TEX @ CLE


Rangers @ Guardians Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, September 28th
Time : 28/09/25 15:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Texas Rangers Game Today
Angel Martinez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
The #3 park in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Patrick Corbin.
Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Angel Martinez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP.
Progressive Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.
The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Manzardo will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Kyle Manzardo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season’s 92-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Patrick Corbin.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Gabriel Arias will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin today.
Gabriel Arias has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Compared to last year, Gabriel Arias has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.9% to 17% this season.
Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums.
Brayan Rocchio will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Brayan Rocchio has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.7-mph average to last season’s 84.5-mph figure.
Brayan Rocchio has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .279 figure is a good deal lower than his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jhonkensy Noel will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Jhonkensy Noel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his home run ability, Jhonkensy Noel ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.
Steven Kwan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Steven Kwan will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Steven Kwan’s launch angle in recent games (21.2° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 15.5° seasonal mark.
Steven Kwan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Johnathan Rodriguez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Johnathan Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Johnathan Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Game Today
Progressive Field has the 4th-highest average fence height in the league.
Angel Martinez’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 87.1-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 78-mph in the last week.
With a .269 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Angel Martinez grades out in the 4th percentile for offensive ability.
Placing in the 8th percentile, Angel Martinez has notched a .276 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
By putting up a 4.78 K/BB rate this year, Angel Martinez has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 9th percentile.
Progressive Field grades out as the #26 ballpark in the game for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Hitting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Kyle Manzardo will be at a disadvantage today.
Kyle Manzardo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.
In the last 14 days, Kyle Manzardo’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the game for LHB home runs.
In the last week’s worth of games, Kyle Manzardo’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.4%.
Kyle Manzardo has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .329 mark is considerably higher than his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 86-mph in the past two weeks.
When it comes to his home runs, Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck this year. His 27.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.1.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 17% on the season to 5.6% in the last 7 days.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.344) may lead us to conclude that Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance this year with his .360 actual wOBA.
Gabriel Arias is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Gabriel Arias’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 89.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.5-mph over the past 7 days.
Posting a .285 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Gabriel Arias is positioned in the 10th percentile for offensive skills.
Checking in at the 13th percentile, Gabriel Arias has put up a .285 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Gabriel Arias has compiled a .228 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his home run ability, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 19.7% to 13.8%.
Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 13.8% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
Placing in the 9th percentile, Brayan Rocchio sports a .278 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Grading out in the 25th percentile, Brayan Rocchio sits with a .233 batting average this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Jhonkensy Noel is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
Jhonkensy Noel has struggled with his Barrel%; his 14.5% rate last year has dropped off to 5.3% this season.
Last season, Jhonkensy Noel had a launch angle of 14.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 6°.
Jhonkensy Noel has put up a .260 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 6th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Patrick Corbin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks, Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 87.3 mph to 85 mph.
Steven Kwan has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 9.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 4.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
This year, the hardest ball Steven Kwan has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.2 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), placing in the 0th percentile.
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