Rays vs Phillies match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 2

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Rays vs Phillies match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 2

TB @ PHI

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 10th
10/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Phillies Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors , — generally good for HRs.

Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Kody Clemens’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph of late.

Kody Clemens has been hot lately, putting up a .338 wOBA in the past 7 days.

Ben Rortvedt has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jonny Deluca has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Jonny Deluca will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.

Jonny Deluca pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jonny Deluca’s launch angle of late (24.6° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal angle.

Despite posting a .267 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny Deluca has had bad variance on his side given the .029 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Taj Bradley today.

Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Dylan Carlson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Dylan Carlson will get to bat from his strong side against Ranger Suarez in today’s game.

Dylan Carlson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (20.8°) is considerably better than his 15° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dylan Carlson’s true offensive ability to be a .305, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .048 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .257 wOBA.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage today.

Johan Rojas’s quickness has increased this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.11 ft/sec now.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Taj Bradley in today’s game.

Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jose Siri will have an edge today.

Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Jose Siri’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16% up to 33.3%.

Jose Siri’s launch angle of late (24.7° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 15.5° seasonal mark.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Trea Turner has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.5-mph.

When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Yandy Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz has been unlucky this year, compiling a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .019 gap.

Jose Caballero is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jose Caballero will have an edge in today’s game.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Jose Caballero has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 26.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 17°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taj Bradley in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Taj Bradley has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.

In his last game started, Taj Bradley turned in a great performance and posted 10 strikeouts.

Taj Bradley’s change-up percentage has increased by 13.4% from last season to this one (13.9% to 27.3%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 5th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill.

Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Taj Bradley in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Marsh’s 60.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand today.

Junior Caminero has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 96.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Christopher Morel will have an advantage today.

Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Christopher Morel’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 102.9-mph recently.

Brandon Marsh grades out in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.4% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Nick Castellanos’s 64.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Tallying 93 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Ranger Suarez falls in the 80th percentile.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ben Rortvedt, Jose Siri, Jose Caballero, Christopher Morel).

Given that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Ranger Suarez (51.1% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected batting order.

Ranger Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Christopher Morel has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.5° figure in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Taj Bradley in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

It may be smart to expect worse results for the Philadelphia Phillies offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #25 venue in the league for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Phillies Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Kody Clemens is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #2 park in the majors for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 7th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Ben Rortvedt is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #27 park in the majors for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonny Deluca in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Jonny Deluca has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power).

With a .225 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jonny Deluca grades out in the 19th percentile.

Sporting a 10.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott is positioned in the 16th percentile for power.

In notching a .188 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Bryson Stott is positioned in the 22nd percentile.

Dylan Carlson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Dylan Carlson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal average has lowered to 87.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Dylan Carlson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (4.9° in the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 20.8° seasonal mark.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Johan Rojas will be in a tough position today.

In the past 14 days, Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 93.7 mph to 87.9 mph.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.8°, Bryce Harper has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.6°) over the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.359) implies that Bryce Harper has been lucky this year with his .375 actual wOBA.

In the past week, Jonny Deluca has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 86.6-mph on his flyballs.

Based on Statcast metrics, Jonny Deluca ranks in the 20th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 11.700.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.352) may lead us to conclude that Kyle Schwarber has been lucky this year with his .366 actual wOBA.

Jose Siri is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Jose Siri will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Jose Siri’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 80-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Taj Bradley will hold the platoon advantage over Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.7°, Trea Turner’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (5.8° in the past 14 days).

Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ranger Suarez.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Yandy Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 91.9 mph to 84.2 mph.

Jose Caballero will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Jose Caballero’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 83.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 81.7-mph over the past 14 days.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (John Libka) behind the plate in this game.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Taj Bradley today.

Given the 0.11 gap between Taj Bradley’s 10.11 K/9 and his 9.99 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see worse results in future games.

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Brandon Marsh has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph dropping to 89.3-mph in the last week.

Extreme groundball bats like Junior Caminero generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Junior Caminero in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Junior Caminero’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ben Rortvedt in today’s game.

Christopher Morel is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Christopher Morel will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Christopher Morel has been cold in recent games, putting up a .288 wOBA over the last 14 days.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 19.4% on the season to 8.3% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Marsh’s true offensive talent to be a .316, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .013 gap between that mark and his actual .329 wOBA.

Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage over Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.

In the last week, Junior Caminero’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.5%.

Over the last week, Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 90.5 mph to 75.4 mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Ranger Suarez’s 90.2-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 2-mph decline from last season’s 92.2-mph figure.

Ranger Suarez’s 2010-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 7th percentile out of all SPs.

Ranger Suarez has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.91 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.14 — a 0.77 K/9 gap.

Utilizing Statcast data, Christopher Morel grades out in the 11th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .219.

Utilizing Statcast data, Jose Caballero grades out in the 10th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .273.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.319) implies that Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance this year with his .348 actual wOBA.

Ranking in the 14th percentile, Jose Siri has notched a .279 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 4.6°, Yandy Diaz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.8°) over the past 14 days.

Among all major league stadiums, Citizens Bank Park’s LF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.

Utilizing Statcast data, Dylan Carlson ranks in the 22nd percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .266.

From last season to this one, Johan Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 12.9% to 9.4%.

Kody Clemens has been lucky this year, notching a .338 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .051 discrepancy.

Sporting a 5.19 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Kody Clemens has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ranger Suarez in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

The Tampa Bay Rays projected lineup projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

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