Pirates vs Cubs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Sunday, June 15th

|
Pirates vs Cubs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Sunday, June 15th

PIT @ CHC

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs Series Game 4Pirates vs CubsPirates vs CubsPirates vs CubsPirates vs CubsPirates vs CubsPirates vs Cubs

Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Sunday, June 15th
15/06/25 14:20:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Cubs Series Game 4 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea in today’s matchup.

Spencer Horwitz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Spencer Horwitz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

Matt Shaw’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Matt Shaw’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph lately.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.8) may lead us to conclude that Matt Shaw has had bad variance on his side this year with his 7.8 actual HR/600.

In the majors, Wrigley Field’s left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Carson Kelly has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last year’s 91.4-mph figure.

Based on Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .369.

Checking in at the 93rd percentile for power, Carson Kelly has hit 34.3 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Colin Rea will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The #8 venue in the game for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

The 5th-deepest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.

Collectively, Pittsburgh Pirates hitters have shined when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 3rd-best in baseball.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 0.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is deflated compared to his 6.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Nico Hoerner is positioned in the 91st percentile.

In terms of plate discipline, Nico Hoerner’s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.4 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Mitch Keller.

Ian Happ has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best batter in the game.

Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today.

Adam Frazier has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Adam Frazier’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.4°) is quite a bit better than his 11.9° figure last season.

Adam Frazier’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 16.7% on the season to 30.8% in the past two weeks.

The Chicago Cubs projected lineup profiles as the 3rd-strongest of the day in terms of overall batting ability.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mitch Keller in today’s game.

Mitch Keller’s 93.2-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.3-mph decrease from last year’s 94.5-mph figure.

The 10.1% Barrel% of the Chicago Cubs grades them out as the #6 team in MLB this year by this metric.

Collectively, Chicago Cubs batters have shined when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking 2nd-best in the league.

Mitch Keller has averaged 92.9 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Mitch Keller’s slider percentage has increased by 10.2% from last year to this one (25.1% to 35.3%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Bats such as Ke’Bryan Hayes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Colin Rea who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Over the past week, Ke’Bryan Hayes’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.2-mph of late.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s launch angle this year (9°) is significantly higher than his 4.7° mark last year.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ke’Bryan Hayes has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 9.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 4.7°.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side against Colin Rea in this game.

Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Colin Rea who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 49.4% on the season to 59.3% over the last 14 days.

Posting a .292 batting average this year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa grades out in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Andrew McCutchen has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last year’s 93-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Dansby Swanson’s launch angle this season (16.1°) is significantly higher than his 10.2° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball’s 6th-best home run hitter.

Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea in today’s matchup.

Oneil Cruz has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.7% rate last season to 24.6% this year.

Oneil Cruz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last year’s 95.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Michael Busch has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Nick Gonzales is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Nick Gonzales’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 46.4% to 64%.

Nick Gonzales has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, angling balls between -4° and 26° 62.5% of the time in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Nick Gonzales’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13.5% to 32%.

Nick Gonzales has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° 29.2% of the time in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.4) provides evidence that Nick Gonzales has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 11.3 actual HR/600.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in MLB.

Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Seiya Suzuki has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.5% rate last season to 18.4% this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Cubs Series Game 4

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst venue in the majors for run-scoring.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest fences among all stadiums.

The weather report projects the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Out of all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Horwitz in today’s matchup.

Spencer Horwitz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 92.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 88.4-mph over the last week.

Wrigley Field grades out as the #21 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Matt Shaw is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Matt Shaw will be at a disadvantage today.

Wrigley Field ranks as the #21 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In today’s matchup, Matt Shaw is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.7% rate (89th percentile).

When assessing his home run ability, Matt Shaw ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

Mitch Keller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly in today’s matchup.

Carson Kelly has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Colin Rea (35.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Pittsburgh’s projected batting order.

Colin Rea has relied on his four-seam fastball 28.2% more often this season (48.1%) than he did last year (19.9%).

Colin Rea’s 2202-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 15th percentile out of all SPs.

Placing in the 22nd percentile, Colin Rea recorded an 8.7% Swinging Strike% this year.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Nico Hoerner will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Nico Hoerner has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Ian Happ has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 86.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

In today’s matchup, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (89th percentile).

From last season to this one, Kyle Tucker’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 23.6% to 19.1%.

When estimating his home run skill, Adam Frazier ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adam Frazier is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adam Frazier in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 13th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games,Placing in the 19th percentile, Mitch Keller notched an 8.6% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Bryan Reynolds’s launch angle this season (6°) is significantly lower than his 9.1° mark last season.

When assessing his home run skill, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will be challenged by the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Dansby Swanson will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Sporting a 3.88 K/BB rate this year, Dansby Swanson has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 21st percentile.

Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

This year, Michael Busch has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

In today’s matchup, Michael Busch is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.4% rate (75th percentile).

Today, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35% rate (88th percentile).

Pete Crow-Armstrong has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .362 figure is considerably higher than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

Power-wise, Nick Gonzales is ranked in the 24th percentile, having paced 11.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Seiya Suzuki encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (31.0) implies that Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck this year with his 35.3 actual HR/600.

Latest Chicago Cubs Match Player Stats

Latest Pittsburgh Pirates Match Player Stats