Pirates vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, June 1st

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Pirates vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, June 1st

PIT @ SD

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, June 1st
01/06/25 17:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Padres Series Game 3 Matchup Today

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Malachi Moore) calling pitches in this game.

Petco Park ranks as the #3 field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Randy Vasquez will hold that advantage today.

Randy Vasquez’s cut-fastball percentage has risen by 14.4% from last year to this one (13.7% to 28.1%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-worst field in Major League Baseball for batting average.

Randy Vasquez was rolling in his last start and gave up 0 ER.

Randy Vasquez is an extreme flyball pitcher (33% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #10 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for left-handed home runs.

Spencer Horwitz has compiled a .333 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 14th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jackson Merrill will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jackson Merrill has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11.4% rate last season to 19.7% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Andrew Heaney’s four-seamer rate has dropped by 5.2% from last year to this one (49.9% to 44.7%) .

With a 1.45 gap between Andrew Heaney’s 6.53 K/9 and his 7.98 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to positively regress in the future.

In his previous outing, Andrew Heaney was in good form and allowed 1 ER.

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for right-handed home runs.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Last year, Adam Frazier had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.1-mph EV.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 2.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 11.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke’Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance given the .041 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Randy Vasquez.

Bryan Reynolds has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jake Cronenworth will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.277) suggests that Jake Cronenworth has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jake Cronenworth’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.73 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 86th percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Luis Campusano will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today’s matchup.

Luis Campusano will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Luis Campusano’s speed has improved this season. His 25.04 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.61 ft/sec now.

When it comes to plate discipline, Luis Campusano’s skill is quite good, sporting a 1.79 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 84th percentile.

Extreme groundball batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Randy Vasquez.

With a .293 batting average this year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has performed in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has put up a .280 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage today.

By putting up a .291 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Luis Arraez has performed in the 94th percentile.

When assessing his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.3) provides evidence that Andrew McCutchen has been unlucky this year with his 9.4 actual HR/600.

In terms of plate discipline, Andrew McCutchen’s talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.37 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 7th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Randy Vasquez in today’s game.

Oneil Cruz has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.7% rate last year to 22.1% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Canario in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Alexander Canario is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Alexander Canario has big-time power (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (30.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez is a pitch-to-contact type (8th percentile K%) — great news for Canario.

Alexander Canario’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (27° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° seasonal figure.

Alexander Canario has been hot of late, posting a a 25% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the last two weeks.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alexander Canario has suffered from bad luck this year. His .295 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Gavin Sheets’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 108.2-mph of late.

With a .361 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Gavin Sheets has performed in the 85th percentile.

Gavin Sheets has averaged 36.3 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile for power.

Henry Davis has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season’s 27.73 ft/sec to 28.18 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Padres Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Vasquez in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Randy Vasquez is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers today.

Ranking in the 2nd percentile, Randy Vasquez put up a 6.6% Swinging Strike% this year.

Randy Vasquez has compiled a 13.4% K% this year, ranking in the 1st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Vasquez in the 11th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

It may be wise to expect better results for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Petco Park.

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Spencer Horwitz has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.

Petco Park grades out as the #25 park in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Horwitz today.

Spencer Horwitz has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the past two weeks.

Over the last two weeks, Spencer Horwitz’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The #8 field in baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Hitting from the same side that Andrew Heaney throws from, Jackson Merrill will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team today.

Over the past 14 days, Jackson Merrill’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.7% down to 0%.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jackson Merrill’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Merrill’s true offensive ability to be a .345, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .041 disparity between that mark and his actual .386 wOBA.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 18.5% underlying K%.

Projected catcher Henry Davis grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Heaney in today’s matchup.

In his previous GS, Andrew Heaney wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

Andrew Heaney’s fastball velocity has decreased 2 mph this season (89.5 mph) below where it was last year (91.5 mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Andrew Heaney in the 23rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

Andrew Heaney is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #10 HR venue among all major league parks in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 11.5% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the last 14 days, Xander Bogaerts has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

With a 11.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Xander Bogaerts is positioned in the 21st percentile for power.

This year, Xander Bogaerts’s 3.8% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 16th percentile among his peers.

The #8 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Adam Frazier is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adam Frazier today.

Adam Frazier has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.4-mph dropping to 80.5-mph in the past two weeks.

In the past 14 days, Adam Frazier’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.5%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adam Frazier ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s game.

Bryan Reynolds’s launch angle this season (4.4°) is a significant dropoff from his 9.1° mark last year.

Bryan Reynolds has put up a .220 batting average this year, placing in the 22nd percentile.

Manny Machado has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 14 days.

In the past 14 days, Manny Machado’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

Manny Machado’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 93.4-mph seasonal average has fallen to 86-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Andrew Heaney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Cronenworth in today’s matchup.

Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.9-mph EV last season has dropped off to 89.5-mph.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jake Cronenworth’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 11.3%.

Over the last 14 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.8% down to 0%.

There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 9.7° to 6.4° this season.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

In terms of his home runs, Fernando Tatis Jr. has been lucky this year. His 33.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.6.

Luis Campusano is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Luis Campusano has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .280 rate is considerably higher than his .256 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, Luis Campusano’s 4.6% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 20th percentile among his peers.

Luis Campusano’s 88.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

Luis Campusano and his 6.4° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 8th percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Isiah Kiner-Falefa is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (91st percentile).

When estimating his home run skill, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Andrew Heaney throws from, Luis Arraez will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 87.9-mph mark last year has lowered to 84.6-mph.

Over the last two weeks, Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 84.6 mph to 60.4 mph.

Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 17.9% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Randy Vasquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks.

Andrew McCutchen has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 83.8-mph over the last 14 days.

Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Oneil Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 22.1% down to 0%.

Oneil Cruz’s launch angle recently (-23° in the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 11.1° seasonal mark.

When it comes to his home runs, Oneil Cruz has had positive variance on his side this year. His 34.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.7.

Randy Vasquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alexander Canario today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alexander Canario in today’s game.

Alexander Canario has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 81.4-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Canario in the 24th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Andrew Heaney will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Sheets today.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 16.8°, Gavin Sheets has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Henry Davis is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Henry Davis has been pinch hit for 12% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Batting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Henry Davis will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Henry Davis in today’s matchup.

Henry Davis has compiled a .232 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 8th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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