Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs match player stats | Series Game 3 Sunday, September 29th

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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs match player stats | Series Game 3 Sunday, September 29th

CIN @ CHC

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 15:20:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Cubs Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors.

Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest humidity on the slate today at 78%.

Over the past 14 days, Ty France’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph of late.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Jordan Wicks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against TJ Friedl in today’s game.

TJ Friedl is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Noelvi Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph recently.

Noelvi Marte’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 111.5 mph this year, checking in at the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Alcantara in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Extreme flyball hitters like Kevin Alcantara generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Tyler Stephenson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 93.9-mph.

Extreme groundball hitters like Luis Vazquez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Luis Vazquez will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Patrick Wisdom pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team in action today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Patrick Wisdom will hold that advantage today.

Patrick Wisdom’s launch angle this season (27.8°) is quite a bit better than his 21.5° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

When assessing his home run skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Busch is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage today.

Jordan Wicks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Fraley in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Grading out in the 81st percentile, Jake Fraley sports a .317 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will bat from his worse side against Jordan Wicks today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Hunter Greene in this game.

Santiago Espinal’s launch angle this year (14.5°) is considerably higher than his 11.3° figure last year.

Over the past 7 days, Santiago Espinal’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Elly De La Cruz has big-time power (85th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (31.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Caleb Kilian doesn’t generate many whiffs (8th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Miguel Amaya’s 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.1%.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage today.

Extreme groundball bats like Christian Bethancourt tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Bethancourt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Christian Bethancourt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 15.2% to 19.8%.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Patrick Wisdom projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 15.2% on the season to 30% over the past 7 days.

Wrigley Field ranks as the #7 park in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Caleb Kilian will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his strikeout ability, Hunter Greene projects as the 15th-best SP in MLB right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Chicago Cubs have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Busch, Christian Bethancourt, Kevin Alcantara).

With 6 hitters who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Hunter Greene should benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Jonathan India pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Miguel Amaya’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 14.6% on the season to 23.1% in the past week.

Nico Hoerner has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 85.7-mph mark.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kevin Alcantara will hold that advantage today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Cubs Series Game 3

Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 3rd-worst stadium in the majors for run-scoring.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest fences among all parks.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.

Ty France will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Wicks today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Wicks in today’s matchup.

Kevin Alcantara is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hunter Greene will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Alcantara in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Wicks throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an advantage in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Luis Vazquez ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Luis Vazquez is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #8 stadium in the game for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Hunter Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 95.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 88-mph in the past 7 days.

In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ty France in today’s matchup.

Patrick Wisdom’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Patrick Wisdom has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Patrick Wisdom has been pulled from the game early in 24% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 14.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Patrick Wisdom will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage today.

Hunter Greene will have the handedness advantage against Luis Vazquez in today’s game.

15% of the time that Michael Busch has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field dimensions in the majors.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week.

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 80.8-mph in the last week.

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

This year, Jake Fraley has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a tough challenge today.

In today’s game, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37% rate (91st percentile).

In the last 7 days, Nico Hoerner’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

Over the last 14 days, Nico Hoerner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst stadium in the majors for run-scoring.

In today’s matchup, Cody Bellinger is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (81st percentile).

Extreme flyball hitters like Cody Bellinger tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In the past week, Elly De La Cruz’s 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.3%.

Cody Bellinger has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

In the past week’s worth of games, Ian Happ’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 94.5 mph to 88.8 mph.

The #8 venue in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 7th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

With a .219 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Michael Busch is positioned in the 12th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Maile in the 7th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Luke Maile is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Luke Maile has been pulled from the game early 31% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Luke Maile will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Wicks today.

When assessing his home run ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Amaya’s BABIP skill is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Miguel Amaya has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time.

Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Stephenson today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Christian Bethancourt ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christian Bethancourt is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Christian Bethancourt has been pulled from the game early 24% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Christian Bethancourt will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Wicks in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Caleb Kilian in the 14th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Caleb Kilian is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 16th-least of all pitchers today.

Shane Livensparger projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Wicks in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 10°, Elly De La Cruz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.9°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.9°, Ian Happ has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (11.1°) over the past two weeks.

Typically, bats like Isaac Paredes who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Hunter Greene.

Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.5-mph figure last season has decreased to 89-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Hunter Greene to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 60 pitches.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Luke Maile (the Reds’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a horrible pitch framer.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ian Happ’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.7%.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Wicks throws from, Jonathan India will have an edge today.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Miguel Amaya has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for TJ Friedl in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Luke Maile ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the past 14 days, TJ Friedl’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 88.1 mph to 84.6 mph.

Spencer Steer is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).

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