Pirates vs Cubs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Saturday, June 14th

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Pirates vs Cubs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Saturday, June 14th

PIT @ CHC

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Saturday, June 14th
14/06/25 14:20:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Cubs Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today.

Matt Shaw’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field’s left field fences are the 6th-shallowest.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Carson Kelly ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Michael Burrows.

Ian Happ has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Matthew Boyd in the 86th percentile among all starters in MLB.

Wrigley Field projects as the #5 field in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Matthew Boyd will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats across the board.

Matthew Boyd has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.44 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.31 — a 0.88 K/9 gap.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Matthew Boyd’s overall pitching talent is in the 86th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.

Generating 17.2 outs per GS this year on average, Matthew Boyd places him the 77th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Pirates projected lineup profiles as the 4th-weakest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 8th-worst field in Major League Baseball for walks.

In the majors, Wrigley Field’s right field fences are the 5th-deepest.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Burrows in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Boyd in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Ke’Bryan Hayes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd today.

Hitters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Matthew Boyd who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Andrew McCutchen will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

Alexander Canario is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Alexander Canario will have the upper hand today.

When it comes to his home run skill, Alexander Canario ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today’s game.

Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Nick Gonzales’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Gonzales is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Nick Gonzales will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Henry Davis will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today’s game.

Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Considering that groundball pitchers have a substantial edge over groundball bats, Mike Burrows and his 36.5% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot today squaring off against 2 opposing GB bats.

Mike Burrows’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (60.8% since the start of last season) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Mike Burrows is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #22 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Jared Triolo will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Cubs Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Matt Shaw is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

Among all major league parks, the 7th-tallest fences are at Wrigley Field.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Batting from the same side that Michael Burrows throws from, Matt Shaw will have a disadvantage today.

The #8 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Wrigley Field grades out as the #21 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Matt Shaw has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Michael Burrows will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Kelly in today’s game.

When estimating his home run ability, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Burrows throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams playing today.

Wrigley Field ranks as the #21 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) behind the plate in today’s game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 9 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Boyd in today’s game.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Matthew Boyd (38.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 FB hitters in Pittsburgh’s projected lineup.

Given the 1.1 disparity between Matthew Boyd’s 2.89 ERA and his 3.99 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and ought to negatively regress in the future.

In today’s game, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (89th percentile).

Extreme groundball batters like Kyle Tucker usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Burrows.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of all the teams playing today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Matthew Boyd today.

In today’s game, Bryan Reynolds is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.6% rate (76th percentile).

Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

When estimating his home run talent, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew McCutchen today.

Michael Burrows will have the handedness advantage over Dansby Swanson in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Canario in the 16th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Alexander Canario has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Alexander Canario will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Today, Michael Busch is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.4% rate (75th percentile).

Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Nick Gonzales will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Henry Davis is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

Henry Davis will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Burrows to throw 78 pitches in today’s game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mike Burrows in today’s matchup.

The Chicago Cubs projected batting order profiles as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

Batting from the same side that Michael Burrows throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Seiya Suzuki are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Burrows.

Jared Triolo is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jared Triolo has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jared Triolo today.

Latest Chicago Cubs Match Player Stats

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