Reds vs Marlins match player stats | 2025 Monday, April 21st

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Reds vs Marlins match player stats | 2025 Monday, April 21st

CIN @ MIA

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World Matchup Details

Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins

Todays Game is on Monday, April 21st
21/04/25 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Marlins Matchup Today

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park.

The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s matchup.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team playing today.

Eric Wagaman will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Max Meyer.

Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Connor Norby is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Connor Norby will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo today.

Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Agustin Ramirez will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo today.

Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an advantage in today’s game.

Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage today.

In the past week, Javier Sanoja’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.3-mph over the course of the season to 89.2-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Over the last week, Austin Hays has displayed impressive power, recording a a 23.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power).

Over the past week, Austin Hays has averaged an impressive 96.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

Austin Hays has paced 21.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 84th percentile, Austin Hays has put up a .327 BABIP since the start of last season.

Over the last 7 days, Austin Hays’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 23.1% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11°, Jeimer Candelario has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 40.3° angle over the last week.

Jeimer Candelario has been unlucky this year, posting a .218 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .084 discrepancy.

Gavin Lux’s BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Max Meyer in today’s game.

Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today’s game.

There has been a significant improvement in Jake Fraley’s launch angle from last season’s 10.9° to 21.5° this season.

Jake Fraley’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 42.4% on the season to 60% over the past week.

Ranking in the 86th percentile, Jake Fraley has put up a .324 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jake Fraley has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.

Posting a 1.81 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jose Trevino has shown favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Otto Lopez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 12.4% to 25.4%.

Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Xavier Edwards will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Xavier Edwards has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83-mph to 85.2-mph over the past 7 days.

When it comes to plate discipline, Xavier Edwards’s ability is quite good, putting up a 1.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today’s game.

When it comes to plate discipline, TJ Friedl’s ability is quite good, putting up a 1.83 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 83rd percentile.

The worst projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Miami Marlins.

The Miami Marlins have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season,Projected catcher Jose Trevino projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league stadiums, LoanDepot Park’s RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.

Because flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Nick Lodolo (46.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 5 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.

Nick Lodolo’s change-up rate has spiked by 6.4% from last year to this one (16.5% to 22.9%) .

Spencer Steer has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile with a 1.99 K/BB rate.

Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Stowers has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last season to 18.2% this season.

Grading out in the 92nd percentile, Kyle Stowers has put up a .347 BABIP since the start of last season.

As it relates to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Max Meyer will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous outing, Max Meyer performed well and compiled 7 strikeouts.

Max Meyer’s slider utilization has risen by 8.3% from last season to this one (40.7% to 49%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Matt McLain hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.08 ft/sec this year, Matt McLain is very toolsy.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt McLain’s launch angle recently (32.7° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 21.7° seasonal mark.

Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year’s 28.75 ft/sec to 29.25 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Noelvi Marte’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 111.5 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Noelvi Marte has been hot in recent games, posting a .395 wOBA over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 13th-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent.

Dane Myers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.

Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Marlins

Eric Wagaman has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season.

LoanDepot Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 14.6-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

The #9 field in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #22 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz today.

Elly De La Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 97.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 84.5-mph over the past 7 days.

Ranked in the 13th percentile, Connor Norby’s average exit velocity of 85 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

Connor Norby has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 24th percentile with a 4.42 K/BB rate.

Agustin Ramirez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Javier Sanoja is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Javier Sanoja has been pulled from the game early 53% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season.

Extreme groundball bats like Javier Sanoja generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Lodolo.

Since the start of last season, Austin Hays has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Batting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Austin Hays will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jeimer Candelario has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will bat from his worse side (0) today against Max Meyer,Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Gavin Lux has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gavin Lux in today’s game.

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Fraley ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Trevino’s BABIP talent is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Trevino is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Jose Trevino has been pinch hit for 17% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jose Trevino ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In today’s matchup, Otto Lopez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.9% rate (96th percentile).

Typically, hitters like Otto Lopez who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Nick Lodolo.

Otto Lopez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 81.9-mph in the last two weeks.

When it comes to his home run talent, Otto Lopez ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 0th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Nick Lodolo in today’s game.

Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Typically, hitters like Xavier Edwards who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nick Lodolo.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

When assessing his home run talent, TJ Friedl ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Scott Barry projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today’s game.

The #2 park in the majors for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

With 8 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Nick Lodolo will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Miami Marlins with a 21.2% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 9th-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 24th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Spencer Steer faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 22nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Kyle Stowers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

With a 5.24 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Max Meyer checks in at the 18th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds have done a strong job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 16.5° mark is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (#1 overall).

Batting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Matt McLain will have a tough challenge today.

Matt McLain will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Max Meyer will have the handedness advantage against Noelvi Marte in today’s matchup.

51% of the time that Dane Myers has started against a left-handed starter since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Extreme flyball hitters like Dane Myers generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Lodolo.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.281) suggests that Dane Myers has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .339 actual wOBA.

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