MLB Player match stats positives for Boston at Cincinnati Sunday Matchup

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #3 park in the majors for overall right-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Austin Wynns has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Austin Wynns will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #3 stadium in the league for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Zack Kelly throws from, Jake Fraley will have the upper hand today.

Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park’s LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.

Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s matchup.

The #3 park in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.

This season, Santiago Espinal has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.2 mph compared to last year’s 86.9 mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jonathan India’s 20.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

Stuart Fairchild pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Stuart Fairchild will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Stuart Fairchild’s launch angle this season (19.6°) is significantly better than his 14.1° figure last season.

When it comes to his home runs, Stuart Fairchild has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 13.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.5.

Jonathan India’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 46.2% on the season to 66.7% in the past 7 days.

Santiago Espinal has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .207 mark is considerably lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 field in the game for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Romy Gonzalez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) implies that Romy Gonzalez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .221 actual batting average.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Tyler O’Neill will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in baseball for LHB home runs.

Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

This season, Jarren Duran has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.3 mph compared to last year’s 90.3 mph mark.

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Kelly throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an advantage in today’s game.

T.J. Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and T.J. Friedl will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Kelly throws from, Will Benson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Will Benson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Will Benson’s 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 89th percentile this year.

Sporting a .289 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Will Benson is ranked in the 77th percentile.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Jeimer Candelario has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 94.4-mph in the past 7 days.

Nick Lodolo projects as the 17th-best starter in MLB right now when estimating his strikeout talent, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Throwing 92.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Nick Lodolo checks in at the 77th percentile.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (David Hamilton, Tyler O’Neill, Romy Gonzalez).

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Nick Lodolo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Nick Lodolo was in good form in his last outing and accumulated 8 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best batter in the game.

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Rafael Devers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 93-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 9th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average.

Great American Ball Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums.

David Hamilton’s launch angle recently (25.3° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 13° seasonal mark.

In notching a .330 BABIP since the start of last season, David Hamilton grades out in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Stuart Fairchild has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last season’s 90.1-mph average.

Dominic Smith has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

Dominic Smith’s launch angle in recent games (37° over the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 12.7° seasonal figure.

In terms of plate discipline, Dominic Smith’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.9 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s game.

Over the past week, Ceddanne Rafaela’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 107.9-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Connor Wong’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 13.2% to 17.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 4th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Zack Kelly.

Elly De La Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Nick Martini will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Kelly in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Martini will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Nick Martini’s 19.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 89th percentile.

Nick Martini has averaged 26 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile for power.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dominic Smith has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 15.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Nick Lodolo’s overall pitching talent is in the 90th percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward, Nick Lodolo was firing on all cylinders in his previous GS and allowed 1 ER.

When assessing his home run ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Checking in at the 98th percentile, Will Benson has posted a .357 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Over the last week, Dominic Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph in recent games.

Romy Gonzalez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .263 mark is quite a bit lower than his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ceddanne Rafaela and his 21.6° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 97th percentile, among the highest in the league this year.

When assessing his home run ability, Will Benson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Will Benson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 33° mark in the last week.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Red Sox vs Reds Matchup for Sunday

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Wynns ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Austin Wynns is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Since the start of last season, Austin Wynns has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 26% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Zack Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Wynns today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.177) provides evidence that Austin Wynns has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Fraley in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

11% of the time that Jake Fraley has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Jake Fraley’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal average has decreased to 80.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 10°, Jake Fraley has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jake Fraley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 16.9% to 12.1%.

Rob Refsnyder will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Over the last week, Rob Refsnyder’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Rob Refsnyder’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 8% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Rob Refsnyder has been lucky this year, putting up a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .054 gap.

When assessing his home run talent, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Kelly throws from, Santiago Espinal has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 15.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 6.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Santiago Espinal’s 1.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 2nd percentile this year.

Jonathan India is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Zack Kelly throws from, Jonathan India faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.4-mph figure last season has fallen off to 85.5-mph.

Last season, Jonathan India had a launch angle of 12.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 6.3°.

By putting up a 7.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jonathan India is ranked in the 8th percentile for power.

Stuart Fairchild is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Stuart Fairchild has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.

