CIN @ ATH


Reds @ Athletics Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, September 14th
Time : 14/09/25 16:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Game Today
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Sutter Health Park has the lowest fences in MLB.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.
The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Luis Morales.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill.
The #10 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.
The #7 venue in the game for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.
Darell Hernaiz is penciled in 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Darell Hernaiz will have an advantage today.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Darell Hernaiz will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
The #7 park in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.
Jacob Wilson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jacob Wilson will have an advantage in today’s game.
Jacob Wilson will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Colby Thomas is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Colby Thomas will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the worst out of every team playing today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colby Thomas in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Nicholas Kurtz projects as the 11th-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nicholas Kurtz may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds only has 1 same-handed RP.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nicholas Kurtz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nicholas Kurtz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Luis Morales will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In his last GS, Luis Morales was on point and gave up 0 ER.
Among all SPs, Luis Morales’s fastball velocity of 96.6 mph grades out in the 96th percentile this year.
Luis Morales has been lucky this year, putting up a 2.73 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.54 — a 1.81 discrepancy.
The Cincinnati Reds have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson, Elly De La Cruz).
Luis Morales’s 2521-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 94th percentile among all starters.
Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Luis Morales throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge in today’s game.
Ke’Bryan Hayes’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 15th-best batter in MLB.
Brent Rooker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Brent Rooker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s matchup.
Willie MacIver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Willie MacIver will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When estimating his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shea Langeliers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.
Shea Langeliers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
When assessing his home run talent, JJ Bleday ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so JJ Bleday stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
JJ Bleday will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Luis Morales in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Lodolo today.
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nick Lodolo in the 84th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.
Throwing 92.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Nick Lodolo checks in at the 81st percentile.
The Athletics have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nicholas Kurtz, Colby Thomas, Zack Gelof).
When assessing his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Zack Gelof will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Zack Gelof will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Negatives with the Athletics Game Today
Elly De La Cruz has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The Athletics infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team on the slate today.
Elly De La Cruz is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Sacramento (#3-best of all teams today).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Darell Hernaiz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Sutter Health Park has the 6th-deepest left field fences among all parks.
As it relates to his home run ability, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nicholas Kurtz is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
Nick Lodolo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nicholas Kurtz in today’s game.
Nicholas Kurtz has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Luis Morales is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-least on the slate today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the 6th-best park in baseball for walks.
Luis Morales’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (52.7% this year) is likely dampening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Luis Morales will have the handedness advantage against Austin Hays in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Austin Hays is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (86th percentile).
Austin Hays will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Luis Morales throws from, Tyler Stephenson meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gavin Lux today.
As it relates to his home run skill, Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the same side that Luis Morales throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will have a tough matchup today.
Ke’Bryan Hayes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s matchup.
Brent Rooker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willie MacIver in the 24th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Willie MacIver is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Shea Langeliers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.7% rate (91st percentile).
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, JJ Bleday will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Today, JJ Bleday is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (82nd percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
TJ Friedl’s BABIP talent is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Sutter Health Park has the 9th-deepest fences in the league — generally bad for home runs.
TJ Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 15th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Nick Lodolo’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 88th percentile among all starters in the majors right now.
Given his reverse platoon split, Nick Lodolo will be at an advantage being matched up with 7 bats in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in today’s outing.
Nick Lodolo was rolling in his last start and allowed 2 ER.
Nick Lodolo has gone to his change-up 5.1% more often this year (21.6%) than he did last season (16.5%).
Nick Lodolo struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last game started and compiled 1 Ks.
Nick Lodolo’s 93.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1-mph decline from last year’s 94.1-mph figure.
Zack Gelof is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Zack Gelof hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Luis Morales will hold the platoon advantage over Noelvi Marte in today’s matchup.
Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
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