World Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Giants Matchup Today

Oracle Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Oracle Park’s right field dimensions are the shallowest.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 58°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

Jacob Hurtubise will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Hurtubise in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jacob Hurtubise has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability.

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty base hits.

When estimating his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the past 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand’s maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 111.4-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Blake Dunn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Blake Dunn has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Blake Dunn has been hot of late, putting up a a 33.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jung Hoo Lee is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

When assessing his batting average ability, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 7th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Gavin Lux is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today’s matchup.

Matt Chapman projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Wilmer Flores will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Wilmer Flores has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6% rate last year to 11.5% this season.

Wilmer Flores has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.4-mph average to last year’s 83.5-mph mark.

When it comes to his home run ability, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today’s game.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan Webb to throw 98 pitches in this outing (4th-most on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Logan Webb will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

With a 0.28 difference between Logan Webb’s 7.60 K/9 and his 7.88 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to perform better in future games.

Logan Webb projects as the 11th-best starting pitcher in baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Cincinnati Reds projected offense grades out as the 3rd-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

Oracle Park projects as the #30 ballpark in MLB for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Willy Adames is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jose Trevino has been hot in recent games, putting up a a 22.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) in the last week’s worth of games.

Posting a 1.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jose Trevino has demonstrated good plate discipline, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Jose Trevino has been hot in recent games, cruising to a .386 wOBA in the last week.

Santiago Espinal has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Hunter Greene.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Logan Webb today.

The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so TJ Friedl stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

In the last 14 days, Spencer Steer has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 25.6° angle.

As it relates to plate discipline, Spencer Steer’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.94 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 77th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

It may be sensible to expect better results for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

When estimating his strikeout skill, Hunter Greene projects as the 6th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hunter Greene is projected to throw 99 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most on the slate.

The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heliot Ramos, Matt Chapman, Tyler Fitzgerald).

Tyler Fitzgerald’s BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Fitzgerald will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Tyler Fitzgerald and his 19.8% rank in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

Sporting a .470 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Tyler Fitzgerald is positioned in the 85th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Giants

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Hurtubise in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jacob Hurtubise is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Jacob Hurtubise has been pinch hit for 39% of the time when starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season.

The league’s tallest average fence height can be found at Oracle Park.

Typically, hitters like Jacob Hurtubise who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb.

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Hurtubise today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 5th-worst park in MLB for LHB home runs.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Logan Webb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today’s matchup.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has put up a .233 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 16th percentile.

Posting a 9.55 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 4th percentile.

The #5 stadium in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Dunn in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Blake Dunn in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jung Hoo Lee has struggled to lift the ball of late, compiling a 0.4° launch angle in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jung Hoo Lee has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 6.7° figure is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (17th percentile).

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jeimer Candelario will bat from his worse side against Logan Webb today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeimer Candelario in today’s matchup.

Jeimer Candelario has exhibited some bad exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging just 86-mph on his flyballs over the last 14 days.

When starting against a northpaw since the start of last season, Gavin Lux has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gavin Lux in today’s matchup.

Gavin Lux has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the past week.

Over the last week, Gavin Lux has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 70.1-mph on his flyballs.

Hunter Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Matt Chapman who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Hunter Greene.

Matt Chapman has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the last 7 days.

When estimating his home run ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jake Fraley has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Fraley today.

In the last two weeks, Jake Fraley has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Wilmer Flores will be at a disadvantage today.

Typically, batters like Wilmer Flores who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Hunter Greene.

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

Extreme flyball batters like Mike Yastrzemski tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Mike Yastrzemski’s BABIP ability is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last two weeks, Mike Yastrzemski has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 67.3-mph on his flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 7th-worst venue in the game for strikeouts.

Logan Webb has gone to his sinker 5% more often this year (44.9%) than he did last year (39.9%).

Logan Webb’s 2064.1-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 12th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

It may be best to expect positive regression for the Cincinnati Reds offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors since the start of last season.

Hunter Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Willy Adames today.

Typically, batters like Willy Adames who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Hunter Greene.

Willy Adames has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the last week.

In terms of his batting average, Willy Adames has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .249 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232.

Jose Trevino’s BABIP ability is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Trevino is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

15% of the time that Jose Trevino has started against a righty hurler since the start of last season, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Jose Trevino will be in a tough position today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 15th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage over Santiago Espinal today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Santiago Espinal in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) in the last week’s worth of games.

Santiago Espinal has been cold of late, notching a 81.2-mph average exit velocity in the last 14 days.

15% of the time that LaMonte Wade Jr. has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Hunter Greene will hold the platoon advantage over Heliot Ramos in today’s matchup.

Notching a 2.6° launch angle over the past 7 days suggests that Heliot Ramos has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Over the last week, Patrick Bailey’s swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Patrick Bailey has posted a .278 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile.

Patrick Bailey has compiled a .337 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, placing in the 11th percentile.

Checking in at the 20th percentile, Patrick Bailey sits with a .228 batting average since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

TJ Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

This season, there has been a decline in TJ Friedl’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.48 ft/sec last year to 24.57 ft/sec currently.

When assessing his home run skill, TJ Friedl ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

TJ Friedl has recorded a .240 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 3rd percentile.

Spencer Steer’s BABIP ability is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Spencer Steer will have a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Steer today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Hunter Greene’s overall pitching skill is in the 93rd percentile out of all SPs in baseball right now.

Projected catcher Jose Trevino grades out as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hunter Greene is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #26 HR venue in MLB in this game.

Hunter Greene will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Hunter Greene has relied on his four-seamer 11.1% more often this year (66.3%) than he did last season (55.2%).

Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Hunter Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Fitzgerald in today’s matchup.

This year, there has been a decline in Tyler Fitzgerald’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.02 ft/sec last year to 29.26 ft/sec currently.

Tyler Fitzgerald has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

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