Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Rangers vs Mariners Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When estimating his home run talent, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers.

Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.

Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Dominic Canzone has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 94.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Dominic Canzone has posted a .297 batting average this year.

Evan Carter is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Evan Carter will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Cole Young will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Cole Young will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Cole Young has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 11.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 17.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cole Young’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Cole Young has suffered from bad luck this year. His .293 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Wyatt Langford has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph figure.

Wyatt Langford’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 41% on the season to 68.8% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Merrill Kelly in the 77th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Recording 93.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Merrill Kelly ranks in the 85th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Rangers’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a good pitch framer.

The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

The 2nd-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in T-Mobile Park.

Eugenio Suarez projects as the 15th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Eugenio Suarez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Luis Castillo has averaged 95.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 95th percentile.

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Luis Castillo’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 75th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Josh Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly today.

Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.

Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.194) may lead us to conclude that Joc Pederson has had some very poor luck this year with his .120 actual batting average.

Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Marcus Semien’s launch angle this year (20°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand today.

J.P. Crawford has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.282) may lead us to conclude that J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck this year with his .265 actual batting average.

Posting a 1.43 K/BB rate this year, J.P. Crawford has displayed favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 90th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

Posting a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Randy Arozarena is positioned in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Adolis Garcia has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Adolis Garcia’s launch angle this year (18.2°) is considerably better than his 14.8° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

The Barrel% of Rowdy Tellez has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.1% last year to 15.2% this season.

Compared to last season, Rowdy Tellez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12% to 17.9% this season.

Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today.

Jorge Polanco has hit 30.3 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 87th percentile for power.

By putting up a 1.6 K/BB rate this year, Jorge Polanco has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Kyle Higashioka pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Kyle Higashioka has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 16% in the last two weeks.

Kyle Higashioka has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

Compared to his seasonal average of 18.3°, Kyle Higashioka has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.9° angle over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors’s 4th-best home run hitter.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season’s 94.9-mph EV.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.

In the last 7 days, Julio Rodriguez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 23.1%.

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Josh Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.

As it relates to plate discipline, Josh Smith’s ability is quite good, sporting a 1.75 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 78th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rangers vs Mariners Series Game 3

Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Dominic Canzone has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

T-Mobile Park grades out as the #31 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.

This game is projected to have the best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The #1 park in the league for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Evan Carter has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Evan Carter in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Cole Young is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Cole Young has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Wyatt Langford is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage over Wyatt Langford today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

The #1 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (James Jean) calling pitches in today’s game.

With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Merrill Kelly will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.

Merrill Kelly didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous outing and notched 1 Ks.

Merrill Kelly has gone to his slider 5% less often this season (6.8%) than he did last year (11.8%).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Merrill Kelly’s overall pitching ability is in the 84th percentile out of all starters in the majors currently.

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Eugenio Suarez has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 39.9% on the season to 28.6% over the last 14 days.

Luis Castillo’s fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this year (94.5 mph) below where it was last year (95.5 mph).

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Castillo has relied on his secondary offerings 5% less often this year (31.6%) than he did last year (36.6%).

Luis Castillo’s 2214-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 14th percentile among all starting pitchers.

The Texas Rangers projected batting order grades out as the 5th-best of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Texas Rangers offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 93.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 89-mph.

Josh Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 45.8% on the season to 23.8% over the past week.

Joc Pederson has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Joc Pederson has been pinch hit for 28% of the time.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corey Seager in today’s game.

Over the last week, Corey Seager’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 96.1 mph to 91.1 mph.

Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Marcus Semien will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

J.P. Crawford is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

J.P. Crawford has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 83.2-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Merrill Kelly will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.9 mph to 84.6 mph.

Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Adolis Garcia will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adolis Garcia in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Rowdy Tellez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 45% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

17% of the time that Jorge Polanco has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Kyle Higashioka is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will bat from his weak side against Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.

Cal Raleigh has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 53.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 37.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Despite posting a .402 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cal Raleigh has experienced some positive variance given the .047 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .355.

Hitting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Julio Rodriguez faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Sporting a 3.63 K/BB rate this year, Julio Rodriguez has shown weak plate discipline, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Smith in today’s matchup.

Josh Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 90.7-mph seasonal average has dropped to 87.9-mph over the last two weeks.

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