Red Sox vs Blue Jays match player stats Wednesday, September 25th 2024. Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Series Game 3

|
Red Sox vs Blue Jays match player stats Wednesday, September 25th 2024. Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Series Game 3

BOS @ TOR

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Series Game 3Red Sox vs Blue JaysRed Sox vs Blue JaysRed Sox vs Blue JaysRed Sox vs Blue JaysRed Sox vs Blue JaysRed Sox vs Blue Jays

Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 25th
25/09/24 19:07:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Blue Jays Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The #7 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

In MLB, Rogers Centre’s CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Connor Wong has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #7 park in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Joey Loperfido’s BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Joey Loperfido will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Joey Loperfido will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Trevor Story has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

When assessing his home run ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today’s matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Ceddanne Rafaela has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.5° mark over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 12th-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12.4°, Connor Wong has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.3° angle over the last week.

Batting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Addison Barger is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Addison Barger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand today.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tom Hanahan) behind the plate today.

The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Richard Fitts’s 2424-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 86th percentile among all SPs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.

Wilyer Abreu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

In notching a .338 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Wilyer Abreu is positioned in the 79th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Vaughn Grissom has been unlucky this year. His .167 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .274.

Grading out in the 94th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, Vaughn Grissom demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a key skill for achieving a high batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Kevin Gausman has gone to his change-up 5% less often this season (33.4%) than he did last season (38.4%).

Boston Red Sox batters as a group place 3rd- in the league for power this year when assessing with their 9.2% Barrel%.

Boston Red Sox batters as a unit place 4th- in MLB for power this year when assessing with their 92.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

Trevor Story has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

In the past 14 days, Trevor Story’s 60.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage today.

Ernie Clement’s launch angle lately (22.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 16.5° seasonal figure.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Richard Fitts in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kevin Gausman in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Gausman to throw 98 pitches in this outing (most of all pitchers today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Boston Red Sox have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Wilyer Abreu, Connor Wong, Trevor Story, Triston Casas, Romy Gonzalez).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Romy Gonzalez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Masataka Yoshida hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Vaughn Grissom’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Blue Jays Series Game 3

Connor Wong has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest average fence height among all parks.

Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Wong in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Connor Wong in today’s game.

Connor Wong’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 86.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 81-mph over the past two weeks.

Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

In the past two weeks, Spencer Horwitz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

Spencer Horwitz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 83.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Over the last 7 days, Spencer Horwitz’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.1%.

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Richard Fitts will have the handedness advantage over Ernie Clement today.

Ernie Clement has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Joey Loperfido is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Joey Loperfido has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time.

Over the last 7 days, Joey Loperfido’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.2%.

Trevor Story has been pinch hit for 10% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Trevor Story will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trevor Story in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88.5-mph mark last year has dropped to 85.1-mph.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Triston Casas in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Triston Casas has been lucky this year. His .341 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jarren Duran has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days.

Despite posting a .358 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has had positive variance on his side given the .020 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ceddanne Rafaela today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 92.8 mph to 88.2 mph.

Rogers Centre projects as the #21 venue in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rogers Centre ranks as the #21 stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Addison Barger is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

This year, Addison Barger has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

As it relates to plate discipline, Addison Barger’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.72 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 24th percentile.

Richard Fitts will have the handedness advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle this year (7.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.2° mark last year.

As it relates to his home run ability, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nathan Lukes’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 40.7% on the season to 31.3% over the last 7 days.

Nathan Lukes has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Richard Fitts in the 17th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Richard Fitts is projected to throw 78 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate today.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 20.2% underlying K%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Wilyer Abreu has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 34% of the time.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wilyer Abreu today.

Wilyer Abreu has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 4.2% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Vaughn Grissom is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Vaughn Grissom will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Vaughn Grissom will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Notching a lowly an 85.3-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Nathan Lukes has been in a slump of late.

Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage over Romy Gonzalez in today’s matchup.

Romy Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Romy Gonzalez’s launch angle of late (-6.5° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 4° seasonal angle.

Despite posting a .319 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Romy Gonzalez has had some very good luck given the .018 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kevin Gausman in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Boston Red Sox offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masataka Yoshida today.

Over the last 14 days, Masataka Yoshida’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 91.6 mph to 89.4 mph.

Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masataka Yoshida has experienced some positive variance given the .014 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

Batting from the same side that Richard Fitts throws from, George Springer faces a tough challenge today.

George Springer’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.8-mph over the last two weeks.

George Springer’s launch angle this season (8.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.8° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 18th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Spencer Horwitz has been lucky this year, putting up a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .030 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 19th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Over the past 14 days, Nathan Lukes’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 2.9% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Vaughn Grissom’s 86.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Latest Toronto Blue Jays Match Player Stats

Latest Boston Red Sox Match Player Stats