Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Philadelphia at Minnesota Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Target Field projects as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage today.

Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

By putting up a .336 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers is positioned in the 76th percentile.

Byron Buxton projects as the 15th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Carlos Santana will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Carlos Santana has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 91.7-mph.

Carlos Santana’s launch angle this season (15.9°) is significantly better than his 12.5° mark last year.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Brooks Lee’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Willi Castro is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Using Statcast metrics, Willi Castro is in the 88th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .349.

Willi Castro has compiled a .339 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage today.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Philadelphia Phillies offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Christian Vazquez (the Twins’s expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

When it comes to his home run talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Simeon Woods Richard today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors’s 5th-best home run batter.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.5-mph to 95.6-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Matt Wallner will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Matt Wallner has displayed some good exit velocity benchmarks lately, averaging 103.9-mph on his flyballs over the last two weeks.

In the past 14 days, Matt Wallner has posted a 32.5° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB.

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Simeon Woods Richard in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .322 mark is deflated compared to his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the past two weeks, Carlos Santana has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 21.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.9°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Based on Statcast data, Alec Bohm ranks in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .303.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Edouard Julien’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (21.2°) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° mark last year.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 15% to 19.2%.

Johan Rojas’s footspeed has improved this season. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.13 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Johan Rojas’s true offensive ability to be a .276, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .025 gap between that mark and his actual .251 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average ability.

Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Trea Turner’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Simeon Woods Richardson’s 2186-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 18th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

When it comes to his home run skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Target Field projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

By putting up a .340 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Ryan Jeffers is ranked in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler in the 93rd percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Zack Wheeler has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 8.2 more adjusted pitches-per-start than league average.

The Minnesota Twins have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Edouard Julien, Trevor Larnach, Byron Buxton, Matt Wallner).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.5) may lead us to conclude that J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck this year with his 18.5 actual HR/600.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Simeon Woods Richardson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his previous GS, Simeon Woods Richardson was rolling and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Max Kepler’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (26.8° over the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 11.4° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

By putting up a .336 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Brandon Marsh is positioned in the 78th percentile for hitting ability.

This year, Brandon Marsh has an average exit velocity of 91.9 mph, which ranks among the elite in the majors at the 90th percentile.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, J.T. Realmuto has been unlucky this year. His .314 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.9% to 48.6%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Zack Wheeler projects as the 9th-best starter in the league right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The underlying talent of the Minnesota Twins projected offense today (.309 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .325 wOBA this year.

It may be smart to expect worse results for the Minnesota Twins offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the game this year.

There has been a significant improvement in Bryson Stott’s launch angle from last season’s 9.9° to 14.4° this year.

Bryson Stott’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (22.2° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 11.1° seasonal figure.

Bryson Stott has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .297 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .314 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 91.7-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Alec Bohm ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alec Bohm has posted a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 90th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Alec Bohm has performed in the 83rd percentile.

Placing in the 85th percentile, Alec Bohm sports a .469 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Over the last 7 days, Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.1-mph in recent games.

Byron Buxton has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 93.9-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Max Kepler ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

This year, J.T. Realmuto’s 10.7% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers.

This year, J.T. Realmuto’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 88th percentile at 95.2 mph.

Tuesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Phillies vs Twins Matchup

Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

The league’s 5th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Target Field.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers.

In today’s game, Brandon Marsh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37% rate (91st percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 21st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage today.

Ryan Jeffers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

In the past two weeks, Ryan Jeffers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage against Byron Buxton in today’s game.

Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Among all major league stadiums, Target Field’s CF dimensions are the 10th-deepest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Brooks Lee is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

The switch-hitting Willi Castro will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Zack Wheeler, Edouard Julien has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Edouard Julien has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Zack Wheeler, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Simeon Woods Richardson to throw 83 pitches today (13th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup ranks as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

Target Field profiles as the #8 ballpark in MLB for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Simeon Woods Richardson has a large reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of going up against 6 same-handed bats in this matchup.

Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 97-mph figure last year has fallen to 93.5-mph.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Bryce Harper has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Alec Bohm meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Edouard Julien has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .303 rate is a fair amount higher than his .289 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Johan Rojas has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Simeon Woods Richard will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today’s game.

Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

Simeon Woods Richard will have the handedness advantage over Nick Castellanos today.

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Minnesota Twins have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zack Wheeler in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 15th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Over the past 7 days, Kyle Schwarber’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.

Zack Wheeler has been lucky in regards to his ERA this year; his 2.70 figure is significantly deflated relative to his 3.35 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

When assessing his home run skill, Bryson Stott ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 46% on the season to 30% in the last two weeks.

Last season, Trevor Larnach had a launch angle of 21.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 10.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Last season, Byron Buxton had a launch angle of 21.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 16.6°.

Max Kepler has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 14 days.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Putting up a lowly an 85.2-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks, Brooks Lee has been in a slump lately.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Willi Castro’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.