Red Sox vs Rays match player stats Wednesday, September 18th 2024. Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Series Game 2

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Red Sox vs Rays match player stats Wednesday, September 18th 2024. Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Series Game 2

BOS @ TB

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 18th
18/09/24 18:50:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Rays Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Ceddanne Rafaela’s BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The 4th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Tropicana Field.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jarren Duran has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 95.3-mph in the past 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 19th-best hitter in baseball.

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today’s game.

In notching a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Rafael Devers finds himself in the 79th percentile.

Rafael Devers has notched a .367 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Josh Lowe’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Cooper Criswell in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Criswell has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Josh Lowe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94-mph in the last week.

Josh Lowe’s launch angle of late (24.7° in the last week) is a considerable increase over his 16.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Over the last week, Junior Caminero’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.9% up to 15%.

Junior Caminero has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph figure.

Rafael Devers has compiled a .382 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 96th percentile.

When estimating his home run ability, Trevor Story ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trevor Story’s launch angle this season (19°) is a significant increase over his 15.2° angle last year.

Trevor Story’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (25° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 21.7° seasonal mark.

In terms of his home runs, Trevor Story has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 10.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.7.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Christopher Morel is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Christopher Morel has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 7 days.

Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today’s game… and even better, Criswell has a large platoon split.

Ben Rortvedt has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ben Rortvedt’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (28.4° over the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 9.2° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.

Wilyer Abreu has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.8-mph figure.

With a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Wilyer Abreu finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

Posting a .334 BABIP this year, Wilyer Abreu is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 11th-best batter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill.

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Yandy Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 40.6% on the season to 70% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today’s game.

Triston Casas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 103-mph in the last week.

This season, Triston Casas has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.6 mph compared to last year’s 95.1 mph mark.

Power-wise, Triston Casas grades out in the 89th percentile, having hit 27.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida’s launch angle this season (10°) is considerably higher than his 3.9° mark last season.

Masataka Yoshida’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (31.9° over the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 12° seasonal figure.

When assessing his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today’s game… and moreover, Criswell has a large platoon split.

Extreme flyball batters like Brandon Lowe generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Posting a .328 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Triston Casas has performed in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors.

Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell today… and even more favorably, Criswell has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 13th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Ryan Pepiot in the 84th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

The Boston Red Sox have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Triston Casas, Tyler O’Neill, Trevor Story, Wilyer Abreu).

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) calling pitches today.

Tropicana Field ranks as the #6 venue in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christopher Morel, Jose Siri, Josh Lowe).

Because groundball pitchers hold a significant edge over groundball batters, Tanner Houck and his 52.2% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good spot in today’s matchup going up against 2 opposing GB batters.

Ben Rortvedt has put up a .319 BABIP this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O’Neill as the majors’s 10th-best home run batter.

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Tyler O’Neill has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 17.3% seasonal rate to 28% in the past 14 days.

Tyler O’Neill has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last year’s 92.8-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Grading out in the 91st percentile, Wilyer Abreu sits with a .354 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Yandy Diaz has posted a .336 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Trevor Story’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 47.6% on the season to 69.2% in the past 7 days.

Trevor Story has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .259 figure is a fair amount lower than his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Lowe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 15.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is deflated compared to his 20.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 81st percentile, Triston Casas has posted a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Rays Series Game 2

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst venue in MLB for run-scoring.

The weather forecast expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.3°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.8°) over the last two weeks.

Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, compiling a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .021 gap.

Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Rafael Devers has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 6.1% over the last two weeks.

Josh Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

19% of the time that Josh Lowe has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Josh Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Considering Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, Junior Caminero will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

In today’s game, Junior Caminero is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (93rd percentile).

Extreme flyball bats like Junior Caminero are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Rafael Devers’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 93.4-mph seasonal average has decreased to 89.4-mph in the last 14 days.

Trevor Story is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Trevor Story has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Trevor Story will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Given Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, Christopher Morel will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

In the past 14 days, Christopher Morel’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.7°.

In notching a .239 BABIP this year, Christopher Morel grades out in the 3rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

17% of the time that Ben Rortvedt has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

35% of the time that Wilyer Abreu has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

The #5 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

In today’s matchup, Wilyer Abreu is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (81st percentile).

Given Cooper Criswell’s large platoon split, Yandy Diaz will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Yandy Diaz are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

In the past week’s worth of games, Yandy Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 91.9 mph to 76 mph.

Triston Casas is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Triston Casas in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masataka Yoshida in today’s matchup.

Masataka Yoshida has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.2-mph in the past two weeks.

Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masataka Yoshida has had some very good luck given the .019 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

This year, Brandon Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Brandon Lowe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Brandon Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 94.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 87.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Triston Casas’s launch angle in recent games (-0.4° over the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.8° seasonal figure.

Jonathan Aranda has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Over the last week, Jonathan Aranda’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 18.2% down to 10.5%.

In his previous game started, Ryan Pepiot struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.

The #5 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tanner Houck to throw 81 pitches in today’s game (9th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tanner Houck in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Tyler O’Neill meets a tough challenge today.

Tyler O’Neill will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler O’Neill has been very fortunate this year. His .372 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.

Yandy Diaz’s launch angle recently (-2.4° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 4.4° seasonal mark.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wilyer Abreu today.

Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 18.4% to 13.5%.

Triston Casas’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Junior Caminero’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.1°.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 87.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 81.5-mph over the last 14 days.

Ceddanne Rafaela has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

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