Red Sox vs Mets match player stats Wednesday, September 4th 2024. Boston Red Sox at New York Mets Series Game 3

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Red Sox vs Mets match player stats Wednesday, September 4th 2024. Boston Red Sox at New York Mets Series Game 3

BOS @ NYM

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 4th
04/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Mets Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Pete Alonso projects as the 12th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jesse Winker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck in today’s game.

Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 11th-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Tyler O’Neill pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.

Tyler O’Neill has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last season’s 92.8-mph figure.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Citi Field.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have the upper hand today.

Enmanuel Valdez is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Enmanuel Valdez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last year’s 87.5-mph figure.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

Citi Field projects as the #30 stadium in MLB for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Rafael Devers has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Connor Wong’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 38.3% on the season to 60% in the last week’s worth of games.

Posting a .341 BABIP this year, Connor Wong finds himself in the 93rd percentile.

Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Tylor Megill in the 77th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Wilyer Abreu, Tyler O’Neill, Connor Wong).

Citi Field grades out as the #9 venue in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Checking in at the 89th percentile, Jose Iglesias has notched a .348 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Masataka Yoshida’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today’s game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Batting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge today.

Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Jeff McNeil has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24° figure over the last week.

Jose Iglesias has compiled a .314 batting average this year, ranking in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 16.3% on the season to 40% in the past 7 days.

Ceddanne Rafaela and his 17.5° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in MLB this year.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Starling Marte is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today.

Starling Marte has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

The 9% Barrel% of the Boston Red Sox ranks them as the #7 club in the game this year by this stat.

Boston’s 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #4 group of hitters in Major League Baseball this year by this standard.

Compared to his seasonal average of 10°, Jose Iglesias has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.7° mark over the past 7 days.

Jose Iglesias has notched a .439 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

When assessing his home run talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage in today’s game.

Triston Casas has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 12.7% to 16.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Based on Statcast metrics, Masataka Yoshida grades out in the 76th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .336.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Mark Vientos has posted a .370 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 11th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Last season, Tyler O’Neill had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 22.5°.

Francisco Lindor has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.7% seasonal rate to 20.5% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Enmanuel Valdez’s launch angle this year (17.4°) is significantly better than his 10.4° figure last year.

In the past week, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 26.7%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tanner Houck in today’s game.

Tanner Houck has been lucky this year, compiling a 3.12 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.73 — a 0.61 discrepancy.

Tanner Houck has averaged 95.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a substantial edge over flyball hitters, Tanner Houck and his 51.6% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this matchup going up against 2 opposing FB hitters.

In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Starling Marte’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.2 mph.

In the past 7 days, Starling Marte’s 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.6%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Mets Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for RHB batting average.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

This game is projected to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Tanner Houck will have the handedness advantage over Mark Vientos in today’s game.

Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 97.3-mph average last year has lowered to 95.3-mph.

Citi Field ranks as the #30 venue in baseball for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.7) implies that Pete Alonso has been lucky this year with his 30.3 actual HR/600.

Jesse Winker has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 stadium in MLB for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.3°, Jesse Winker has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.1°) over the last 14 days.

Citi Field projects as the #30 ballpark in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 79.6-mph over the last week.

Tylor Megill will have the handedness advantage against Tyler O’Neill today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler O’Neill in today’s matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side against Tanner Houck today.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 14.7% to 9.5%.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Wilyer Abreu in today’s game.

Wilyer Abreu has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 12.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enmanuel Valdez in the 13th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Enmanuel Valdez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Generating 15.1 outs per start this year on average, Tylor Megill places him the 23rd percentile.

With 6 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Tylor Megill encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Tylor Megill’s 19th percentile BB% (10.5% this year) is evidence of his weak control skills.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Over the last week, Rafael Devers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.9% down to 0%.

Connor Wong has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Tylor Megill throws from, Connor Wong will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Connor Wong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

With a 1.3 difference between Tylor Megill’s 10.49 K/9 and his 9.19 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results going forward.

Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Tanner Houck throws from, Jose Iglesias will have a disadvantage today.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 13th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

When assessing his home run talent, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Tylor Megill throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Starling Marte has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage over Starling Marte today.

Triston Casas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In the last week, Triston Casas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 0%.

Jeff McNeil’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 87-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83.7-mph over the past two weeks.

Masataka Yoshida has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.

Tanner Houck will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Wilyer Abreu has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .352 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Jarren Duran’s 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran’s true offensive talent to be a .340, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .033 deviation between that figure and his actual .373 wOBA.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In the past 7 days, Rafael Devers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 95.7 mph to 84.1 mph.

Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 95.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82.4-mph in the last 7 days.

Triston Casas’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 82.7-mph over the last week.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) implies that Tyler O’Neill has had positive variance on his side this year with his .363 actual wOBA.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Enmanuel Valdez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Brandon Nimmo’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (3.3° in the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 9.7° seasonal angle.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Tanner Houck’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 91st percentile among all starters in baseball right now.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the New York Mets offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Over the past two weeks, Francisco Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

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