Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Cardinals Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fences in MLB.

Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Matt Gorski will have the upper hand today.

Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.

Victor Scott II will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Victor Scott II has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 7 days.

Victor Scott II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 20.6% on the season to 28.6% in the last week’s worth of games.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jansen Visconti) behind the plate in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.

Paul Skenes has been one of the luckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play this year with a .241 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

Compared to league average, Paul Skenes has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an additional 8.6 adjusted pitches each outing.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

By putting up a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has shown favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Nolan Arenado has posted a .269 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will have an advantage today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 41.8% to 46.8%.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Bryan Reynolds has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year’s 94.1-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryan Reynolds’s true offensive talent to be a .333, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .047 gap between that mark and his actual .286 wOBA.

In notching a .322 BABIP since the start of last season, Bryan Reynolds grades out in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Tommy Pham will have an advantage today.

Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .218 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has suffered from bad luck given the .087 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Joey Bart is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Joey Bart will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today’s matchup.

Compared to last year, Joey Bart has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.1% to 52.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Joey Bart’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 12.2% to 20.8%.

Joey Bart has notched a .350 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Andrew McCutchen has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 20.6% over the past 14 days.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Oneil Cruz has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 15.7% rate last year to 24.3% this year.

Oneil Cruz has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 24.3% seasonal rate to 32.1% over the last 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 96.8-mph to 102.1-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand today.

Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

It may be wise to expect better results for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 8 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in this game.

Pittsburgh has performed as the #1 club in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle band that tends to best-produce base hits (46.2% rate this year).

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Matt Gorski, Joey Bart).

Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Alec Burleson’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Alec Burleson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brendan Donovan will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jared Triolo will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today’s matchup.

Jared Triolo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season’s 90.1-mph mark.

Compared to his seasonal average of 20.1°, Jared Triolo has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 29.4° figure over the last 14 days.

Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .266 figure is a fair amount lower than his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jared Triolo’s launch angle this season (20.1°) is significantly higher than his 13° mark last season.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Cardinals Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Gorski in the 13th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Matt Gorski is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #4 stadium in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-most fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally bad for home runs.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Gorski today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

When estimating his home run talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Victor Scott II is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst stadium in the league for LHB home runs.

Victor Scott II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Victor Scott II’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 87.4 mph.

Victor Scott II has been lucky this year, notching a .339 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .050 discrepancy.

Victor Scott II has put up a .225 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile.

Paul Skenes projects as the 2nd-best pitcher in MLB right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the St. Louis Cardinals offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #27 venue in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the majors, Busch Stadium’s RF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

Paul Skenes has put up a 3.13 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the things a pitcher has the most control over) this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Willson Contreras who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Paul Skenes.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 5.2°, Willson Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.3°) in the last two weeks.

Willson Contreras has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 19.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Nolan Arenado will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 90.1 mph to 87.4 mph.

Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 45% to 32.7%.

Last season, Nolan Arenado had a launch angle of 12° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 6.6°.

Today, Ke’Bryan Hayes is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.6% rate (99th percentile).

Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Ke’Bryan Hayes’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 88.6 mph to 81.4 mph.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 7.4% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has put up a .264 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 6th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his home run ability, Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore,Today, Bryan Reynolds is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.1% rate (80th percentile).

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s matchup.

Bryan Reynolds’s launch angle this season (4.7°) is significantly worse than his 9.1° mark last year.

Bryan Reynolds’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 17.9% on the season to 11.8% in the past week.

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Tommy Pham generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tommy Pham in today’s game.

Tommy Pham has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 83.3-mph over the past two weeks.

Tommy Pham’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.9-mph average last season has fallen to 88.7-mph.

Joey Bart pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Joey Bart will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Joey Bart has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 77.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Joey Bart’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 20.8% on the season to 5% in the past two weeks.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) implies that Joey Bart has been lucky since the start of last season with his .269 actual batting average.

Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

With a .225 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Andrew McCutchen is ranked in the 24th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Oneil Cruz has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Oneil Cruz today.

Lars Nootbaar’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 94.4-mph EV last season has fallen off to 90.2-mph.

Considering that groundball hitters struggle against groundball pitchers, Matthew Liberatore (43.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

Matthew Liberatore will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.

With a 2.46 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things most within a pitcher’s control), Matthew Liberatore places in the 93rd percentile.

Matthew Liberatore has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 9.4 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average.

Busch Stadium projects as the #22 venue in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pedro Pages ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pedro Pages is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Paul Skenes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pedro Pages in today’s game.

Pedro Pages has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.7-mph mark last season has decreased to 85.6-mph.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Alec Burleson has been pinch hit for 13% of the time.

Alec Burleson has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

This season, Alec Burleson’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 6.6% last year to just 1.4% this year.

Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 14.1% to 5.4%.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Alec Burleson has had some very good luck this year. His .274 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .243.

Brendan Donovan has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Despite posting a .382 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brendan Donovan has been lucky given the .044 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.

Brendan Donovan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 17% to 11.3%.

Jared Triolo is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Jared Triolo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (88th percentile).

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jared Triolo in today’s game.

Jared Triolo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 42.3% to 29.5%.

Jared Triolo has compiled a .266 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 7th percentile.

Jared Triolo has paced 12.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 21st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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