Reds vs Brewers match player stats | 2025 World Thursday, April 3rd

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Reds vs Brewers match player stats | 2025 World Thursday, April 3rd

CIN @ MIL

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World Matchup Details

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

Todays Game is on Thursday, April 3rd
03/04/25 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Brewers Matchup Today

When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Out of every team today, the 9th-best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Sal Frelick will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Joey Ortiz will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jackson Chourio will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Cincinnati Reds with a 23.8% underlying K%.

Nestor Cortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

The Cincinnati Reds projected batting order projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

Given the 0.21 gap between Nestor Cortes’s 4.14 ERA and his 3.93 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season and ought to see positive regression in future games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Santiago Espinal will hold the platoon advantage over Nestor Cortes in today’s game.

Rhys Hoskins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.

Extreme flyball bats like Rhys Hoskins generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Lodolo.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.

William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Austin Wynns is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Austin Wynns will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes in today’s game.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Garrett Mitchell will hold that advantage today.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Lodolo in today’s matchup.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Nick Lodolo has gone to his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 56.7% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Lodolo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

Given the 0.45 gap between Nick Lodolo’s 9.12 K/9 and his 9.57 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to positively regress the rest of the season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Matt McLain will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes in today’s game.

Matt McLain hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Vinny Capra will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Vinny Capra will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Brewers

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Nestor Cortes,Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, Sal Frelick will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Sal Frelick are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Lodolo.

Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Joey Ortiz tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Lodolo.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Encarnacion-Strand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Nestor Cortes to have a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.

The Cincinnati Reds have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Nestor Cortes in today’s game.

In his last start, Nestor Cortes wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

Among all SPs, Nestor Cortes’s fastball velocity of 92.1 mph ranks in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.

Nestor Cortes is an extreme flyball pitcher (43.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #10 HR venue among all parks in this game.

Nestor Cortes conceded a monstrous 8 earned runs in his last outing.

Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Rhys Hoskins’s BABIP talent is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Extreme flyball hitters like William Contreras are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Lodolo.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Wynns ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Austin Wynns has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Austin Wynns will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

Nick Lodolo will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Mitchell in today’s game.

Typically, bats like Garrett Mitchell who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nick Lodolo.

The 3rd-worst projected offense on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Projected catcher Jose Trevino grades out as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Lodolo is an extreme groundball pitcher (45.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in American Family Field — the #10 HR venue in the league — today.

Because groundball pitchers hold a significant advantage over groundball bats, Nick Lodolo and his 45.7% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this matchup going up against 4 opposing GB bats.

Nick Lodolo was in good form in his last start and gave up 2 ER.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 22% underlying K%.

Nick Lodolo struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous game started and put up 1 Ks.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt McLain in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinny Capra in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Vinny Capra is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Vinny Capra ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Latest Milwaukee Brewers Match Player Stats

Latest Cincinnati Reds Match Player Stats