Pirates vs Reds match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, September 25th

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PIT @ CIN

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Pirates @ Reds Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, September 25th
Time : 25/09/25 12:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today

Out of all starters, Braxton Ashcraft’s fastball velocity of 96.4 mph is in the 93rd percentile this year.

Braxton Ashcraft’s 2433-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 83rd percentile out of all starters.

Braxton Ashcraft has recorded a 24.1% strikeout rate this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best field in the game for home runs.

In the majors, Great American Ball Park’s left field fences are the 5th-shallowest.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 9th-weakest out of every team today.

Nick Lodolo’s fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this year (93.1 mph) below where it was last season (94.1 mph).

Nick Lodolo has averaged 92.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

Ranking in the 79th percentile, Nick Lodolo compiled an 11.9% Swinging Strike rate this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Lodolo in the 85th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Negatives with the Cincinnati Reds Game Today

Braxton Ashcraft has averaged 73.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 3rd percentile.

This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Braxton Ashcraft struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last GS and posted 2 Ks.

Braxton Ashcraft has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 9.09 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.60 — a 0.49 K/9 gap.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Nick Lodolo’s overall pitching talent is in the 87th percentile among all starters in baseball right now.

Nick Lodolo was rolling in his last game started and allowed 2 ER.

Nick Lodolo has used his change-up 5.5% more often this year (22%) than he did last season (16.5%).

Nick Lodolo has posted a 5.04 K/BB rate this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Nick Lodolo struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous start and accumulated 1 Ks.

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