Reds vs Pirates match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Saturday, August 9th

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Reds vs Pirates match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Saturday, August 9th

CIN @ PIT

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Reds @ Pirates Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, August 9th
Time : 09/08/25 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Game Today

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Braxton Ashcraft in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP.

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez in today’s game.

Spencer Horwitz will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain).

Chris Segal projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Braxton Ashcraft will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Braxton Ashcraft’s 2417-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 79th percentile out of all starters.

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

PNC Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in the game for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Gavin Lux is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez.

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Jake Fraley will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league’s 6th-best home run hitter.

Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez in today’s game.

Oneil Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge today.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so TJ Friedl stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

PNC Park ranks as the #29 stadium in MLB for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Martinez has gone to his slider 6.4% more often this year (11.6%) than he did last year (5.2%).

With a 0.38 difference between Nick Martinez’s 4.66 ERA and his 4.28 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year and figures to perform better going forward.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jack Suwinski, Joey Bart, Oneil Cruz).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jared Triolo’s BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Negatives with the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today

PNC Park grades out as the #30 park in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park has the 6th-highest fences in the majors.

In today’s game, Elly De La Cruz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.5% rate (82nd percentile).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s game.

In today’s game, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.9% rate (93rd percentile).

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Braxton Ashcraft is projected to throw 70 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-worst park in MLB for strikeouts.

Braxton Ashcraft didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and compiled 2 Ks.

PNC Park profiles as the #30 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Austin Hays will have a disadvantage today.

Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Austin Hays will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Long-balls are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all parks.

Braxton Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gavin Lux in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Braxton Ashcraft will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Tommy Pham in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Jake Fraley will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Fraley in the 22nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Joey Bart has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Nick Martinez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Bart in today’s matchup.

Joey Bart pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Nick Martinez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

TJ Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Martinez today.

Nick Martinez has put up an 8.4% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 15th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Matt McLain has a tough challenge today.

Matt McLain will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jared Triolo is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage against Jared Triolo today.

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