Red Sox vs Braves match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 30th

|
Red Sox vs Braves match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 30th

BOS @ ATL

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves Red Sox vs BravesRed Sox vs BravesRed Sox vs BravesRed Sox vs BravesRed Sox vs BravesRed Sox vs Braves

Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves

Todays Game is on Friday, May 30th
30/05/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Braves Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits.

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Compared to last season, Ceddanne Rafaela has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.5% to 21.1% this season.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 21.1% on the season to 50% over the last 14 days.

Marcelo Mayer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Marcelo Mayer will hold the platoon advantage over Grant Holmes today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best hitter in baseball.

Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today.

Posting a 1.83 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has shown strong plate discipline, placing in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Trevor Story’s BABIP skill is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks.

Trevor Story has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.1-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the game’s 14th-best home run hitter.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Ozzie Albies will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Ronald Acuna Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as MLB’s 15th-best home run hitter.

Austin Riley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league.

Austin Riley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Lucas Giolito in the 85th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Lucas Giolito was rolling in his previous outing and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

The Atlanta Braves projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-best of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability.

The Atlanta Braves have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

The Boston Red Sox have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Grant Holmes today.

Grant Holmes has been lucky in regards to his ERA this year; his 3.68 rate is deflated compared to his 4.97 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Grant Holmes in the 75th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

Tallying 94 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Grant Holmes ranks in the 85th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Boston Red Sox with a 25.2% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 15th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Grant Holmes in today’s matchup.

Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Extreme flyball batters like Nick Allen tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Allen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Extreme groundball batters like Michael Harris II tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.

Carlos Narvaez has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 50% in the past two weeks.

Carlos Narvaez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 104.7-mph in the last 14 days.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Carlos Narvaez’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Braves

Wilyer Abreu will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Wilyer Abreu has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 15.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.

Wilyer Abreu’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 86.5-mph over the past two weeks.

In terms of his home runs, Wilyer Abreu has had some very good luck this year. His 37.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.1.

In notching a .262 BABIP this year, Wilyer Abreu is positioned in the 21st percentile.

The #7 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela faces a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 14% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

Checking in at the 17th percentile, Ceddanne Rafaela sits with a .275 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcelo Mayer in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Rafael Devers’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 95-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 87-mph over the past 14 days.

Rafael Devers has been lucky this year, putting up a .397 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .365 — a .032 gap.

Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Alex Verdugo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Alex Verdugo’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 88.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 85-mph in the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 3.4°, Alex Verdugo’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-1° in the past 14 days).

Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Trevor Story will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Trevor Story’s launch angle of late (-2.3° over the last two weeks) is significantly worse than his 12.1° seasonal mark.

Sporting a .279 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Trevor Story is ranked in the 12th percentile for hitting ability.

By putting up a .250 BABIP this year, Matt Olson has performed in the 17th percentile.

Lucas Giolito will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today.

Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 11%.

Over the past 14 days, Marcell Ozuna’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.8%.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.5°, Marcell Ozuna has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7°) over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Lucas Giolito today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.

Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 88.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 71.8-mph over the last 14 days.

Lucas Giolito will hold the platoon advantage over Ronald Acuna Jr. in today’s matchup.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Ronald Acuna Jr. and his 8.6% rank in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.

The 2nd-deepest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Truist Park.

Lucas Giolito will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today’s game.

Austin Riley’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 92.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 87.4-mph in the last 14 days.

As it relates to plate discipline, Austin Riley’s ability is quite weak, posting a 4.26 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 15th percentile.

Considering that groundball hitters hold a big edge over flyball pitchers, Lucas Giolito and his 37.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in this outing squaring off against 2 opposing GB bats.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lucas Giolito in today’s game.

Lucas Giolito is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #24 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this matchup.

Lucas Giolito has put up a .329 BABIP this year, making him one of the unluckiest hurlers in Major League Baseball on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

Atlanta grades out as the #24 team in the league when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (42.4% rate this year).

Today’s version of the Red Sox projected batting order is a bit watered down, as their .314 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .325 overall projected rate.

Grant Holmes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Grant Holmes’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (59.9% this year) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today’s game.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jarren Duran’s talent is quite weak, putting up a 3.8 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 20th percentile.

Jarren Duran has paced 7.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 21st percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Nick Allen is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Lucas Giolito throws from, Nick Allen faces a tough challenge today.

Over the last two weeks, Nick Allen’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-10.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 0.9°.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Nick Allen ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Michael Harris II has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.

Michael Harris II’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 93.4-mph average last year has fallen to 90.7-mph.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Carlos Narvaez has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time.

Grant Holmes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Narvaez in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carlos Narvaez in today’s game.

Latest Atlanta Braves Match Player Stats

Latest Boston Red Sox Match Player Stats