Trevor McDonald in the 18th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Trevor McDonald is projected to throw 80 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers today.

The #2 stadium in the league for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Trevor McDonald (50.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Colorado’s projected offense.

Out of all starting pitchers, Trevor McDonald’s fastball spin rate of 1990 rpm grades out in the 9th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Drew Gilbert is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

25% of the time that Drew Gilbert has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the worst park in the league for left-handed home runs.

Ryan Ritter is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Trevor McDonald throws from, Ryan Ritter will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Ryan Ritter will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jung Hoo Lee’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.9-mph figure last year has fallen off to 86.6-mph.

Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 88.2-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 85.1-mph in the last two weeks.

When estimating his home run talent, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Karros is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Trevor McDonald throws from, Kyle Karros will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Kyle Karros will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Bryce Eldridge has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, striking balls between -4° and 26° just 16.7% of the time in the last 14 days.

Bryce Eldridge’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph dropping to 87.3-mph over the past week.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side this year. His .363 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .347.

Compared to their .337 overall projected rate, the .315 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the San Francisco Giants projected offense in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup a fair amount a bit watered down.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the worst venue in MLB for walks.

In his previous start, German Marquez performed well and conceded 0 ER.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places German Marquez in the 20th percentile among all starters in MLB.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, German Marquez is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-most of all pitchers on the slate.

Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Willy Adames will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Willy Adames’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.2-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 86.9-mph in the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 21.6°, Willy Adames has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (18.4°) over the last two weeks.

20% of the time that Mickey Moniak has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mickey Moniak in today’s matchup.

Mickey Moniak’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 83.7-mph over the last week.

German Marquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today’s matchup.

Heliot Ramos’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.7°) is significantly worse than his 15.8° angle last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Patrick Bailey ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Patrick Bailey’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.4-mph in the past week.

Trevor McDonald will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ezequiel Tovar today.

Ezequiel Tovar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

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