Pirates vs Phillies match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, May 17th

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Pirates vs Phillies match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, May 17th

PIT @ PHI

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, May 17th
17/05/25 18:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Phillies Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Citizens Bank Park has the 9th-shallowest left field fences in the majors.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 84°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.

Zack Wheeler has averaged 98.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 98th percentile.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, Zack Wheeler projects as the 9th-best pitcher in baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zack Wheeler was rolling in his previous start and compiled 8 strikeouts.

Carmen Mlodzinski’s fastball spin rate has dropped 189 rpm this year (2100 rpm) below where it was last season (2289 rpm).

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Phillies Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler as the 3rd-best SP in baseball currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for walks.

Citizens Bank Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

In his previous game started, Zack Wheeler was on point and allowed 1 ER.

Zack Wheeler’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (45.5% vs. 39.6% last season) figures to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Zack Wheeler has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting an 11.48 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.72 — a 0.76 K/9 deviation.

Out of all SPs, Carmen Mlodzinski’s fastball velocity of 94.8 mph grades out in the 80th percentile this year.

With a 1.01 deviation between Carmen Mlodzinski’s 5.20 ERA and his 4.19 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to see better results in future games.

Carmen Mlodzinski has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play this year with a .341 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Compared to average, Carmen Mlodzinski has been given a below-average leash this year, tallying an -11.8 fewer adjusted pitches each start.

Carmen Mlodzinski has notched an 8.1% Swinging Strike% this year, checking in at the 18th percentile.

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