Reds vs Pirates match player stats Thursday, August 22nd 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

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Reds vs Pirates match player stats Thursday, August 22nd 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

CIN @ PIT

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Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Pirates

Oneil Cruz projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Oneil Cruz has had some very poor luck this year. His 23.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 34.2.

Connor Joe is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Connor Joe will have the upper hand today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run skill, Joey Bart ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Bart is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Joey Bart will have an advantage in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Yasmani Grandal will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Nick Lodolo.

Yasmani Grandal will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Yasmani Grandal has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year’s 87.9-mph average.

In the last week’s worth of games, Yasmani Grandal’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 101.4-mph recently.

Compared to his seasonal average of 10.5°, Yasmani Grandal has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 34° figure in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an edge today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Tyler Stephenson has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the past two weeks.

Tyler Stephenson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.7-mph EV.

Tyler Stephenson’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (20.7° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 12.2° seasonal figure.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jared Triolo will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jared Triolo has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 4.5% seasonal rate to 40% in the past 7 days.

Jared Triolo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.8-mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.300) implies that Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck this year with his .263 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

In the past 14 days, Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph of late.

Jonathan India’s launch angle recently (27.9° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 12.5° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ty France has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph figure.

Ty France’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (16°) is quite a bit better than his 11.2° mark last season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ty France ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Paul Skenes.

Elly De La Cruz has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.6-mph average.

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an edge in today’s game.

This season, T.J. Friedl has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 88.8 mph compared to last year’s 86.7 mph mark.

T.J. Friedl has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 88.8-mph.

Jonathan India has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .332 rate is deflated compared to his .351 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over his previous 3 outings, Paul Skenes has seen a sizeable fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2262 rpm over the whole season to 2207 rpm of late.

Paul Skenes has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 2.30 figure is quite a bit lower than his 2.94 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Positioned 2nd-steepest in MLB this year, Cincinnati Reds hitters as a unit have compiled a 16° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (a reliable standard to study power ability).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Spencer Steer has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 80th percentile with a 1.93 K/BB rate.

Joey Bart will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Nick Lodolo’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 78th percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball currently.

Throwing 92 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Nick Lodolo checks in at the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael A. Taylor has had some very poor luck given the .039 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .286.

T.J. Friedl’s launch angle in recent games (21.2° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly higher than his 16.9° seasonal figure.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.3°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19.5° mark in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Santiago Espinal’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Bryan Reynolds will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 87.9-mph.

When it comes to his home runs, Michael A. Taylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His 9.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.9.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.353) provides evidence that Oneil Cruz has had bad variance on his side this year with his .330 actual wOBA.

Oneil Cruz has posted a .318 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 77th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Despite posting a .222 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Noelvi Marte has experienced some negative variance given the .067 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.

Ranking in the 95th percentile, the hardest ball Noelvi Marte has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Posting a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Bryan Reynolds grades out in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills.

By putting up a .345 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bryan Reynolds has performed in the 83rd percentile.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Nick Lodolo in the 82nd percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Oneil Cruz, Joey Bart).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz has notched a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 85th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Last season, Bryan De La Cruz had an average launch angle of 12.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryan De La Cruz’s true offensive ability to be a .314, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .024 gap between that figure and his actual .290 wOBA.

Paul Skenes has averaged 95.9 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Paul Skenes projects as the 9th-best pitcher in MLB currently as it relates to his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Paul Skenes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Pirates

Oneil Cruz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-highest average fence height are at PNC Park.

HRs are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games today.

Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, Oneil Cruz faces a tough challenge today.

Connor Joe has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.

The #9 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

10% of the time that Joey Bart has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

In today’s game, Joey Bart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.2% rate (81st percentile).

Despite posting a .376 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Bart has been lucky given the .069 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.

Yasmani Grandal is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 10.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Bryan De La Cruz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 84-mph over the last 7 days.

Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Stephenson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 25th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jared Triolo is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Jonathan India will have a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan India today.

Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Ty France will not have the upper hand today.

Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Yasmani Grandal’s BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yasmani Grandal has recorded a .249 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 6th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Elly De La Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.4% down to 0%.

Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance given the .021 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

T.J. Friedl’s BABIP skill is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

T.J. Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Despite posting a .327 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes T.J. Friedl has been lucky given the .026 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

Tyler Stephenson has notched a .266 BABIP this year, grading out in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Paul Skenes as the 3rd-best SP in the league currently.

Yasmani Grandal, the Pirates’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park grades out as the #22 ballpark in baseball for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 9th-deepest LF fences among all stadiums are found in PNC Park.

In terms of plate discipline, Bryan De La Cruz’s ability is quite weak, sporting a 4.99 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 7th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s game.

Over the past week, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

Nick Lodolo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Nick Lodolo gave up a colossal 8 earned runs in his last start.

Nick Lodolo’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2251 rpm) has been significantly lower than than his seasonal rate (2348 rpm).

Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (5.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.4° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 18th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Michael A. Taylor is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Michael A. Taylor has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.

There has been a decrease in Connor Joe’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.9 mph last year to 85 mph now, The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-worst park in the majors for LHB home runs.

Paul Skenes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Santiago Espinal today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Santiago Espinal today.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will bat from his bad side (0) today against Nick Lodolo, In the past 14 days, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

This year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.

Oneil Cruz has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 17.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 11.1% over the last 14 days.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.8-mph EV last year has lowered to 85.5-mph.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has experienced some positive variance this year. His .325 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Noelvi Marte meets a tough challenge today.

Sporting a .264 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jared Triolo finds himself in the 9th percentile.

Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.6-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83.5-mph over the last 14 days.

PNC Park ranks as the #27 field in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Lodolo didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last outing and compiled 2 Ks.

Connor Joe’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (7.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.1° mark last year.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.4-mph mark last year has fallen off to 89.6-mph.

Considering the 0.07 difference between Paul Skenes’s 11.11 K/9 and his 11.04 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and should see negative regression the rest of the season.

Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

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