
BOS @ CWS


World Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, April 11th
11/04/25 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs White Sox Matchup Today
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The #8 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Wilyer Abreu pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Wilyer Abreu has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 11.2% rate last season to 17.9% this season.
Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 stadium in the league for overall lefty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best stadium in the game for left-handed home runs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best field in MLB for righty home runs.
Ceddanne Rafaela has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
In terms of his home runs, Ceddanne Rafaela has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His 14.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.5.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.
Ceddanne Rafaela is remarkably toolsy, ranking in the 87th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.33 ft/sec this year.
The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.
Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for home runs.
Over the last 7 days, Kristian Campbell has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .434.
Kristian Campbell is quite athletic, grading out in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.89 ft/sec this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Matt Thaiss has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Matt Thaiss will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Matt Thaiss has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 24.85 ft/sec to 25.82 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).
Matt Thaiss has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 5.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is deflated compared to his 12.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Matt Thaiss can really hit the cover off the ball. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.1 mph) put him among baseball’s best: in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.
Matt Thaiss has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.78 K/BB rate.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Davis Martin in today’s matchup.
Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
Trevor Story is remarkably fast, checking in at the 86th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.31 ft/sec this year.
Trevor Story has recorded a .258 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
Alex Bregman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season’s 89-mph average.
Hitting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have an advantage today.
Michael A. Taylor will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Michael A. Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 18.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.272) may lead us to conclude that Michael A. Taylor has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .242 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.
Austin Slater is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Newcomb in today’s game.
Austin Slater has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Slater will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luis Robert Jr., Matt Thaiss, Michael A. Taylor).
It may be wise to expect better results for the Chicago White Sox offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best venue in MLB for home runs.
In MLB, Guaranteed Rate Field’s LF fences are the 4th-shallowest.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
Hitting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Triston Casas is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Davis Martin in today’s game.
When it comes to his home run talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today’s game.
Jarren Duran has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Jacob Amaya will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Newcomb in today’s matchup.
Jacob Amaya has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Amaya will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jacob Amaya has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .170 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .203.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Davis Martin in the 3rd percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.
Matt Thaiss, the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Davis Martin is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #7 HR venue in Major League Baseball today.
The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Story, Carlos Narvaez, Triston Casas).
Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an edge in today’s game.
Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Lenyn Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs White Sox
Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
This matchup is expected to have the most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Typically, batters like Wilyer Abreu who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Davis Martin.
Wilyer Abreu will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) implies that Wilyer Abreu has been lucky since the start of last season with his .264 actual batting average.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ceddanne Rafaela ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Kristian Campbell is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Davis Martin will hold the platoon advantage over Kristian Campbell today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kristian Campbell today.
Matt Thaiss’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Thaiss has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Sean Newcomb throws from, Matt Thaiss will have a disadvantage today.
The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today.
Matt Thaiss has paced 5.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 24th percentile for power.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rafael Devers in today’s game.
Rafael Devers’s launch angle this year (4.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.3° angle last year.
Rafael Devers has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .363 rate is a fair amount higher than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Davis Martin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Story in today’s game.
Extreme groundball bats like Trevor Story generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Davis Martin.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trevor Story today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.275) implies that Trevor Story has been lucky since the start of last season with his .310 actual wOBA.
Batting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Alex Bregman will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Typically, hitters like Alex Bregman who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Davis Martin.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman today.
Alex Bregman’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 26.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.18 ft/sec now.
As it relates to his home runs, Alex Bregman has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 24.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.6.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 12th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Michael A. Taylor is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.
Michael A. Taylor ranks in the 22nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12% rate since the start of last season).
With a .243 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Michael A. Taylor has performed in the 1st percentile.
Placing in the 2nd percentile, Michael A. Taylor sports a .294 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.
Typically, batters like Austin Slater who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Sean Newcomb.
Posting a .126 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Austin Slater has performed in the 22nd percentile.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (3.2) implies that Austin Slater has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 7.9 actual HR/600.
Austin Slater does not make a lot of hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (97.3 mph) put him among MLB’s worst: in the 12th percentile since the start of last season.
Austin Slater’s 6.8° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the league: 15th percentile.
Projected catcher Carlos Narvaez projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
The Chicago White Sox have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Newcomb today.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Sean Newcomb (43.1% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 FB hitters in Chicago’s projected batting order.
Sean Newcomb will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
The 3rd-weakest projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
Sean Newcomb is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #7 HR venue in MLB — in this matchup.
Chicago White Sox bats jointly grade out 28th- in baseball for power since the start of last season when assessing with their 6.3% Barrel%.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Luis Robert Jr. grades out in the 22nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .289.
Luis Robert Jr. has recorded a .223 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
By putting up a .272 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Luis Robert Jr. grades out in the 8th percentile.
With a .202 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games, Luis Robert Jr. has been struggling at the plate.
In terms of plate discipline, Luis Robert Jr.’s ability is quite bad, posting a 4.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 8th percentile.
Andrew Vaughn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.4% to 3.7%.
Andrew Vaughn’s quickness has declined this year. His 26.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.35 ft/sec now.
Andrew Vaughn has been cold recently, limping his way to a .227 wOBA over the past 14 days.
Triston Casas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Triston Casas’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.2-mph average last year has fallen off to 86.1-mph.
Triston Casas’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 24.07 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 23.54 ft/sec now.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) provides evidence that Triston Casas has been lucky since the start of last season with his .321 actual wOBA.
Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jarren Duran’s speed has dropped off this season. His 29.6 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.99 ft/sec now.
Jarren Duran and his 8.2° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 16th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Amaya in the 3rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Jacob Amaya is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.
This season, there has been a decline in Jacob Amaya’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.13 ft/sec last year to 27.25 ft/sec currently.
With a .119 wOBA in the past two weeks, Jacob Amaya has been struggling at the plate.
Considering that flyball pitchers hold a notable advantage over flyball batters, Davis Martin and his 32.7% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in this matchup being matched up with 3 opposing FB batters.
Davis Martin will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.
In his last start, Davis Martin turned in a great performance and allowed 0 ER.
Davis Martin has relied on his change-up 8% more often this season (29.1%) than he did last year (21.1%).
Tallying 14.6 outs per outing since the start of last season on average, Davis Martin ranks in the 15th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Davis Martin in the 13th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
Davis Martin wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out in his last GS and compiled 2 Ks.
Davis Martin has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up a 7.52 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.98 — a 0.54 K/9 discrepancy.
Lenyn Sosa’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 27.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.48 ft/sec now.
Grading out in the 10th percentile, Lenyn Sosa has posted a .275 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
With a 6.96 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Lenyn Sosa has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 2nd percentile.
Lenyn Sosa has been cold lately, putting up a .235 wOBA over the past 14 days.
Lenyn Sosa hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy pop-ups. His 14.4% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 18th percentile.
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