Pirates vs Reds match player stats Friday, September 20th 2024. Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

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Pirates vs Reds match player stats Friday, September 20th 2024. Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

PIT @ CIN

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Todays Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

Todays Game is on Friday, September 20th
20/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Reds Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Bryan De La Cruz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park’s right field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums.

When assessing his home run talent, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Jared Triolo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Mitch Keller.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for righty batting average.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Nick Gonzales is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.2) provides evidence that Nick Gonzales has had bad variance on his side this year with his 8.6 actual HR/600.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Nick Martinez in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for lefty batting average.

Projected catcher Joey Bart projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best ballpark in the game for home runs.

The #2 park in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Nick Martinez will hold that advantage today.

In his last game started, Nick Martinez was rolling and conceded 1 ER.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Nick Martinez must realize this, because he has gone to his non-fastballs a lot this year: 59.7% of the time, checking in at the 79th percentile.

With a 3.43 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the variables most within a pitcher’s control), Nick Martinez places him the 80th percentile.

Nick Martinez has put up a 5.84 K/BB rate this year, placing in the 95th percentile.

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Noelvi Marte will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Joey Bart pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Joey Bart has compiled a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Oneil Cruz is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jared Triolo has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.6-mph.

Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (21.1° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 7.3° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Bryan De La Cruz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph EV.

Last season, Bryan De La Cruz had an average launch angle of 12.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.6°.

Throwing 95.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Mitch Keller checks in at the 91st percentile.

In the last 14 days, Noelvi Marte’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

Noelvi Marte has been unlucky this year, putting up a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .288 — a .042 difference.

Nick Martinez has a reverse platoon split and is stuck being matched up with 6 same-handed batters in today’s outing.

When assessing his home run skill, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ty France will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Reds

Bryan De La Cruz has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today’s game.

Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Bryan De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 16.6°.

Posting a .288 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Bryan De La Cruz has performed in the 20th percentile for offensive ability.

Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 9°, Bryan Reynolds has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.1°) over the past 14 days.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bryan Reynolds ranks in just the 14th percentile with a 9° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Jonathan India faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Jonathan India hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks.

Jonathan India has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.6-mph.

Jonathan India’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 16% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against Ty France today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

Ty France’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.5-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 85.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Ty France’s launch angle lately (6° in the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 12.6° seasonal angle.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Oneil Cruz in today’s matchup.

Oneil Cruz has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 16% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

In the past week’s worth of games, Oneil Cruz’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.

Oneil Cruz has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 16th percentile with a 3.96 K/BB rate.

Jared Triolo is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Jared Triolo in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jared Triolo in today’s matchup.

Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (7.3°) is significantly lower than his 12.4° figure last season.

Grading out in the 12th percentile, Jared Triolo has notched a .280 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

In the past week, Elly De La Cruz’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.1%.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, posting a .348 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .017 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 5th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.8-mph average last season has lowered to 85.6-mph.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 87.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.7-mph in the last two weeks.

Nick Martinez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

Nick Gonzales will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Nick Gonzales has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

In the past week, Nick Gonzales’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 90.6 mph to 88 mph.

Over the last 14 days, Nick Gonzales’s 3.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.

TJ Friedl’s BABIP ability is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

TJ Friedl’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, falling from 41.7% on the season to 31.3% over the past week.

As it relates to his home runs, TJ Friedl has been lucky this year. His 25.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.8.

Ranking in the 15th percentile, TJ Friedl has put up a .224 batting average this year.

Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Sporting a .232 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Spencer Steer grades out in the 25th percentile.

Grading out in the 14th percentile, Spencer Steer has notched a .262 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Rowdy Tellez has been pinch hit for 24% of the time.

Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 16.1% to 12.4%.

When estimating his home run ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Jake Fraley’s launch angle this year (10.6°) is considerably worse than his 16.3° mark last year.

Jake Fraley has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .275 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 8th percentile for power, Jake Fraley has paced 7.3 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Tyler Stephenson has a tough challenge today.

Tyler Stephenson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 13.4% on the season to 0% over the past two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.307) implies that Tyler Stephenson has experienced some positive variance this year with his .341 actual wOBA.

With 6 bats who share his hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Mitch Keller should benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Among all starting pitchers, Mitch Keller’s fastball spin rate of 2408 rpm ranks in the 79th percentile this year.

Cincinnati’s 87.7-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in the game: #30 overall.

Jake Fraley has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .312 rate is a good deal higher than his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Martinez to throw 84 pitches in this game (12th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Noelvi Marte will have a tough matchup today.

Noelvi Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last two weeks.

Putting up a lowly an 85.8-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days, Noelvi Marte has been in a slump in recent games.

Joey Bart is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Bart in today’s game.

Joey Bart will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Joey Bart has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.

Joey Bart’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.6-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 85.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.4°, Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-0.7° in the past 14 days).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) may lead us to conclude that Rowdy Tellez has had some very good luck this year with his .306 actual wOBA.

Mitch Keller will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Mitch Keller has relied on his cut-fastball 8.8% less often this year (15.5%) than he did last season (24.3%).

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