Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Yankees Matchup Today

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.

Curtis Mead will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

Curtis Mead has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB home runs.

Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today.

Anthony Volpe has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season’s 87.6-mph mark.

Anthony Volpe has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Junior Caminero will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Ben Rice is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #5 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Ben Rice will have an edge today.

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 20th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage in today’s game.

Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his home run ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 15th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Brandon Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Danny Jansen will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Danny Jansen usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #3 ballpark in baseball for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Max Fried is projected to throw 98 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-most of the day.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Caballero, Christopher Morel, Brandon Lowe).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league.

Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Christopher Morel is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Christopher Morel will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Max Fried.

Over the past week, Taylor Walls’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.1% up to 25%.

Tallying 17 outs per GS this year on average, Ryan Pepiot places him the 80th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the New York Yankees in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .336, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .357 this year.

The New York Yankees have been the luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ryan Pepiot in the 80th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Because flyball pitchers have a big edge over flyball hitters, Ryan Pepiot and his 37.7% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot in today’s matchup facing 3 opposing FB hitters.

Ryan Pepiot was in good form in his last GS and posted 8 strikeouts.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Ryan Pepiot has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches 11.7% more often this season (61.1%) than he did last season (49.4%).

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Austin Wells will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Austin Wells has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.2% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the past 7 days.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Ryan Pepiot in today’s game.

Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Over the last 7 days, Oswaldo Cabrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.9-mph over the course of the season to 86.9-mph of late.

Jose Caballero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

Sporting a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Jose Caballero finds himself in the 80th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Yankees

Curtis Mead has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #4 stadium in MLB for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Curtis Mead in today’s matchup.

Curtis Mead’s footspeed has dropped off this year. His 26.94 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.11 ft/sec now.

Curtis Mead has recorded a .247 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile.

Curtis Mead has compiled a .075 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile.

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage against Anthony Volpe in today’s matchup.

Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°, Anthony Volpe has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.9°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Junior Caminero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Typically, batters like Junior Caminero who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Fried.

Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Junior Caminero’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 96.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 94.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

10% of the time that Ben Rice has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

In the past two weeks, Ben Rice’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21.9% down to 16.7%.

Despite posting a .406 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ben Rice has been very fortunate given the .061 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #25 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Yankee Stadium has the 6th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums.

Max Fried will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chandler Simpson in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Chandler Simpson who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Max Fried.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chandler Simpson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Typically, batters like Cody Bellinger who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ryan Pepiot.

Cody Bellinger’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 91.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Cody Bellinger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 11.8%.

Cody Bellinger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 11.8% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .426 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has been very fortunate given the .093 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

Trent Grisham has compiled a .212 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trent Grisham has posted a .221 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have a tough matchup today.

Paul Goldschmidt’s launch angle of late (5.1° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 11.9° seasonal mark.

Paul Goldschmidt has been lucky this year, compiling a .380 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .053 disparity.

Paul Goldschmidt has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile with a 3.63 K/BB rate.

Extreme flyball batters like Yandy Diaz tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yandy Diaz today.

Max Fried will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Lowe today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Lowe in today’s game.

Posting a 3.47 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Brandon Lowe has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Brandon Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 14.9% on the season to 7.4% over the last 14 days.

Danny Jansen’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Danny Jansen is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Danny Jansen in today’s matchup.

Checking in at the 9th percentile, Danny Jansen sits with a .329 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Max Fried as the 7th-best pitcher in the majors currently.

Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Max Fried has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 7 opposite-handed batters in this game.

Max Fried is an extreme groundball pitcher (52.1% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #3 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #21 venue in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Max Fried has utilized his non-fastballs 9.4% less often this year (41.5%) than he did last year (50.9%).

Checking in at the 24th percentile, Max Fried posted an 8.7% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Aaron Judge will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Aaron Judge usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

In the last two weeks, Aaron Judge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 23.3% down to 16.2%.

Today, Christopher Morel is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.9% rate (96th percentile).

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.

Ranking in the 8th percentile, Christopher Morel sits with a .251 BABIP since the start of last season.

Taylor Walls’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taylor Walls is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Taylor Walls hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Taylor Walls will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 13th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Projected catcher Danny Jansen profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Pepiot in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Austin Wells is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Austin Wells has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Austin Wells who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ryan Pepiot.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oswaldo Cabrera in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Oswaldo Cabrera is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

11% of the time that Oswaldo Cabrera has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

In today’s matchup, Oswaldo Cabrera is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (91st percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Caballero in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Caballero is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jose Caballero will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Caballero in the 16th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Latest New York Yankees Match Player Stats

• New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins Odds MLB – Monday 14th 2026
• Yankees vs Twins match player stats | 2026 Monday, September 14th
• New York Mets at New York Yankees Odds MLB – Sunday 13th 2026
• Mets vs Yankees match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, September 13th
• New York Mets at New York Yankees Odds MLB – Saturday 12th 2026
• Mets vs Yankees match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 12th
• New York Mets at New York Yankees Odds MLB – Friday 11th 2026
• Mets vs Yankees match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
• Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees Odds MLB – Thursday 10th 2026
• Rockies vs Yankees match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, September 10th

Latest Tampa Bay Rays Match Player Stats

• Astros vs Rays match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, September 13th
• Astros vs Rays match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 12th
• Astros vs Rays match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
• Rays vs Braves match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, September 10th
• Rays vs Braves match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Wednesday, September 9th
• Rays vs Braves match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, September 8th
• Rays vs Rangers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 4 Sunday, September 6th
• Rays vs Rangers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Saturday, September 5th
• Rays vs Rangers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Friday, September 4th
• Rays vs Rangers match player stats | 2026 Thursday, September 3rd

---