Rangers vs Guardians match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 27th

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TEX @ CLE

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Rangers @ Guardians Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Texas Rangers at Cleveland Guardians
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, September 27th
Time : 27/09/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Texas Rangers Game Today

Cody Freeman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Progressive Field profiles as the #3 stadium in the game for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In MLB, Progressive Field’s left field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Hitting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Cody Freeman will have the upper hand today.

Cody Freeman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 87.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 85-mph EV.

Alejandro Osuna has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for LHB BABIP.

Over the past two weeks, Alejandro Osuna’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.2%.

Alejandro Osuna has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .263 mark is a fair amount lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today’s game.

Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gabriel Arias, C.J. Kayfus, George Valera).

Merrill Kelly has utilized his change-up 5.1% more often this year (26.1%) than he did last season (21%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Joey Cantillo in today’s matchup.

Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 11.1% to 15.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Gabriel Arias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Josh Jung is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Josh Jung will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Ezequiel Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Cantillo today.

Ezequiel Duran has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

George Valera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, George Valera will have an advantage in today’s game.

Progressive Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Brayan Rocchio has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.8-mph average to last season’s 84.5-mph figure.

Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Michael Helman will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Michael Helman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Steven Kwan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Joey Cantillo in the 81st percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Joey Cantillo will be in a good position being matched up with 8 hitters in the projected offense who hit from the other side in this outing.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Joey Cantillo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ranking in the 84th percentile, Joey Cantillo put up a 12.5% Swinging Strike% this year.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

Cody Freeman’s BABIP skill is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The weather forecast projects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.

Cody Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the past week, Cody Freeman’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.1%.

The league’s 4th-tallest fences can be found at Progressive Field.

Joey Cantillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alejandro Osuna today.

Alejandro Osuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Alejandro Osuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run ability, Alejandro Osuna ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Kyle Manzardo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Over the last 7 days, Kyle Manzardo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 0%.

In the past week, Kyle Manzardo’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.6%.

Merrill Kelly is expected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup, which is the 14th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

John Libka profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.

With 8 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Merrill Kelly will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Merrill Kelly in this game.

Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 86-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the last week, Jose Ramirez’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.343) suggests that Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .362 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jonah Heim is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

In today’s matchup, Jonah Heim is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (83rd percentile).

Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Gabriel Arias will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Today, Gabriel Arias is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (87th percentile).

Gabriel Arias’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 89.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.7-mph in the last week.

Josh Jung hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Jung in today’s game.

When it comes to plate discipline, Josh Jung’s talent is quite poor, posting a 4.7 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 10th percentile.

Ezequiel Duran is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Ezequiel Duran will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

There has been a decrease in Ezequiel Duran’s average exit velocity this season, from 87.1 mph last year to 84.3 mph now,George Valera’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, George Valera has been pinch hit for 39% of the time.

Today, George Valera is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (81st percentile).

Checking in at the 14th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.82 ft/sec this year, George Valera is not very quick.

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11°, Brayan Rocchio has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.6°) in the last 14 days.

Brayan Rocchio has recorded a .278 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 9th percentile.

Posting a .232 batting average this year, Brayan Rocchio finds himself in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Michael Helman’s BABIP skill is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Helman is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Helman in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run skill, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 87.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.8-mph in the last two weeks.

Steven Kwan has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 9.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 4.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

This year, the hardest ball Steven Kwan has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.2 mph (an advanced stat to assess power), grading out in the 0th percentile.

Joey Cantillo’s 91-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.2-mph fall off from last season’s 92.2-mph mark.

Joey Cantillo’s 1837-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 4th percentile among all SPs.

Joey Cantillo has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 10.04 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.38 — a 0.66 K/9 deviation.

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