Red Sox vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 World Monday, March 31st

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Red Sox vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 World Monday, March 31st

BOS @ BAL

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World Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles

Todays Game is on Monday, March 31st
31/03/25 14:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Orioles Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Jordan Westburg will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Newcomb in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge today.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Story, Ceddanne Rafaela, Triston Casas).

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Cade Povich will hold that advantage today.

Cade Povich has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up a 7.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.11 — a 0.32 K/9 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Kristian Campbell will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Newcomb in today’s matchup.

Ramon Urias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Ramon Urias will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Ryan Mountcastle will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Newcomb in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 19th-best hitter in MLB.

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Alex Bregman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich today.

When assessing his home run skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Rob Refsnyder’s BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The Baltimore Orioles have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gary Sanchez, Colton Cowser, Ramon Laureano, Jackson Holliday).

Sean Newcomb has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed batters in today’s game.

Sean Newcomb’s 2376-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 77th percentile among all starters.

Given the 1.77 discrepancy between Sean Newcomb’s 6.30 K/9 and his 8.07 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see positive regression in the future.

Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Gary Sanchez will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Adley Rutschman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Sean Newcomb.

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Orioles

Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2%,— 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 3rd-deepest LF dimensions among all parks.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Cade Povich to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 82 pitches.

In his last game started, Cade Povich didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Kristian Campbell is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kristian Campbell in today’s game.

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Sean Newcomb throws from, Cedric Mullins will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins’s BABIP ability is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Rafael Devers will have a tough matchup today.

Rafael Devers has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rob Refsnyder in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Sean Newcomb to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 68 pitches.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Sean Newcomb will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Gary Sanchez is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Gary Sanchez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Connor Wong is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Connor Wong today.

Batting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Triston Casas has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Triston Casas will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Jarren Duran has a tough challenge today.

In today’s game, Jarren Duran is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.4% rate (97th percentile).

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In today’s game, Adley Rutschman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 32.9% rate (75th percentile).

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