Zack Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stuart Fairchild today.

Over the past week, Stuart Fairchild’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

Stuart Fairchild’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 42.2% on the season to 33.3% over the past week.

Santiago Espinal hits many of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy outs. His 13.9% “too-high” rate this year ranks in the 20th percentile.

Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Romy Gonzalez in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler O’Neill in today’s game.

As it relates to his batting average, Tyler O’Neill has had some very good luck this year. His .258 BA has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .219.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jarren Duran has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has been very fortunate given the .020 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

In terms of his home runs, T.J. Friedl has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 20.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.8.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Connor Wong today.

Connor Wong’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 91.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 79.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the last 14 days, Connor Wong’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.

Connor Wong’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 44.3% to 39.3%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) suggests that Connor Wong has been lucky this year with his .332 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 4th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Will Benson is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

This year, Will Benson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Will Benson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Will Benson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 85.7-mph over the past week.

In terms of his home runs, Jeimer Candelario has had some very good luck this year. His 26.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.0.

With a 3.61 K/BB rate this year, Jeimer Candelario has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Wynns has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .245 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .220.

Since the start of last season, T.J. Friedl’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 4th percentile at 86.9 mph.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Todd Tichenor) calling pitches today.

The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Nick Lodolo’s high utilization rate of his fastball (54.4% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Batting from the same side that Zack Kelly throws from, Tyler Stephenson encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 16% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Nick Lodolo will have the handedness advantage against Rafael Devers in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rafael Devers today.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.3°, Rafael Devers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.1°) in the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.339) provides evidence that Rafael Devers has had some very good luck this year with his .379 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, David Hamilton ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, David Hamilton has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for David Hamilton in today’s game.

David Hamilton’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 87-mph seasonal average has fallen to 82.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Ranking in the 6th percentile, Santiago Espinal has posted a .247 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

With a .329 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Stuart Fairchild finds himself in the 20th percentile.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Nick Lodolo will have the handedness advantage over Dominic Smith today.

Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dominic Smith today.

Dominic Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 44.3% to 35.4%.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.271) suggests that Ceddanne Rafaela has been lucky this year with his .293 actual wOBA.

When it comes to plate discipline, Ceddanne Rafaela’s skill is quite poor, posting a 7.04 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 2nd percentile.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.309) suggests that Jeimer Candelario has experienced some positive variance this year with his .335 actual wOBA.

T.J. Friedl has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .269 BA is a good deal higher than his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Zack Kelly will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 92.2 mph to 86.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Wong’s true offensive ability to be a .303, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .069 gap between that mark and his actual .372 wOBA.

In today’s game, Elly De La Cruz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (82nd percentile).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.9) suggests that Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year with his 23.0 actual HR/600.

Nick Martini is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

15% of the time that Nick Martini has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

In today’s game, Nick Martini is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).

When it comes to his batting average, Nick Martini has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .230 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .215.

Nick Martini’s 89.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 21st percentile this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.6) may lead us to conclude that Nick Martini has been lucky since the start of last season with his 28.4 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for home runs.

Nick Lodolo has been lucky this year, posting a 2.76 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.72 — a 0.96 difference.

As it relates to his batting average, Jake Fraley has had some very good luck this year. His .267 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .223.

Spencer Steer’s launch angle of late (9.2° in the past week) is a significant dropoff from his 17.2° seasonal angle.

With a 3.40 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the things most within a pitcher’s control), Nick Lodolo places in the 80th percentile.

Grading out in the 13th percentile for power, Rob Refsnyder has averaged 7.5 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Checking in at the 16th percentile, Dominic Smith has posted a .173 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 15°, Ceddanne Rafaela has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.7°) over the past 14 days.

Will Benson has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .298 figure is considerably higher than his .276 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (35.3) may lead us to conclude that Tyler O’Neill has had some very good luck this year with his 41.9 actual HR/600.

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Red Sox vs Reds Match Player Stats Sunday June 23rd Boston Red Sox at Cincinnati Reds Game Predictions, Players odds, Sunday lines and Betting Trends
Red Sox vs Reds match player stats Sunday, June 23rd pre matchup. Boston Red Sox at Cincinnati Reds player predictions